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Sep
18

Temps and Storm Chances Rising Next 24 Hours

By · September 18, 2013 at 7:32 pm

We’re finishing up a warmer Wednesday, as highs made it into the lower to middle 80s in central Indiana.

RADAR2

On the nose of warm air advection, in far northwestern Indiana is a weakening complex of storms.  As of now we’re expecting this weakening trend to continue, as the atmosphere stabilizes… but we will monitor progress for areas north of a Lafayette-Kokomo-Muncie line.  Please note the image time is before 7pm.  Click here for the latest Live Doppler 13 Radar output: http://blog.wthr.com/skytrak-weather/super-sunrise-this-morning/

TOWER

Have you noticed the leaves changing color already in your neighborhood?  Notice the brilliant oranges and reds on the trees lining the American Legion Mall in downtown Indianapolis.  Perhaps a sign of an early start to the fall foliage season.  Speaking of scenery… in case you missed it, be sure to check out the amazing pictures from fellow Hoosiers of the amazing sunrise Wednesday morning: http://blog.wthr.com/skytrak-weather/super-sunrise-this-morning/

LOWS_TONIGHT

You’ve likely noticed the air is more humid…this is due to the passage of a warm front late Wednesday.  Southerly wind behind this front will keep overnight lows up in the upper 60s.

RPM

RPM_1

Daytime heating and intsability will help trigger widely scattered showers and storms Thursday.  Though not every backyard gets wet, some lucky few may have decent downpours.

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highs_tomorrow

We’ve been billing Thursday as the warmest day of the week.  That forecast is still on target… with highs in the upper 80s and heat indices in the lower 90s.

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We continue to bracket late Friday into early Saturday for the greatest coverage of rain and storms.  I’m not convinced we need to worry about severe storms, but that hinges on early morning cloud cover/precip Friday.

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RAIN_POTENTIAL

It’s not the best of timing with Operation Football, but we’ll take much needed rain when we can get it.  Computer models are locking in on a .50″ to nearly 1″ rain over a good chunk of the viewing area.  Hopefully that verifies with a nearly 6″ rainfall deficit June 1st.

7day

We still believe rain should sink south of the viewing are by 9am Saturday… paving the way for a rather nice weekend.  The only fly-in-the-ointment is “if” a wave of low pressure develops along the front to slow its progress.  To be determined, but worth watching for Saturday morning plans.  Long range guidance is in good agreement on another prolonged dry spell that will see seveal days of sun and mild temps.  Have a great evening and thanks for reading the blog – Sean Ash

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