Flood Warnings and Cold Start To Work Week

Most rivers in central Indiana will remain out of their banks for several more days.  This is the result of melted snow and a month’s worth of rain packed into three days.

In fact, some SkyTrak 13 Weather Bug monthly rainfall totals exceed 5″, which is more than double the January average!

Until further notice the White, Wabash, Big Blue, Driftwood, East Fork of White, Mississinewa rivers are under Flood Warnings.  You can monitor river levels via the National Weather Service Indianapolis’ hydrology link here:

Hard to believe we’re just 48 hours removed from 60°+ highs.  January reality smacked us right in the face this morning, when lows were in the teens with single digit wind chills.

Highs today will struggle to hit the mid/upper 20s in most of the region… with cloud cover increasing from the southwest.  I’m not going to completely rule out some flurries (if not light snow) this evening.

The rest of the week will be rather quiet, though a few systems will near the Ohio River and bear watching for any deviation of track.  The morning run of the NAM model actually shows a few inches of snow accumulation for southern Indiana Thursday.  For now, it’s the northern most model… as the GFS  and Euro (not displayed below) only show flurries/light snow for areas south of I-70.

Today is our coldest day of the week, and Saturday appears to be the warmest with highs in the mid/upper 40s.  That brief warm up will be Fool’s Gold.  There is strong model consensus of a shot of much colder for early next week.

Below is the GFS mean ensemble temperature anomaly output for next Tuesday.  This shows deviations of greater than 10°F, and is only the mean.  Highs in the teens and lows in the single digits are possible Monday-Wednesday of next week.  Stay tuned as we track the progress of some of the coldest air of winter so far.

Have a day and thanks for reading the blog.

Sean Ash – Twitter / Facebook