Central Indiana Dodges Heavy Snow Bullet

Another seasonably cold January day in the books with highs in the mid to upper 20s.  We continue to monitor the development of what will become a historic winter storm for the Mid-Atlantic states.

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Central Indiana dodges the heavy snow bullet from this storm, but cities as far north as Bloomington, Columbus, and Greensburg may see some snow Friday evening.  1-3″ is possible in the aforementioned cities but confidence is low due to an expected sharp north-to-south snow gradient.

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Chances of snow increase exponentially traveling toward the Ohio River where Winter Storm Warnings are in effect.  Just 5-15 miles will separate flurries from back-breaking snow amounts.  Travel is definitely not advised tomorrow and Saturday south of the Ohio River and toward the Mid-Atlantic where Blizzard Warnings are in effect for the D.C. area into New York City.

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This storm likely creates a ripple air travel effect for Indianapolis International.  In fact as of Thursday evening American Airlines has alread canceled flights into Dulles, Reagan, Baltimore and other northeast airports tomorrow.

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Please check with your air carrier prior to departure.  We’ll also get a blustery wind undercutting overcast tomorrow and Saturday morning.  Otherwise most areas remain precip-free until Monday evening when rain showers ramp up.  Have a good evening – Sean Ash

 

The Day Ahead, Storm Situation

It is cold and it is dry but again today, a high temperature well below average at 28 this afternoon.

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Today will stay dry and right now we have Thursday through Sunday dry.  The next big winter storm is tracking farther south.  This means the threat for heavy snow will stay along and just south of the Ohio River.   This storm will have a major impact across the south and the East Coast.  There will be severe weather threats, ice and heavy snow.  If you have travel plans this weekend, you will want to stay informed about this storm. Some of our computer guidance this morning suggests that areas south of Washington DC could pick up more than 2 feet of snow.

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Easier Drive Home and an Update on the Next Storm

The snow has ended and some melting is already happening.  This will mean an easier drive home.  It was messy this morning.  There could be a few slick roads overnight and early Thursday, due to refreezing.  We are forecasting lows in the teens.  Highs will be in the 20s on Thursday.

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We are still tracking a powerful winter storm for Friday and the weekend.  The track continues to shift south and this means the steadiest snow will fall along and south of the Ohio River.  We have our local forecast dry for now.  We will watch the track closely because if it starts to shift back north, there would be snow for our southern communities.  Stay tuned for updates.  If you have travel plans, you will want to stay updated too.  This storm will affect major cities along the East Coast, with the threat for blizzard conditions.  Here is the timeline with FutureTrak13.

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Our forecast is dry, but blustery on the north side of this storm.  Highs will be in the 20s on Friday and Saturday, but go above freezing on Sunday.

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Update To Snowy, Slick Start

The snow arrived right on cue earlier this morning and continues the next few hours.  Though it’s not saying much, this will be Indy’s snowiest day since last March with the National Weather Service approaching 2″ and much of Central Indiana expected to finish in the 2-3″ range.

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As expected areas south-southwest of I-70 are already over 3″ and some locations down state may near 5″ before the snow ends later this morning.  Temperatures in the teens mean roads will be slick and school delays are starting to ramp up.  Click here for the complete list of delays and/or cancellations.

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Snow finishes before midday but clouds and chilly conditions linger into the afternoon… though highs do climb into the mid-20s.  Stay safe this morning and remember to share pictures and snow reports on Twitter, Facebook or wthr.com.  Thanks – Sean Ash

Snowy Start To Wednesday

What a morning. Snow started in the Metro just before 2 am and we are looking at 1 to 3 inches of snow before it moves out around 8 am. Slick roads and school delays will be common this morning and since roads are messy, it would be a good idea to leave early for work. After the snow moves out, temperatures remain cooler than average all day with a high of just 23 degrees. A winter weather advisory is in effect for areas from Indianapolis south into Kentucky.

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You might be hearing about a big East Coast snow storm for the weekend.  We are tracking this one too.  Before it gets to the East Coast, it will bring more snow chances to parts ofIndiana.  We are timing those snow chances for Friday.  The latest computer models show the worst of this storm tracking south of us but that could change so we will be watching closely.

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Timing and Totals for Snow on the Way

Snow will start to fall in western Indiana by late Tuesday night.  That snow will spread from west to east through early Wednesday morning.  We are still forecasting a large area of 1-3 inches of snow for most of central Indiana.  The farther north you are, the closer you will be to the 1-2 range.  The farther south you are, the closer you will be to the 2-3 range.  There will be an area of 3-5 inches possible across the SW quadrant of the state.  Here is a look at the snowfall potential map.

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The steadiest snow will fall from about 1am to 8am.  With most of the snow falling just before the morning commute, there will be some slick and snow covered roads.  It is a good idea to prepare for a slow Wednesday morning commute.  Sunrise will  have team coverage of the snow with Chuck Lofton and Sean Ash keeping you updated on the snow.  We will also have the latest on the roads with Mimi and the latest school delays and closings.  Sunrise starts at 4am.

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Snowy Commute Wednesday Morning

Sunshine today is gone tomorrow!  The bright sky this afternoon only pushes daytime highs into the mid and upper teens but we’ll stay snow-free for evening travel.

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Snow reaches western Indiana by 1am and should be in the Indy metro area by 3am.  Expect a snowy morning commute tomorrow and definitely plan on adding time to your drive.  We’re also advising parents to have a backup plan for childcare with the potential for school delays and/or cancellations tomorrow.  Please check out Chuck Lofton for the latest beginning at 4am and you can find the delay/cancellation list here.

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We’ve only slightly adjusted our snow forecast.  Much of Central Indiana gets 1″ to 3″ between 12am and midday tomorrow.  The greatest chance of amounts exceeding 3″ are expected well south of I-70.  Please note that even light snow will make roadways slick due to temperatures in the teens.  Winter Weather Advisories are up for the cities of Terre Haute, Bloomington, Columbus, Seymour and Bedford and within our 3″ to 5″ snow zone.

SNOW FORECAST ADVISORY PLANNER AFTERNOON RPM FRIDAY

Snow wraps up quickly by the afternoon and temperatures gradually climb into the lower and mid 20s.  Latest computer model guidance continues to advertise a potentially stronger winter storm Thursday night into Friday around the Ohio Valley.  It’s still much too early for specifics, but heavy precipitation seems likely and a band of heavy snow (>=6″) with some icing remains in play for southern Indiana.  We stress that it’s merely potential and there’s a great deal of uncertainty within model guidance.  It could completely miss our viewing area or dump decent snow for some.  Greater confidence exists on a high impact event for the Mid-Atlantic states into the northeast.

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This storm may ultimately cause significant travel issues heading into the weekend.  You’re advised to check back for updates – Sean Ash

From Bitter Cold To Snowy Set Up Mid-Week

Frigid conditions steal the weather headlines the next 18 hours with wind chills parked below zero during that time.  This means kids returning to school Tuesday morning will have to layer up properly and expect bitter conditions into midday tomorrow.  A mix of sun and clouds accompanies the cold tomorrow before we focus on the advertised mid-week snow-maker.

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We continue to target the hours between 12am-4pm Wednesday for snow… some of which falls moderately during the morning commute that day.  Though subject to change, forecast snow amounts at this time for the Indy metro area are in the 2-4″ range.  Lowest amounts occur north and higher amounts potentially up to 5″ are possible from Bloomington-Columbus southward to the Ohio River.  Please note that even light snow will make roadways slick due to the early morning timing and temperatures in the teens.

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Snow wraps up quickly Wednesday afternoon but cloud cover hangs tough during the 48 hours that follow.  Overcast would help minimize the cooling effects of the fresh snow and is the reason we’re only forecasting lows in the teens.  However a clearer sky results in significantly colder temperatures and we’ll need to monitor for changes in the days ahead.

A potentially stronger system, but with much more uncertainty, arrives Thursday night into Friday.  The trusted European model keeps the southern half of Indiana in play for accumulating, wind-whipped snow late week.  You’ll definitely want to check back for updates as much will change in the track/intensity of this yet to develop system.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

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Bitter Cold Today

A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect until noon for most of Central Indiana. Wind chills will be running 10 to 20 below zero. The morning is already bitter cold and we have hundreds of school delays as a big Arctic area of high pressure has pulled into Indiana. Avoid spending much time outdoors today, as frost bite will be possible to exposed skin in a matter of minutes. Monday is Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, so many schools are already off.

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Although it will be dry and sunny Monday, temperatures won’t rebound much at all. Afternoon highs will struggle to climb into the upper single digits and low teens. The winds will die down some by the afternoon but wind chills will still remain below zero.

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Tuesday will remain frigid too with another cold start in the low single digits and highs in the upper teens.

The next snow maker arrives on Wednesday morning. Some of the early estimates indicate 1 to 3 inches of snow will be possible in some parts of the state.

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Another round of snow is possible late Thursday night into Friday morning.

Right now, next weekend looks dry and seasonable.

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Dangerously Cold Conditions

A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect tonight through Monday morning for most of Central Indiana.  Wind chills will be running 10 to 20 below zero.

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Dangerously cold conditions will push in tonight as an Arctic high pressure arrives.  The skies will clear and it will be breezy overnight.

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With temperatures falling to zero Monday morning, wind chill values will be running 10 to 20 below zero.

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It’s been almost a year since it’s been this cold.

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Avoid spending much time outdoors Monday, as frost bite will be possible to exposed skin in a matter of minutes.  Monday is Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, so many schools are already off.

 

Although it will be dry and sunny Monday, temperatures won’t rebound much at all.  Afternoon highs will struggle to climb into the upper single digits and low teens.

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The winds will die down some by the afternoon but wind chills will still remain below zero.

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Tuesday will remain frigid too with another cold start in the low single digits and highs in the upper teens.

The next snow maker arrives on Wednesday morning.  Accumulating snow looks likely with at least a couple of inches of snow likely by afternoon.

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Another round of snow is possible late Thursday night into Friday morning.

Right now, next weekend looks dry and seasonable.

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