Holiday Weekend Forecast

The weather pattern will change just in time for the 4th of July.  There will still be some lingering rain through Friday evening especially south of Indianapolis.  A gradual clearing trend will arrive overnight, with lows in the lower and middle 60s.

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A few clouds will linger across the southern half of the state through early Saturday, but mostly sunny skies are in the forecast for Saturday afternoon.  Highs will be in the lower 80s.

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We are expecting mainly clear skies for fireworks and the Rolling Stones concert Saturday evening.  Sunset is at 9:16, with temperatures in the lower and middle 70s through midnight.

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The Sunday forecast includes a mix of sun and clouds.  Highs will be in the lower and middle 80s on Sunday and in the middle 80s on Monday.  The dry pattern will last through Monday.

Rain and storms return on Tuesday and the weather pattern stays a bit unsettled Wednesday through Friday.  This will mean more clouds and more rain chances.

Have a happy and safe holiday weekend.

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Soggy Set Up To Start The Weekend

A few splash and dash showers are possible this evening… but much of the central part of the state remains dry.  We’ll monitor the southwestern corner of the state closely as storms in southern Illinois continue to increase and spread southeastward.  Sullivan, Greene and Lawrence counties are under a Severe T’Storm Watch until 1am.

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Additional scattered heavy showers and storms are possible going into Friday morning.  We also anticipate more dry hours tomorrow before a low pressure begins to intensify along the Ohio River.  As this happens rain and storms will increase across Central Indiana… becoming widespread by sunset and dropping locally heavy rain amounts.


 

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Friday night into Saturday morning will be wet and breezy as this system continues to intensify heading into Ohio.  A stiff northeasterly wind wrapping as the center of the low will make for blustery conditions Saturday morning.  Latest model trends are for a slower departure of this system and I’m leaning toward a wetter solution overall to Saturday.

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We’re still targeting Sunday as the best day of the 7 day forecast… but it also includes an chance of rain heading toward sunset.  Stay weather aware the next 24-36 hours – Sean Ash

7DAY

Wettest Month In A Year And More Rain On The Way

You don’t need me to tell you that’s it’s been a wet June thus far.  In fact, the early morning rainfall from heavy storms pushed Indianapolis’ monthly rainfall above 6″.  This is more than 2″ above the June monthly average and marks the wettest month in the city since last June when just over 7″ fell.

RAIN AMOUNTS JUNE STATS MODEL RAIN HEADLINES

 


Even higher totals occurred last night in west central Indiana where 3″+ dropped in parts of Vermillion, Parke and Putnam counties.  At this point we only widely scattered showers and storms this evening, but are monitoring conditions in southwestern Illinois/northern Missouri for storm initiation.  These storms would more likely have a higher impact on the southern half of Indiana and possibly produce some locally severe wind within the yellow shaded zone of the severe weather risk map.

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Low pressure strengthening across the Ohio Valley Friday promises to deliver a rather wet and stormy stretch heading into the weekend.  Showers and locally heavy storms increase during the day tomorrow.  Much like this evening, cities in far southern Indiana stand the highest chance of severe storms where temperatures will be a bit warmer than the mid-70s over much of the viewing area.

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We’ll be on the backside of this system early Saturday, but still under its damp and breezy influence.  A stiff northeasterly wind undercutting clouds and rain makes for an unpleasant start to the weekend.  But conditions should improve as the low moves away and this paves the way for the best day of the 7 day forecast on Sunday.  Comfortably cool lows in the 50s are followed by sunshine and 70s to finish the weekend.  By that time we’ll have earned it too!  Check back for updates – Sean Ash

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Weather Pattern Change

The weather pattern has settled down now that a cold front is moving through Indiana. Heavy rain dotted parts of Northwest Indiana earlier this morning, but for the most part, it has been dry in the Metro area.

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Today, winds out of the northwest put a cap on our temperatures so our highs today and for the rest of the week will slowly go down. By the weekend our highs will top out in the 70s and today and tomorrow will be mainly dry. Look for another chance for storms both Thursday and Friday.

The weekend will provide us with a chance for rain and thunderstorms Saturday but Sunday and Monday will be dry and nice. The jet stream next week keeps us very mild.

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Friday Night Rain Update

Heavy rain will continue to fall across the southern half of Indiana Friday night.  We are forecasting an end to the steady rain Saturday morning.

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The back of edge of this weather system will be close enough to central Indiana for a few showers on Saturday.  The best chance for those spotty rain chances will be across the eastern and southeastern sections of the state.  A drier weather pattern arrives, with some clearing late in the day Saturday.  This won’t last long.  There will be a complex of storms moving across Illinois Saturday night.  If that complex holds together, there will be a few showers or storms late Saturday night or early Sunday morning.  We are still forecasting more dry weather than wet weather on Father’s Day, with highs 85-90 degrees.

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What is left of that round of storms will be a boundary in the atmosphere and that will be the trigger for a few scattered storms on Sunday afternoon.  Right now we are under a slight risk for severe weather, but the latest analysis has that boundary south of central Indiana.  It is something we will watch closely.

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Watch Canceled But Spotty Storms Remain Possible Tonight

Scattered showers and locally heavy storms remain in play overnight as another upper disturbance moves across the state.

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The Muggy Meter remains in the oppressive range with tropical dewpoints at or above 70 degrees.

Monday looks to be hotter area wide with the main focal point for storms lifting back into far northern Indiana.  Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s with heat indices soaring well into the 90s.  Strong to severe storms are possible in the afternoon, but more likely Monday night as the front begins to sag southward.

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Tropical moisture, daytime heating, multiple upper air disturbances and a stalled front produce daily chances of heavy storms.  Computer model guidance suggest widespread 3″+ rainfall will be likely by the end of the week… with locally higher amounts in pockets of storms between now and then.

PATTERN RAIN

Some of this rain will be courtesy of the remnants of a landfalling tropical system that is projected to follow around the hot dome in the southeastern U.S.  If this verifies, beneficial rainfall will be likely in the Ohio River Valley… an area that’s been abnormally dry recently.  Stay tuned for updates.

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If you have the free SkyTrak13 Weather App you can check live Doppler 13 radar whenever you’d like to help decide your outdoor plans.

Cool Night and Wednesday Rain Chances

It will be a chilly night across central Indiana, with low temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s.  After some early morning sunshine on Wednesday, clouds will increase.  It now looks like there will be enough moisture for a few showers Wednesday afternoon and evening.  With increasing clouds and the chance for rain, temperatures will struggle.  Highs will only be in the range of 55-60 degrees.

LOWS PLANNER

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The clouds and rain chances will move out Wednesday night and a gradual warming trend is in the forecast for the rest of the week.  Highs will be in the middle and upper 60s on Thursday, with a mix of sun and clouds.

We are forecasting mostly sunny skies on Friday and Saturday, with highs in the 70s.  This is great weather for Carb Day and the 500 Festival Parade.  We are still analyzing the potential for rain on race day Sunday and Memorial Day.  We will keep you updated on the timing, as we get closer to the holiday weekend.  It will be warmer, with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

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Timing Weekend Rain Chances

There were a couple of lines of showers and storms that moved across central Indiana on Friday night.  There were also lots of dry hours on Friday afternoon.  The weekend will be very similar.  The SkyTrak13 Weather Team is tracking a warm and unsettled weather pattern through Monday.  Lows will be in the 60s and highs in the 80s through the weekend.  Timing the storms will be a bit tricky, but we think the best chance for rain and storms will come with afternoon and heating.  Here is a look at the latest timing with FutureTrak13 for Saturday.

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There will be some adjustments to timing, as we watch the complexes of rain and storms develop, so check back for updates.  Remember you can take us along with you too, by downloading the SkyTrak13 Weather App.

 

Cooler Air Arriving Now

The lines of rain and storms from earlier today are moving east and out of central Indiana.  Cooler air will arrive later tonight.
Skies will clear and temperatures will fall into the 50s.  Tuesday will be a cooler day, with highs in the 60s.  It will be breezy too, with winds W 10-20mph.  Expect a mix of clouds and sun on Tuesday.
PLANNER TUESDAY
Mostly sunny skies are in the forecast for Wednesday, with highs near 70 degrees.
We are forecasting a dry weather pattern through Thursday.
Warmer air and scattered storm chances arrive on Friday and will last through the weekend.  We are not forecasting a wash-out and we will fine tune timing for rain chances, as we get closer to the weekend.
7DAY

A Stretch of 80s

The warm air is here.  High temperatures today reached the 80s.  There is a string of 80 degree days in the forecast.  In fact, we have 80s in the forecast through the weekend.  Most of central Indiana will be dry Tuesday evening and Tuesday night.  There is a thin line of showers and storms across far northern Indiana, but we are forecasting that line to stay north.  It will be a great night for baseball at Victory Field.  First pitch Tuesday evening is 7:05.  There is an afternoon game on Wednesday too, with a first pitch at 1:35.
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 The Wednesday forecast includes morning sunshine and a few afternoon clouds.  There is a very slight chance for a pop-up shower or storm.  This would only amount to 1 or 2 on the radar.  Thursday and Friday will be dry, with highs near 85 degrees.
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 There is still a chance for rain on Saturday and Sunday.  We have scattered chances now and this means we are not forecasting a weekend wash-out.  We will keep you updated on the timing, as we get closer to the weekend.  Monday and Tuesday look stormy, with a better chance for widespread rain.
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