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Mar
03

Tricky Winter Storm Coming

Posted By · March 3, 2013 at 10:29 pm

24 hours later there is still much uncertainty regarding exact impacts on central Indiana from an approaching winter storm.  So let’s tackle the easy part of the forecast first.  All is quiet on the western front tonight, with a clear sky for the time being.  There may be some sun early Monday morning, but overcast returns… and marks the eastern edge of the aforementioned winter mess.

morningplanner

As overcast thickens, light snow/flurries will develop Monday afternoon across central Indiana.

plannerpm

Monday night into early Tuesday freezing rain is possible along the I-70 corridor…and the real action begins Tuesday afternoon into predawn Wednesday.

TIMELINE

The track and intensity of this storm (in relation to central Indiana) remain a question mark…both play a significant role in snow amounts and snowfall intensity.  Though many models take a track unfavorable for snow in Indianapolis, it is noteworthy that the trusted Euro & Canadian models remain bullish on keeping central Indiana in heavy snow.

SNOW_MODELS

Above is an example of how wide-ranging the “potential” solutions for Indianapolis.  Outcomes range from less than 1″ to “potentially” over 6″!

NAM

 

This is the latest NAM output and below is the Euro from this morning.

EURO_SNOW

The Euro model has been very consistent and it will be interesting to see if that continues tonight/Monday.  At this point I still believe Indianapolis can’t be ruled out for a period of heavy wet snow Tuesday evening/night.

WINTER STORM DETAILS:

Possible Freezing Rain Impacts Monday night/early Tuesday

Heavy Snow “Possible” Tuesday afternoon-early Wednesday

Amounts And Location Of Heaviest Snow Still Unknown

Check in with Chuck and Chris on Monday for the latest.

7day

Warming trend is in the 7day… for now.  That could change too “if” any significant snow falls over the region.  Thanks for reading the blog and have a great week.

Sean Ash

 

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Dec
02

Locally Dense Fog Tonight

Posted By · December 2, 2012 at 9:47 pm

Dense Fog Advisory is now in place, until 9am Monday morning, for the Indianapolis metro area and points northward to the Michigan border.  Additional counties south and southeast may be added later tonight.  Be sure to tune into Eyewitness Sunrise beginning at 4:30am with the latest on potential school delays, and travel troubles.

The picture below is a snapshot from Morse Reservoir around 9:30pm, and is representative of other areas with light wind.

 

This fog/stratus cloud layer will be a key element to the temperature forecast Monday.  I believe the wind will increase enough to “mix-out” the cloud deck, and allow for enough sun to rally temps to near record levels Monday afternoon.  Considering we’ll begin in the upper 50s/near 60… it won’t take much solar radiation to quickly push thermometers into the upper 60s to near 70°.  But admittedly, it’s difficult at this time to accurately time out the thinning of the overcast.

It’s a big “if”… but 70° would be a daily record for December 2nd, the first 70° December day since 2001, and only the 6th 70°+ December on record for Indianapolis since 1871.  Bottom-line odds aren’t on a forecaster’s side for that to happen.  But the air mass in place is more than suitable for temps over 70° providing enough sun breaks occur.

This is the peak of the balmy stretch to start the month.  Tuesday will remain well above normal, but rain/storms quickly charge into the state with the arrival of a cold front.  Thursday morning will be the coldest, and next weekend looks significantly cooler than what we just endured.

Be safe traveling tonight and early Monday morning.

Sean Ash

 

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Dec
01

Sensational Saturday Followed By Soggy Sunday

Posted By · December 1, 2012 at 5:51 pm

What a day!  Highs in Central Indiana were more fitting of April.  But this goes down as the warmest December 1st day in over 15 years, with temperatures a good 20° above normal.

The high of 64° in Indianapolis was the warmest December day since 2008, and was actually warmer than the high of 61° on June 1st of this year.

This balmy air mass combined with increased cloud cover, will produce overnight lows in the low/mid 50s… or warmer than the average high for this time of year.

Hopefully you were able to get the last leaves raked, and Christmas lights put up today.  Showers develop after midnight, and will occasionally make it soggy on Sunday.  Below is FutureTrak 13 at 7am and 12pm tomorrow:

The disturbance triggering this rain will slide east of the stat Sunday night, and set up the warmest day of this balmy stretch of December weather.  Highs on Monday will approach record levels (69°), and some backyards may actually hit 70° for the first time since November 10th.  Stay tuned.

A frontal system arrives Tuesday, and brings widespread showers and storms.  Temperatures briefly drop below normal behind the front on Wednesday… but quickly return to the upper 40s/lower 50s Thursday & Friday.

Long-range models are hinting of a possible clipper system next Sunday night into Monday (December 9-10).  That’s way too far off for snow lovers to get their hopes up.  I’m certainly not convinced of anything yet.  We’ll keep you posted.  For now enjoy the spring warmth while it lasts!

Thanks for reading the blog.

Sean Ash

Follow on Twitter and Facebook if you like.

 

 

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Oct
20

The Wait For Sun Will Be Worth It

Posted By · October 20, 2012 at 7:40 am

Welcome to the weekend!  It’s certainly been a wet 24 hours over Central Indiana, and with another decent burst of rain early this morning.  The upper level storm responsible for the raw, damp conditions is gradually pulling away…and weather will improve in its wake.

A narrow band of showers, rotating around the center of that storm, will impact areas south of I-70 early today.  A healthy cloud deck will linger into late morning, before gradual clearing allows some sun to appear later today.  Cooler than highs in the mid 50s for one more day.

Without the blanket of clouds tonight/early Sunday morning, temperatures will be colder in the upper 30s.

It’s all uphill after the chilly start Sunday.  Plenty of sunshine and a southwest wind will push daytime highs into the mid/upper 60s… marking the beginning of a substantial warm up for next week.

Long-range guidance has been steadfast on a prolonged stretch of unseasonably warm air…and highs will flirt with 80° several days next week.

The warmth should last Monday through Thursday, before our next cold front brings a return to fall-like conditions Friday.  Though a few showers are possible in the warm air regime…it shouldn’t be anything widespread.  Have a great day and even better weekend!

Sean Ash

https://www.facebook.com/SeanAshfanpage

http://twitter.com/seanashwx

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Aug
28

Vizio Costar review

Posted By · August 28, 2012 at 5:36 am

Earlier I wrote an article in anticipation of the release of the Vizio Costar streaming player. Now that I’ve got one and have used it I’ll tell you what I think of it.

It’s not the greatest thing to happen to the internet, but compared to other streaming devices out there it’s worth the money. Sony has one that sells for about $200. The Costar is about $100.

It took about 30 minutes to set it up. That included downloading a software update. The next day I happened to look to see if there were other updates and there was one from the day before, so actually I had to download two updates. After the first one I had the HBO Go app. After the second update that app was gone. There must have been some disagreement between Vizio and HBO. However I can still get HBO Go by using the browser.

What sold me on the Costar was the fact that the browser supports Flash and HTML 5. I tested this by going to the WTHR web site which has Flash comp0nents. Everything on the page showed up and the videos played. The Costar passed the first test.

At first I found it difficult to maneuver around web pages. You can click on a link by tapping the trackpad. But sometimes tapping once would work and sometimes I had to tap multiple times to get the link to work. Once I discovered that you can click on a link by clicking the dash button on the number pad of the remote, that was much easier. I also found that scrolling with the trackpad was difficult, but using the up and down buttons on the remote worked much better.

Some have complained that it takes too much pressure to press the buttons on the remote. However I like the fact that it takes some pressure. That prevents me from clicking a button when I didn’t mean to.

Now the apps. Don’t expect very many. Vizio promotes that you have access to the Google Play Store and it’s apps. But when you go to the store and list all apps only 94 show up, not the thousands that are in the store for phones and tablets. I even did a search for some of the apps I have on my Android tablet and they don’t show up. Even some of the most popular apps are not available, like Facebook. Therefore you need to use the browser to look at your Facebook page.

Vizio recommends a 6MB connection if you’re going to watch videos. On a TV, who isn’t going to watch videos? I have a 3MB connection and watching Netflix has not been a problem. However I did have the start and stop issue when looking at videos on the SEC Sports app. This could be due to that app using high quality (translation: high bandwidth) videos.

Overall, I’d say the Costar is worth the $100.

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Feb
01

What Happens in Indy….

Posted By · February 1, 2012 at 10:58 am

You know the saying, “What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas”?  At the risk of betraying “the code”, there is just too much to share about last night’s Media Party to keep it to myself.

Each year the Super Bowl host city puts on a shindig for all the visiting and local media; as well as “contributors”–those individuals and businesses who generously provided finanical support.

Last night, I was lucky enough to go to Indy’s version.

The backdrop couldn’t have been better–what says Indy more than the Indianapolis Motor Speedway?

Media Party at IMS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

One of the highlights was the glass used to serve beer.  It was made completely out of ice.  And you were given a glove to hold it.  (I’ll admit I couldn’t drink mind fast enough before the glass melted–but it was a great novelty and conversation starter!)

The glass is made entirely of ice! Gloves were provided

The party continued in the Pagoda where each floor served something different.  On the 4th floor, whisky and cigars.  On the the 5th floor, burgers and beer.  But the best part, was the open access to so many things “racing”.

Visitors could get their photo taken kissing the yard of bricks.  The Super cars were lined up–another photo op.  I saw some  visitors on the winner’s stand.   The Borg-Warner and Lombardi trophies both available for photos as well.

And what party would be complete without dropping a few names?  Some of the “names” seen mingling:   former IMS honcho Tony George;  Speaker of the Indiana House Brian Bosma;

 IMS CEO John Belsksus;  Driver Ed Carpenter; comedian Mike Epps. 

All in all, it was a wonderful night.  And for those of us who’ve been putting in long hours, a chance to take a breath, have a few laughs, and just relax. 

http://www.wthr.com/story/16647259/ims-hosts-sb-xlvi-media-party

Now, back to our Super coverage. 

 Kris Kirschner

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Aug
02

July 2011 Weather Recap

Posted By · August 2, 2011 at 5:04 am
July 2011 was the driest on record, and the second hottest in Indianapolis history!  The numbers were crunched by the Indy NWS, click here for the original link.
 
July 2011 will go down in history at Indianapolis as the hottest month in 75 years since July of 1936 and the 2nd hottest since weather records began in 1871. During the summer of 1936, the Midwest and much of the nation was in the middle of the epic Dust Bowl. A persistent upper level ridge of high pressure is to blame for the prolonged period of heat this July. Nearly every day of the month was at or above normal. Much of the second half of the month was near 10 degrees above normal, when the most intense heat waves impacted the area. Combined with relatively high amounts of moisture in the air, conditions became dangerous and posed a clear threat for those exposed to the excessive heat.  Heat index values consistently ranged from the 100s to 110s across central Indiana during several periods in the second half of the month.
 
Several locations broke into the triple digits on the 21st. Indianapolis reached 100 on this day, which was the first time since August of 1988 (102 degrees). Many locations had impressive strings of consecutive days with maximum temperatures at least 90 degrees. Shelbyville and Eagle Creek both finished the month with 16 straight days of highs at or above 90 degrees, and Indianapolis had 15. Temperatures look to continue such a trend into early August, which would give Indianapolis a good chance of coming close to the record of 19 straight days set back in August of 1936.
 
 
Site
July 2011 Avg Temp
July 2011 Difference from Normal
Highest
Temperature
Lowest Temperature
Indianapolis
82.0
+6.6
100 on 21
63 on 5
Lafayette
79.9
+6.1
101 on 21
59 on 5
Muncie
79.4
+4.9
97 on 21
57 on 14
Terre Haute
79.8
+3.6
99 on 21
60 on 5
Bloomington
79.0
+3.6
96 on 21
59 on 15
Shelbyville
80.1
+4.9
97 on 21 and 20
60 on 14
Indy – Eagle Crk.
81.2
+5.8
98 on 21
63 on 14
 
At Indianapolis, all 31 days had above normal average temperatures.
 
July 2011 was the 2nd warmest in the Indianapolis area since 1871.

Precipitation
The persistent upper ridge of high pressure that prevailed over the central United States for the vast majority of the month not only contributed to above normal temperatures, but it has also deflected storms from much of central Indiana. Any chances for precipitation usually accompanied a weak frontal passage or stationary front, and any development typically was not widespread across the area. With generally weak wind shear in place, there were not many opportunities for storms to become well-organized or longer-lived. As a result of the lack of widespread shower and thunderstorm development, the monthly total precipitation across central Indiana included some notable variation. While most locations were below normal, including much of the central and eastern portions having less than half an inch, some areas to the west and southwest had 5 to 8 inches.
 
Site
July 2011 Precipitation
July 2011 Difference from Normal
Wettest Day
Longest Dry Stretch
Indianapolis
0.47
 -3.95
0.22 on 24
15 days 9-23
Lafayette
3.37
 -0.63
2.01 on 2
10 days 13-22
Muncie
2.63
 -1.35
1.07 on 7
10 days 12-21
Terre Haute
2.62
 -1.83
1.36 on 29
6 days 13-18
Bloomington
1.93
 -2.39
1.46 on 3
15 days 9-23
Shelbyville
0.06
 -3.97
0.03 on 8
7 days 9-15
Indy – Eagle Crk.
0.68
 -3.74
0.23 on 30
12 days 12-23
                           
July 2011 was the driest in the Indianapolis area since weather records began in 1871.

 

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Jun
03

More Heat & Humidity for the Weekend

Posted By · June 3, 2011 at 5:52 am

Today the temp goes up and so does the humidity!  Highs today will reach the mid 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.  There’s a 10% chance for an isolated sprinkle before 10am.

Overnight, a few clouds stick with us as temps drop to the mid 60s.

Saturday looks to be our third 90 degree day of the year!  The beginning of the weekend will be hot and humid with scattered showers and storms developing for the late afternoon and evening.  Some storms are expected to be strong to severe.  All of Central Indina is under a slight risk for severe storms tomorrow.  Large hail and damaging winds are the primary concerns with any severe t-storms that pop.

Sunday, we cool into the mid 80s, but still leave a slight chance for an isolated shower or storm.

Next week… more heat and humidity… and a chance for more scattered storms by midweek.  Your air conditioning looks to get a hearty work out for the first full week of June!

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