Sunshine To Shower Chances This Weekend?

Sunshine and unseasonably warm afternoon temperatures highlight the forecast the next 24 hours.  We’ll climb into the 80s again today and tomorrow with rather comfortable evenings and overnight.


Lows drop back into the 50s tonight with a rapid rise tomorrow into the 80s.  We’ve been monitoring a disturbance near the east coast for potential local impact.  Latest guidance suggests the easterly flow off the Atlantic Ocean likely brings an increase in cloud cover Friday and Saturday… and possibly shower chances too.


For now we’re keeping the forecast dry for Operation Football and the weekend, but please note if this trends continue there may be rain for some areas to start the weekend.  Check back for updates as this could impact some college football games Saturday if it verifies.

It appears the warmer than normal pattern lingers into the opening of October but we’ll need to watch the October 6-8th time frame for decent cold front in the Ohio Valley.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash


A Sunny Stretch For The Next Several Days

A mix of sun and clouds have been hanging around this afternoon.  The high temperatures today will top out in the lower 80s.  There’s just enough instability in the atmosphere that isolated sprinkles and brief showers have developed.  They’ll be quick-movers and not impact too many areas, but we didn’t want this to catch you by surprise.

Any showers quickly fade toward sunset and clouds begin clearing for the overnight. The lack of cloud coverage tonight will allow temperatures to fall into the mid 50s, which is about 10 degrees cooler than the average low for this time of year.


Tomorrow is shaping up to be a beautiful day.  We will start off the day mostly sunny and then transition to partly cloudy skies by the afternoon. Similar to today, there is a chance for some areas to see a few sprinkles during the afternoon hours.  However, we will be mainly dry with temperatures in the lower 80s.


A great stretch of mostly dry and pleasant conditions remains in the forecast as we head into the weekend.  Temperatures will be back near the average by Friday with highs in the mid 80s and partly cloudy skies.  The chance of some brief isolated showers cannot be ruled out over the weekend but mainly dry conditions will persist into early next week as high temperatures warm into the upper 80s.

This is going to be a great week to enjoy some outdoor activities like the Indians at Victory Field or the Indiana State Fair.



Great Weather To Start The Indiana State Fair

You can certainly feel the difference in the air mass this evening.  Temperatures have already dropped into the lower 60s and a pleasant northeasterly wind continues to blow across Central Indiana.  We expect mostly clear conditions, though some mid to high level clouds will occasionally race across the sky.




Lows drop into the 50s and light jacket may be needed for the kids at the bus stop in the morning.  It’s a picture-perfect beginning to the Indiana State Fair with low humidity, sunshine and warm highs in the lower 80s!  Have fun but certainly pack the sunglasses and sunscreen with high UV rays due to the dry air and mainly clear conditions.



You really can’t ask for a better day for Colts Camp, the State Fair, Tim McGraw or anything else you have planned.  Enjoy and nice weather kicks off the weekend too!


Saturday looks great too with partly cloudy and warm conditions as highs jump into the mid-80s.  Storm chances return Sunday but we’re not advertising canceling outdoor plans at the moment… just back for coverage and timing updates.


After Monday the flow becomes predominantly north-northwesterly for an extended period of comfortable conditions next week.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash


Beautiful Day


It is another beautiful morning in Indiana and we can look for a great day with the humidity still lower than the oppressive mess we experienced last week. Don’t rule out an isolated shower but most areas stay dry and the high tops out around 83 degrees.

The most recent computer guidance keeps most showers in Southern Indiana for today, tonight and tomorrow. it’s still possible that a thunderstorm or two could creep into the Metro area.

High temperatures on Thursday will be in the mid to upper 70s. Keep in mind that the average high temperature for this time of year is 84 degrees.

We’ll warm back up to near average conditions for the weekend with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Drier conditions arrive back in the forecast by Friday, just in time to start the Indiana State Fair.


Friday Forecast and Weekend Preview

We are actually counting dry days in a row.  We have had 3 and we are forecasting a couple more.  Right now the forecast is dry through the start of the weekend.

It will be a mainly clear and mild night across central Indiana, with lows in the lower and middle 60s.  We are forecasting a bit more heat and humidity for the weekend and much of next week.

There will be a mix of sun and clouds on Friday, with highs in the middle 80s.


Highs are forecast upper 80s this weekend.  Right now we have most of Saturday dry, with a chance for a stray storm Saturday night.  There is a chance for a few storms on Sunday, but we are not forecasting an all day rain.  If you are going to the Brickyard 400 or have other outdoor plans on Sunday, check back for updates.  We will fine tune the timing of those Sunday storm chances.


A good part of next week will be hot and humid, with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s Monday through Thursday.  We will be dodging a few storms too.  A few are possible on Monday and Tuesday, with more storm coverage expected Wednesday and Thursday.


Heat and More Storms in the Weekend Forecast

Storms with heavy rain, lightning and damaging winds moved through central Indiana late Friday.  These storms brought 3-5 inches of rain and dangerous flash flooding.  Water may still be rising overnight and flooding is hard to see at night.  It is a good idea to take extra care when you travel Friday night through early Saturday.  Our rivers will remain high and under flood warnings for several days.

There will some dry hours on Saturday, as the heat builds.  High temperatures will be in the range of 90-95 and heat index values will be 100-110.  A heat advisory is in effect for the state on Saturday.

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We are expecting some dry hours, but a few storms will be possible Saturday afternoon and evening.  Any storm that develops may contain more heavy rain.  If you have outdoor plans, you can check Live Doppler 13 Radar on your phone with the SkyTrak13 Weather app.  There will be some dry hours on Sunday too, with highs in the lower and middle 90s.  More scattered storms are possible later in the day.  There is a slight risk for severe weather on Sunday.  Here is the latest timing of those storm chances this weekend.  There will be updates to the timing and placement of the storms so check back for updates.

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The storm chances will end early Monday.  Right now we have a few dry days in the forecast for next week.  We hope this dry pattern materializes.  This July is now the 3rd wettest on record, with over 11 inches of rain in Indianapolis.

Update On Severe Weather Monday

Hazy and humid conditions for most of the night as we monitor a severe storm complex over Minnesota and Wisconsin.  This features dives southeastward overnight and arrives in Indiana by 10am.  These storms likely intensify by midday to pose a severe weather risk for much of the viewing area into Monday afternoon.



On a scale of 1 (low risk) to 4 (extreme risk) for severe weather… all of Central Indiana is in a Zone of 3 or what we label “high” risk.  This essentially means there’s a 45% probability, which is uncommon, of severe weather within any storm on radar tomorrow.   Have a way to get watches, warnings, radar and updated weather information.


After the initial complex it’s uncertain whether or not isolated storms develop during peak heating late day heating… but if they do they’ll likely be supercells capable of producing large hail and tornadoes.

A second complex develops late evening over northern Illinois and looks to impact the region between 10pm Monday and 4am Tuesday with severe wind and flash flooding rainfall.  Due to saturated ground trees are more susceptible to being blown over which ups the ante for power outages.  We’re recommending you charge up phones, weather radios, and generators in the event this verifies.


Unfortunately the threshold for flash flooding is rather due to highly saturated ground.  In fact latest Flash Flood Guidance suggests just 1″ in an hour or 1.5-2″ in 3 hours will be enough to cause flash flooding.  Those numbers are easily achievable given the highly moist atmosphere and potential for multiple storm clusters.  Rainfall in the 2″ to locally 5″+ range within 24 hours will result in more flash flooding by Tuesday morning.



Dry Time and Weekend Outlook

Rain chances will linger through late afternoon.  If you have Friday evening plans, the rain will be gone and there will be a few breaks in the clouds.  Evening temperatures will be in the 70s.  Overnight temperatures will be in the lower and middle 60s.  A few clouds and patchy fog are possible through early Saturday.



Saturday will be dry, with a mix of clouds and sun.  Highs are forecast in the lower and middle 80s.  There will be a few complexes of storms to watch later Saturday and Sunday.  Right now Saturday will be the drier day this weekend.  Storms are possible later Saturday night and early Sunday and again Sunday afternoon and evening.  A few storms may reach severe limits on Sunday and Monday, as our unsettled weather pattern continues.

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Highs will be in the middle and upper 80s through the middle part of next week.  If you are looking ahead, there will be scattered storms on Monday and then some drier weather expected most of Tuesday into Wednesday.  Storm chances return later Wednesday and Thursday.


Friday Storm Chances and Weekend Preview

The break from the wet weather will last through early Friday morning.  Temperatures overnight will be in the lower and middle 60s.
By 7am Friday, we will be tracking the next round of rain.  Rain and a few storms are in the Friday forecast.  Highs will be in the range of 75-80 degrees.  The rain chances will end Friday night and this will set us up for some dry weather on Saturday.  Here is the latest timeline with FutureTrak13.
Expect a mix of clouds and sun and highs in the 80s on Saturday.  Saturday will be the drier day this weekend.
Right now we are forecasting 2 rounds of storms on Sunday.  The first will be early Sunday morning.  More scattered storms develop late Sunday.  There will be a few dry hours in the middle.  Highs on Sunday are forecast in the range of 85-90 degrees.
The overall weather pattern stays warm, humid and unsettled with scattered storm chances through the middle part of next week.

UPDATE: Flash Flooding Central Indiana

Heavy rain through Central Indiana has led to wide spread flooding and the issuance of a Flash Flood Warning.  This warning is in effect until 8pm this evening.  Use caution when travelling on roadways today, as there have already been many reports of flooding on the streets.


Rain will continue into the early evening as this system continues to push southeast.  Heavy rain will continue to impact Central Indiana for the next several hours and rain rates will continue to be near 1-2″ per hours in the heaviest pockets.


Viewer photos of the flooding have begun to come in:


Photo above courtesy of Stacia Kikendall in the Farley neighborhood near Speedway.INDY FLOODING

Photo above courtesy of Shelley Young in Indianapolis