Wet, Warm And Windy Monday Ahead

Though record highs weren’t set in Indianapolis, the city did set a record high minimum temperature of 55 degrees.  This marks only the 5th December on record with two days of lows at or above 55 and the first since 1998.

TEMP BARS HEADLIENS

 

 

MONDAY 12AM PLANNER TONIGHT

Despite the clouds, highs still reached balmy levels in the 60s and as expected rain predominantly impacts the western part of the state.  This axis of moisture eventually slides eastward overnight and into the Monday morning commute.  Definitely pack the kids with rain coats and umbrellas for the bus stop.  Temperatures tomorrow begin in the upper 50s and lower 60s before dropping into 40s by sunset.

MONDAY 5AM PLANNER MONDAY MORNING MONDAY 9AM MONDAY 5PM PLANNER MONDAY AFTERNOON

Clouds hang tough Tuesday with temperatures in the 40s for much of the day.  Though much cooler than this weekend, these temperatures remain above normal for mid-December.

TUESDAY 7AM TUESDAY 5PM JET 1

We’re monitoring much colder trends for later in the week with a shot of chilly air expected to arrive by next weekend.  Flurries and showers are possible both Friday and Saturday.  Highs next Saturday are looking to be 40 degrees colder than the 70 degree high we had yesterday.

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But long range indicators suggest this will be a brief hit of cold and signals are pointing toward a much above normal set up for the eastern U.S. Christmas week.  Stay tuned for updates – Sean Ash

Clouds Impacting Temperatures Now and a Cold Night

Clouds are keeping temperatures in the 30s across most of central Indiana.  Just before 3pm, it was only 34 in Indianapolis and 32 in Crawfordsville and Greencastle.  Where there is some sun, it is 42 in Bloomington and 43 in Seymour.

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Skies will clear this evening and it will be cold overnight with lows in the 20s.

EVENING OVERNIGHT lows

Milder air is on the way for the weekend.

A Little Bit Of Everything

Can you feel the temperatures drop out there? It’s really cold this morning but the sun will make things feel better later this morning. Later clouds increase after midday and we will see some scattered showers.

Tuesday looks good but windy conditions and rain will move in for late Wednesday into Thursday. This will be caused by a very deep area of low pressure that will move across the Great Lakes. The cold front attached to the strong low sweeps over Indiana Wednesday night…. possibly with a narrow line of showers/storms with potentially severe wind gusts.

The gusts will likely be strong in the 35-50mph range. Look for peak winds Wednesday night, Thursday and Thursday night. for strongest gust potential. latest.

Behind the front we’re in store for a couple of days with highs in the 40s Friday and Saturday along with breezy conditions. But next weekend looks dry and feeling like fall.

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70s in November

70s in November.  We will end up with four 70 degree days in a row this week.  It started on Monday.

Monday night will be mostly clear, with lows in the 40s.  Patchy dense fog is possible early Tuesday morning.  Any fog that does develop will lift quickly.  Tuesday will be sunny and warm, with highs in the middle 70s.

TONIGHT PLANNER HIGHS

We are forecasting near record warmth Tuesday through Thursday.  Right now we have 75 for Tuesday, 76 for Wednesday and 75 for Thursday.  Here are the records for those three days.

Tuesday:  77 in 2003

Wednesday:  78 in 2003

Thursday:  76 in 1978

Our weather pattern changes Thursday night, as a weather system arrives.  This system will bring rain and a few storms to central Indiana Thursday night through early Friday.  Cooler air returns too.  Highs will be in the 50s by the weekend.

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Heavy Rain On The Way

What a fantastic fall day in Central Indiana!  Hope you had a chance to get out and enjoy the autumn color as leaves rapidly diminish the next 2-4 days due to steady/strengthening wind.

TEMPS RAIN STATS RAIN MONTHLY RAINFALL DEPARTURE

It’s been well documented that this is the driest October in over 50 years… thus far.  Rainfall departures since October 1st exceed 2″ and since September 1st it stretches to 3-4″+ below normal rain.  As a result much of Indiana is in abnormally dry conditions with the southern of the state labeled as “Moderate Drought” conditions.  Thankfully the remnant moisture of Hurricane Patricia, a coastal low and an upper storm are just what the doctor ordered for the parched landscape in the Ohio Valley.

DROUGHT SURFACE PLANNER TUESDAY

The wettest stretch of the month begins with showers as early as sunrise Tuesday.  Greatest rain chances tomorrow morning will be along and south of I-70.  By the time kids get off the bus stop Tuesday afternoon it will likely be raining area wide, and some of the rain later tomorrow and especially tomorrow night will be heavy.

HEADLINES MODEL GUIDANCE RPM TUESDAY 5AM RPM TUESDAY 12PM RPM TUESDAY 5PM RPM TUESDAY 9PM

The steadiest and heaviest falls between 4pm Tuesday and 5am Wednesday.  That’s when the bulk of the 1-2″+ amounts occur.  Latest hi-resolution guidance pegs the southern half of the state with the best chance of seeing over 2″ rain amounts.  Either way… this is welcomed news.

RPM WEDNESDAY 8AM RAINFALL RAINFALL SOUTH RAINFALL METRO RAINFALL NORTH

By midday Wednesday rain will be scattered but the wind begins to increase.  We’re expecting gusts to near 35mph both Wednesday and Thursday as a storm intensifies over the Great Lakes.  As this system departs we’ll have a great Friday with sunshine and highs in the mid to upper 50s.  It’s still several days out and could very possibly change… but we’ve added shower chances to Halloween weekend and we’ll continue to update in the days ahead.

WIND SET UP 7DAY

Another friendly reminder that Daylight Saving Time ends this Sunday at 2am when we move clocks back one hour.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

Sun Today, Rain Tomorrow

It is a typical crisp and cool fall morning in Indiana today, but changes are on the way. Look for today to be the day to rake leaves if you want to get them out of the lawn before the rain comes. Watch for increasing cloudiness later today and the rain to move in late tonight.

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As of now it’s the 5th driest October for Indianapolis.  But thanks to the remnant moisture of Hurricane Patricia interacting with an upper storm later this week, we’ll see a wet stretch beginning Tuesday that delivers 1-2″ rainfall before this storm departs Thursday.

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Look for really windy conditions to knock off the rest of the leaves Tuesday and Wednesday. Gusts over 40mph will be possible between Tuesday afternoon and Friday morning.  Calmer, brighter conditions arrive just in time for next weekend as high pressure spreads out across the Ohio Valley.

So far, Halloween looks pretty good for the trick or treaters with temperatures in the lower 50s around the 6:44pm sunset next Saturday.  Also a early, friendly reminder that Daylight Saving Time ends next Sunday at 2am when we move clocks back one hour.

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Feeling More Like October

Now this is more like early October.  The average high for this date is 66 and the average low is 45.  We will be close to the numbers today and Wednesday.

It has been a breezy day, with a few clouds.  Those winds diminish after sunset and the skies will clear.  This is the set-up for a chilly start to Wednesday.  Morning temperatures will be in the lower and middle 40s, with highs near 65 degrees on Wednesday afternoon.  There is lots of sun in Wednesday forecast.

LOWS PLANNER HIGHS

Thursday will be mostly sunny and a bit warmer, with highs near 70 degrees.

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We are tracking another cold front for Thursday night and early Friday.  This front will bring a few showers to the area Thursday night and early Friday.

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We will feel the impact of that front on Friday afternoon, with highs only on the lower 60s.

The coldest air of the season arrives this weekend, with lows in the 30 and highs in the 50s.  It will be cold enough for patchy frost on Saturday morning and a more widespread frost on Sunday morning.

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