Weather Change Coming

Roads are wet this morning and there is also some scattered areas of fog today . As rain moves out, we’ll see some changes during the day today.

With a warm front settling into northern today, we’re expecting rain/storm coverage to more isolated than the past two days.  This will also allow highs to be much warmer too with a southwest wind boosting temperatures into the 70s.  The exception will be our northern towns like Kokomo and Peru which will be stuck in the low to mid 60s.

Friday remains pleasantly cool and dry  with lots of sunshine. If you need to mow your yard, consider tomorrow, since rain is back in the forecast.  Look for rain to return to Central Indiana during the Saturday-Sunday time period.  A shot of cooler air moves in next week.  Temperatures in the long range outlook remain at or below average for this time of year.

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Weekend Forecast

The weekend forecast includes cooler air, rain chances and maybe a few flakes of snow.  Yes, it is going to be a chilly weekend.

Right now Saturday looks like the wetter and cooler day.  We are tracking a developing weather system that will bring rain and a few flakes of snow to central Indiana on Saturday.  The day will start in the 30s and highs will only reach the lower and middle 40s.  Here is the timeline for rain and some flurries with FutureTrak13.

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Our latest analysis has this weather system moving far enough east for some dry hours on Sunday.  It will still be chilly and in the range of 45-50 degrees on Sunday.

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Milder air arrives for next week.  We will be in the 50s on Monday and 60s on Tuesday and Wednesday.  There will the chance for a few showers late Wednesday, but the main part of the next weather system will bring the best chance for rain and storms late Thursday into early Friday.

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Another Round of Winter Precipitation Before a Warm Up

There will be a bit of a clearing today but it will likely be mostly cloudy most of the day as another storm system moves in.  It will be a chilly afternoon with afternoon highs only climbing to near 40 degrees.

TODAY PLANNER

A few snow showers mixed with rain and sleet will move in after midnight.  Temperatures will hover near the freezing mark, allowing the snow to melt into sleet and rain by mid morning Saturday.  Only minor accumulations are possible but the precipitation could make way for some slick roadways Saturday morning.

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A few more sprinkles will be possible Saturday afternoon.

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It will remain mostly cloudy with breezy winds out of the south.  Temperatures will climb into the upper 40s to near 50 degrees.

SATURDAY PLANNER

Skies will clear out Saturday night and temperatures will fall into the upper 20s, near normal for this time of year.

Sunday will be dry and pleasant with temperatures rebounding into the mid 50s.

An active pattern moves in for the work week.

AHEAD

There is a chance of light rain on Monday with rain becoming likely by Tuesday evening.  Showers and thunderstorms will develop on Wednesday with some heavy rain likely.

The system could stall out on Thursday, keeping a chance of rain in the forecast through Thursday afternoon.

It will also be mild with temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees above average.

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Widespread Snow this Afternoon

Steady snow showers will arrive around noon today and will continue into the evening.

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A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until midnight tonight.

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Snow could be heavy at times and breezy winds will cause blowing snow.  Reduced visibility is likely with some slick spots on the roads.

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Snow will start to taper off to scattered snow showers later this evening.

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Because of the dry air, it will take some time for the air to become saturated for snow to make it all the way to the ground.  With the very cold air in place, snow growth will be prime once the moisture moves in.  The storm system is moving rather quickly and will take over central Indiana by mid afternoon.

Snow totals will be from 2″ to 3″ with some localized areas of 4″. Southern Indiana could see higher amounts.

Use caution when traveling today.  Happy Valentine’s Day.

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Mild Weekend Before Arctic Air Returns

It will be a quiet and mainly dry first weekend of February. There will be a mix of sun and clouds today with temperatures climbing above average, into the mid 40s.

TODAY PLANNER HIGHS TODAY

Overnight lows only fall into the upper 20s Sunday morning with winds out of the southwest and partly cloudy skies.

TONIGHT

Clouds will increase on Sunday ahead of a cold front. Winds will still turn out of the southwest on Sunday, allowing temperatures to climb to near 50 degrees. It will be a bit breezy too, with sustained wind from 5 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY PLANNER
Rain will move in later Sunday night along a cold front. As temperatures fall early Monday morning, rain will change to snow. Accumulating snow is possible on Monday with around 1” to 2” of snow possible.

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More snow is possible into Tuesday as well. Accumulating snow will be possible too with falling temperatures throughout the day.

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Arctic air will return next week with bitter cold conditions arriving on Wednesday. Wind chill values will be running 5 to 15 below zero.

WEDNESDAY ARCTIC COLD

Temperatures will gradually climb out of the deep freeze by Friday with a chance of snow.

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Rain Ends Overnight and Colder Air Arrives

Rain will end around 2am for most of central Indiana.  Temperatures will fall into the 40s by sunrise Wednesday, after a record high of 61 degrees on Tuesday.

Wednesday will start with some sun, but end with falling temperatures and rain/snow showers.

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Thursday will be chilly, with highs in the 30s.  Temperatures rebound into the 40s for Friday and Saturday.  We near 50 degrees on Sunday.  A round of much colder arrives next week, as highs drop back into the 20s.  There will be a few snow chances too.

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A Couple of Chances Flurries and Snow Showers

There will be a few flurries and snow showers possible overnight.  Any accumulations will be minor (maybe a quick coating).  Where we do get a few bursts of snow, there might be a few slick roads.  There is another fast moving weather system that will bring another chance for snow showers Thursday afternoon and evening.  The average high for the end of January is 36 degrees.  We will be close to that on Thursday, with highs 35-40 degrees.  We are also tracking a chance for flurries and a few snow showers.  We are not forecasting much of this to stick.  Under a steadier burst of snow, a quick coating will be possible.

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The bigger story continues to be 50s in the weekend forecast.  The warm-up arrives on Saturday and will last through early next week.

There is a chance for a few showers later Sunday into Monday.  We are timing the steadiest rain for Tuesday.

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2 Chances for Flurries and Snow Showers

There is a fast moving weather system in eastern Iowa now.  The latest analysis of a high resolution model shows this thin line of flurries and snow showers moving into central Indiana later this evening around 10pm.  This model also shows a thin line of light snow possible across the southern half of the state early Thursday morning.  This will show up as green on the map, but it is snow.  Any accumulations will be minor, but a quick coating is possible.

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There will be another round of flurries and snow showers later Thursday afternoon and evening.  Again any accumulations will be minor and should only amount to a quick coating.

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Rain Tonight And Snowy This Sunday

January days don’t come much finer than the sun and 50 degrees highs we enjoyed today.  Hopefully you had a chance to soak up some sun as it’s likely our brightest day for awhile.

TEMPS TONIGHT 11PM EVENING PLANNER

Clouds increase this evening and showers increase after midnight.  We’re expecting a wet Friday morning commute with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.  When the precipitation begins, it may cold enough east-northeast of Indy to support either sleet or some freezing rain.  We’ll monitor in the morning but at this point we don’t envision any major issues.

FRIDAY 7AM FRIDAY 4PM FRIDAY PLANNER RADAR

A second piece of upper energy enters the Ohio Valley Saturday afternoon and intensifies into a respectable low pressure system.  Colder air on the backside of this storm changes rain to wind-whipped from west to east Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Subject to change… but the changeover should occur in western Indiana between 2-3am and 5-7am in the Indy metro area.

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Also subject to change is our initial 1″ or less snow accumulation for Indianapolis.  The earlier changeover farther west-northwest puts snow totals in the 1-3″ range from Crawfordsville-Lafayette to Kokomo-Peru.  With the snow comes strong wind and gusts of 40 to possibly 50mph.  Temperatures should fall most of the day Sunday and wind chills drop into the lower single digits by sunset.  Please check back for updates and expect challenging travel on Sunday – Sean Ash

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