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We are actually counting dry days in a row. We have had 3 and we are forecasting a couple more. Right now the forecast is dry through the start of the weekend.
It will be a mainly clear and mild night across central Indiana, with lows in the lower and middle 60s. We are forecasting a bit more heat and humidity for the weekend and much of next week.
There will be a mix of sun and clouds on Friday, with highs in the middle 80s.
Highs are forecast upper 80s this weekend. Right now we have most of Saturday dry, with a chance for a stray storm Saturday night. There is a chance for a few storms on Sunday, but we are not forecasting an all day rain. If you are going to the Brickyard 400 or have other outdoor plans on Sunday, check back for updates. We will fine tune the timing of those Sunday storm chances.
A good part of next week will be hot and humid, with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s Monday through Thursday. We will be dodging a few storms too. A few are possible on Monday and Tuesday, with more storm coverage expected Wednesday and Thursday.
Storms with heavy rain, lightning and damaging winds moved through central Indiana late Friday. These storms brought 3-5 inches of rain and dangerous flash flooding. Water may still be rising overnight and flooding is hard to see at night. It is a good idea to take extra care when you travel Friday night through early Saturday. Our rivers will remain high and under flood warnings for several days.
There will some dry hours on Saturday, as the heat builds. High temperatures will be in the range of 90-95 and heat index values will be 100-110. A heat advisory is in effect for the state on Saturday.
We are expecting some dry hours, but a few storms will be possible Saturday afternoon and evening. Any storm that develops may contain more heavy rain. If you have outdoor plans, you can check Live Doppler 13 Radar on your phone with the SkyTrak13 Weather app. There will be some dry hours on Sunday too, with highs in the lower and middle 90s. More scattered storms are possible later in the day. There is a slight risk for severe weather on Sunday. Here is the latest timing of those storm chances this weekend. There will be updates to the timing and placement of the storms so check back for updates.
The storm chances will end early Monday. Right now we have a few dry days in the forecast for next week. We hope this dry pattern materializes. This July is now the 3rd wettest on record, with over 11 inches of rain in Indianapolis.
Hazy and humid conditions for most of the night as we monitor a severe storm complex over Minnesota and Wisconsin. This features dives southeastward overnight and arrives in Indiana by 10am. These storms likely intensify by midday to pose a severe weather risk for much of the viewing area into Monday afternoon.
On a scale of 1 (low risk) to 4 (extreme risk) for severe weather… all of Central Indiana is in a Zone of 3 or what we label “high” risk. This essentially means there’s a 45% probability, which is uncommon, of severe weather within any storm on radar tomorrow. Have a way to get watches, warnings, radar and updated weather information.
After the initial complex it’s uncertain whether or not isolated storms develop during peak heating late day heating… but if they do they’ll likely be supercells capable of producing large hail and tornadoes.
A second complex develops late evening over northern Illinois and looks to impact the region between 10pm Monday and 4am Tuesday with severe wind and flash flooding rainfall. Due to saturated ground trees are more susceptible to being blown over which ups the ante for power outages. We’re recommending you charge up phones, weather radios, and generators in the event this verifies.
Unfortunately the threshold for flash flooding is rather due to highly saturated ground. In fact latest Flash Flood Guidance suggests just 1″ in an hour or 1.5-2″ in 3 hours will be enough to cause flash flooding. Those numbers are easily achievable given the highly moist atmosphere and potential for multiple storm clusters. Rainfall in the 2″ to locally 5″+ range within 24 hours will result in more flash flooding by Tuesday morning.
Rain chances will linger through late afternoon. If you have Friday evening plans, the rain will be gone and there will be a few breaks in the clouds. Evening temperatures will be in the 70s. Overnight temperatures will be in the lower and middle 60s. A few clouds and patchy fog are possible through early Saturday.
Saturday will be dry, with a mix of clouds and sun. Highs are forecast in the lower and middle 80s. There will be a few complexes of storms to watch later Saturday and Sunday. Right now Saturday will be the drier day this weekend. Storms are possible later Saturday night and early Sunday and again Sunday afternoon and evening. A few storms may reach severe limits on Sunday and Monday, as our unsettled weather pattern continues.
Highs will be in the middle and upper 80s through the middle part of next week. If you are looking ahead, there will be scattered storms on Monday and then some drier weather expected most of Tuesday into Wednesday. Storm chances return later Wednesday and Thursday.
Heavy rain through Central Indiana has led to wide spread flooding and the issuance of a Flash Flood Warning. This warning is in effect until 8pm this evening. Use caution when travelling on roadways today, as there have already been many reports of flooding on the streets.
Rain will continue into the early evening as this system continues to push southeast. Heavy rain will continue to impact Central Indiana for the next several hours and rain rates will continue to be near 1-2″ per hours in the heaviest pockets.
Viewer photos of the flooding have begun to come in:
Photo above courtesy of Shelley Young in Indianapolis
The weather pattern will change just in time for the 4th of July. There will still be some lingering rain through Friday evening especially south of Indianapolis. A gradual clearing trend will arrive overnight, with lows in the lower and middle 60s.
A few clouds will linger across the southern half of the state through early Saturday, but mostly sunny skies are in the forecast for Saturday afternoon. Highs will be in the lower 80s.
We are expecting mainly clear skies for fireworks and the Rolling Stones concert Saturday evening. Sunset is at 9:16, with temperatures in the lower and middle 70s through midnight.
The Sunday forecast includes a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will be in the lower and middle 80s on Sunday and in the middle 80s on Monday. The dry pattern will last through Monday.
Rain and storms return on Tuesday and the weather pattern stays a bit unsettled Wednesday through Friday. This will mean more clouds and more rain chances.
Have a happy and safe holiday weekend.
A few splash and dash showers are possible this evening… but much of the central part of the state remains dry. We’ll monitor the southwestern corner of the state closely as storms in southern Illinois continue to increase and spread southeastward. Sullivan, Greene and Lawrence counties are under a Severe T’Storm Watch until 1am.
Additional scattered heavy showers and storms are possible going into Friday morning. We also anticipate more dry hours tomorrow before a low pressure begins to intensify along the Ohio River. As this happens rain and storms will increase across Central Indiana… becoming widespread by sunset and dropping locally heavy rain amounts.
Friday night into Saturday morning will be wet and breezy as this system continues to intensify heading into Ohio. A stiff northeasterly wind wrapping as the center of the low will make for blustery conditions Saturday morning. Latest model trends are for a slower departure of this system and I’m leaning toward a wetter solution overall to Saturday.
We’re still targeting Sunday as the best day of the 7 day forecast… but it also includes an chance of rain heading toward sunset. Stay weather aware the next 24-36 hours – Sean Ash