Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
It’s a muggy start to our work week, but the work week as a whole should be mainly dry with cooler temperatures. We are not there yet.
Look for a pop up thunderstorm later today and again tomorrow. Today, there is a low risk of severe weather around Evansville,but the Storm Prediction Center has kept Central Indiana out of that area. It looks like the Indians have no problem getting the game in tonight as they return to play at Victory Field.
This July is Indianapolis’ 5th wettest month on record with nearly two weeks to go, but again, we won’t add much to that mark this week.
High pressure settling across the Ohio Valley provides pleasant morning lows in the 50s and lower 60s followed by mild afternoons Wednesday to Saturday. We do have isolated storm chances returning Brickyard 400 Sunday… but much can and will change in the forecast between now and then.
Spotty showers and locally heavy downpours remain in play the next few hours with areas of fog developing by sunrise Monday.
Lows tonight will be around 70 degrees and highs Monday return to the mid-80s. Daytime heating, tropical air and approaching upper disturbance brings a renewed round of scattered downpours and storms.
The southern half of Indiana remains under a Low Risk (15% probability of large hail and/or damaging wind, 2-5% tornado chance) for severe storms… primarily Monday afternoon and evening.
Rain and storm chances exit the forecast and region after Tuesday morning as we stare down a multi-day dry spell that carries into the start of next weekend. We typically don’t get too excited about 4-5 consecutive dry days, but in the midst of record-breaking July and summer rainfall it’s noteworthy.
This July is Indianapolis’ 4th wettest month on record with nearly two weeks to go, and summer 2015 (June-August) is the city’s 4th wettest summer on record with a month and half to go! Thankfully medium range guidance shows our driest week of the summer.
High pressure settling across the Ohio Valley provides pleasant morning lows in the 50s and lower 60s followed by mild afternoons Wednesday to Saturday. We do have isolated storm chances returning Brickyard 400 Sunday… but much can and will change in the forecast between now and then. Please check back for updates – Sean Ash
Cloud cover to the rescue today! Limited sunshine earlier in the day saved Central Indiana from organized severe weather. Though the highest risk for severe storms is displaced east and south, late day sunshine and a mesolow in the Indy metro area triggers pulse storms the next few hours.
Any storms that develop will be slow-movers and capable of tropical rainfall rates of 1-2″ per hour due to a highly saturated air mass. Localized flooding remains high due to these conditions, though it should be noted that a lot of backyards may not see a drop of rain this afternoon. But those underneath anything that develops gets dumped on.
After highs have recovered into the mid-80s and the Muggy Meter remains oppressive with dew points well into the 70s. The arrival of upper disturbance Monday brings a renewed risk of severe storms…especially during the afternoon and along/south of I-70.
Rain and storm chances exit the forecast and region after Monday night as we stare down a multi-day dry spell carries into the start of next weekend. We typically don’t get too excited about four consecutive dry days, but in the midst of record-breaking July and summer rainfall it’s noteworthy.
A high pressure system settles into the Ohio Valley and delivers several days of mostly sunny conditions and comparatively comfortable humidity. This is just what the doctor ordered for water-logged Indiana!
After mid-week mild weather we’ll see temperatures warm to near 90 degrees next weekend with isolated storm chances next Sunday. Have a great afternoon and check back for updates – Sean Ash
It will be another hot and humid day with more thunderstorms expected. A cold front will generate thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening.
The thunderstorms will have the potential to be strong to severe, with the main threats being damaging winds.
Heavy rain will be possible too, triggering more flooding. The area from Lafayette, Indianapolis to Seymour has had very heavy rain over the past 7 days.
It won’t be as hot as Saturday but afternoon highs will still climb into the upper 80s with heat indices in the low 90s.
It will be mild overnight with a low in the low 70s.
Another round of thunderstorms will be possible Monday afternoon into the evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has a good portion of central Indiana outlined again for a low risk of severe weather. Once again, it appears that damaging winds will be the biggest threat, along with pockets of heavy rain.
We’ll finally get a break from the stormy and wet pattern by mid week.
More heat and humidity return for next week.
Temperatures climbed into the low 90s this afternoon and with the high humidity, heat indices climbed into the triple digits. A Heat Advisory continues until 8pm this evening.
A Tornado Watch is in effect for north central Indiana, including Monticello, Peru, Marion and Portland, until midnight.
The Storm Prediction Center has areas along and north of I-70 in a low risk of severe weather with Crawfordsville, Tipton, and Marion in a moderate risk of severe weather. Be weather aware this evening.
There could be two rounds of storms into the early morning hours of Sunday. Damaging winds looks to be the main threat from the storms with heavy rainfall possible too.
It will be a warm and muggy overnight with temperatures only falling into the mid 70s.
Most of central Indiana is outlined for a low risk of severe weather for Sunday. Again, damaging winds looks to be the main threat.
The best chance of storms will be late afternoon through the evening.
It will be another hot and steamy day with temperatures climbing into the low 90s. Heat indices will be in the upper 90s.
A few lingering storms are possible on Monday morning.
More seasonal conditions push in for the rest of the work week with more heat and humidity arriving for the weekend.
This is a preliminary report:
The National Weather Service Survey team of Indianapolis confirmed a tornado that revealed EF1 damage with approximately 100 mph winds. It affected a residence south of Newcastle road, between County Road 775 East and County Road 900 East in southeast Tippecanoe county. Numerous trees west of the affected residence had tops sheared off or were downed completely. Also, a garage at the residence was destroyed. It occurred at 4:28pm on Friday, July 17th.
The National Weather Service of Indianapolis has confirmed a second tornado hit another portion of southeastern Tippecanoe county. It hit the Meadow Ridge subdivision, just south of US 52 and 900S. Meteorologist in Charge, Daniel McCarthy, determined that it was an EF1 tornado, packing in winds of 97 mph. It occurred around 4:38 pm yesterday afternoon. Observed damage included a collapsed garage, downed trees, and at least one home with vinyl siding removed.
From the National Weather Service in Indianapolis:
725 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 07/17/2015 TIPPECANOE COUNTY TORNADOES... .OVERVIEW... A ROTATING THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED TWO TORNADOES ACROSS TIPPECANOE COUNTY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OF JULY 17. BOTH TORNADOES OCCURRED SOUTHEAST OF THE LAFAYETTE AREA AND WERE RATED EF-1. TREES WERE DOWNED AND A COUPLE OF GARAGES WERE DESTROYED. .TORNADO 1... RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH PATH LENGTH: 0.21 MILES PATH WIDTH: 75 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUL 17 2015 START TIME: 4:33 PM EDT START LOCATION: 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE END DATE: JUL 17 2015 END TIME: 4:33 PM EDT END LOCATION: 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE SURVEY SUMMARY: NWS SURVEY REVEALED EF1 DAMAGE WITH APPROXIMATELY 100 MPH WINDS AFFECTING A RESIDENCE SOUTH OF NEWCASTLE ROAD...BETWEEN COUNTY ROAD 775 EAST AND COUNTY ROAD 900 EAST IN SOUTHEAST TIPPECANOE COUNTY. NUMEROUS TREES WEST OF THE AFFECTED RESIDENCE HAD TOPS SHEARED OFF OR WERE DOWNED COMPLETELY AND A GARAGE AT THE RESIDENCE WAS DESTROYED. .TORNADO 2... RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 97 MPH PATH LENGTH: 0.28 MILES PATH WIDTH: 100 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUL 17 2015 START TIME: 4:38 PM EDT START LOCATION: 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE END DATE: JUL 17 2015 END TIME: 4:39 PM EDT END LOCATION: 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE SURVEY SUMMARY: NWS SURVEY REVEALED EF1 DAMAGE WITH APPROXIMATELY 97 MPH WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF TIPPECANOE COUNTY...SOUTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 52 AND COUNTY ROAD 900 SOUTH. OBSERVED DAMAGE INCLUDED A COLLAPSED GARAGE...DOWNED TREES...AND AT LEAST ONE HOME WITH VINYL SIDING REMOVED. EF SCALE: THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES: EF0...WEAK......65 TO 85 MPH EF1...WEAK......86 TO 110 MPH EF2...STRONG....111 TO 135 MPH EF3...STRONG....136 TO 165 MPH EF4...VIOLENT...166 TO 200 MPH EF5...VIOLENT...>200 MPH NOTE: THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM DATA.
The heat is on across central Indiana today. It will likely be the hottest day of the year with a hot and humid air mass in place. Temperatures will soar into the low 90s and with dewpoints in the 70s, it will feel like it’s in the triple digits.
A Heat Advisory is in effect from noon to 8pm today for all of central Indiana.
After the 3” to 5” of rain that fell yesterday, there are still Flood Warnings in effect and a Flash Flood Warning in effect for Parke county until 8:45am today.
Indianapolis received 3.43” of rain yesterday and that puts Indy in the 3rd wettest July on record with 11.61”. The wettest July goes back to 1875 with 13.12” of rain.
The storms yesterday not only brought heavy rain but there were a few funnel clouds reported in Tippecanoe and Shelby counties.
A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into the evening. A few heavy downpours will be possible.
It will be cloudy, muggy, and warm overnight with lows in the mid 70s.
There is a low risk of severe thunderstorms on Sunday. The main threats will be damaging winds and heavy rain.
It will be a hot and sticky day with highs in the low 90s.
Thunderstorms will be likely Sunday evening into early Monday morning.
Temperatures will be more seasonal during the work week with more heat returning next weekend.
Storms with heavy rain, lightning and damaging winds moved through central Indiana late Friday. These storms brought 3-5 inches of rain and dangerous flash flooding. Water may still be rising overnight and flooding is hard to see at night. It is a good idea to take extra care when you travel Friday night through early Saturday. Our rivers will remain high and under flood warnings for several days.
There will some dry hours on Saturday, as the heat builds. High temperatures will be in the range of 90-95 and heat index values will be 100-110. A heat advisory is in effect for the state on Saturday.
We are expecting some dry hours, but a few storms will be possible Saturday afternoon and evening. Any storm that develops may contain more heavy rain. If you have outdoor plans, you can check Live Doppler 13 Radar on your phone with the SkyTrak13 Weather app. There will be some dry hours on Sunday too, with highs in the lower and middle 90s. More scattered storms are possible later in the day. There is a slight risk for severe weather on Sunday. Here is the latest timing of those storm chances this weekend. There will be updates to the timing and placement of the storms so check back for updates.
The storm chances will end early Monday. Right now we have a few dry days in the forecast for next week. We hope this dry pattern materializes. This July is now the 3rd wettest on record, with over 11 inches of rain in Indianapolis.