Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
The SkyTrak13 Weather Team tracked a developing storm system into central Indiana on Monday evening. That system prompted a tornado watch. The strongest cell moved over the city of Bedford with winds estimated 40-60mph and there were reports of power lines down. The threats overnight and into early Tuesday will be heavy rain and the potential for some lowland flooding. The rain will continue to fall through the Tuesday morning commute. If you commute to work or school before there is enough daylight, be extra careful. It will be even more difficult to see how deep the water is and it is always a good idea not to drive over any road that has water over it.
This weather system will keep our weather pattern unsettled through the middle part of the week. There will be lingering pockets of heavy rain on Tuesday and the threat for a few stronger cells too. The main risk for severe weather is to our SW, but we will watch it closely for changes.
Temperatures will be in the 60s on Tuesday. Wednesday will be cloudy and cool, with a few showers. Highs will only be in the 50s on Wednesday. A few lingering showers are possible into Thursday, before drier weather arrives for the end of the week and the weekend.
The leading of a line of heavy rain and locally severe wind continues to push northeast into central Indiana. Heavy rain is likely area wide tonight and locally severe wind or brief tornadoes are possible.
Much of the area remains under a Tornado Watch until 1am, including Indianapolis, Muncie, Bloomington and Columbus. If any spin-ups occur it will be on the leading of the line. This line will arrive in the Indianapolis metro area around 10-10:30pm.
Flooding and Flash Flooding are bigger concerns overnight due to torrential rains that may exceed 1″ in some locations. Use caution while driving tonight and early Tuesday morning.
Remain weather aware until we can sound the all clear – Sean Ash
A line of strong to locally severe storms continue to move toward Indiana. Within the past hour the Storm Prediction Center issued a Tornado Watch for the southern half of Indiana, including the Indianapolis metro area. Tornado and damaging wind probabilities have been ramped up for the western half of the state due to very high directional and speed wind shear in place.
This puts the possibility of quick spin-ups embedded within the main line in play later this evening. A few Tornado Warnings are possible before midnight. We’re still expecting the leading of the line to cross over the Illinois/Indiana border between 7-8pm and race into the metro area before 11pm. We continue to bracket the hours of 8pm to 2am for the window of severe weather opportunity. Remain weather aware until we sound the all clear.
With the potent upper level storm spinning over Illinois Tuesday, central Indiana will be in the line for lines of storms… some of which could produces locally severe wind and quick spin-ups. The officially Slight Risk is in southeastern Indiana, but may be pushed farther west tomorrow to include more of the viewing area.
Wednesday and Thursday feature scattered shower and storm chances before cooler air arrives this weekend. Stay tuned for updates this evening – Sean Ash
It’s been a damp start to the week and some areas have already received a half-inch to an inch of rain. Though it won’t rain all day long, we do anticipate several more bouts of heavy storms between now and Tuesday afternoon.
We continue to bracket the hours of 8pm to 2am for damaging wind potential in central Indiana… though it remains uncertain how far east the squall line will maintain its severe characteristics. There’s a significantly higher threat of wind damage within the Moderate Risk severe area that stretches from the bootheel of Missouri to Louisiana. That’s where wind shear and instability will be maximized.
Locally we believe the area of greatest wind potential will be south-southwest of Indianapolis, but very subject to change. This is a region that likely catches the coma head of the bowing line before it begins to weaken. The remainder of the overnight will be dealing with residual heavy rain from the line. Areas of flooding and flash flooding are possible.
Additional heavy storms are likely by the Tuesday morning commute and severe storms, including quick spin-ups, remain in play tomorrow as well. The Storm Prediction Center may upgrade the eastern half of Indiana to a Slight Risk Tuesday. Flooding may be the biggest threat with an additional 1-3″ possible in some areas. It’s a good idea to clear drains of any leaves to help ease the situation.
Unsettled conditions remain in place Wednesday and Thursday as the upper level storm spins around the Ohio Valley. Widely scattered, to at times numerous, showers and thunderstorms occur Wednesday into Thursday morning.
Stay weather aware and remember to download the WTHR Weather App.
Overall central Indiana enjoyed a decent weekend of weather… though the clouds this evening serve notice of the advertised change early this week. That change includes a return to the 70s, potential of severe storms and the likelihood of a heavy rain.
Tonight: More bark than bite in the clouds today with only a few sprinkles or showers expected prior to 10pm. Due to the overcast and shifting wind to south, temperatures overnight will be considerably warmer than the past few mornings. Lows will be near 60 at midnight and then rise into the lower and middle 60s for the bus stop and ride into work.
Monday: The warmer wind will help set off scattered showers and rumbles of thunder tonight into the Monday morning commute. Pack the umbrella as scattered showers and storms are fair game anytime tomorrow. Despite mostly cloudy conditions and areas of rain, daytime highs tomorrow will climb into the 70s for the first time since October 3rd… and a good 10 degrees above normal.
A Slight Risk of severe weather remains in place for the western half of the state, including the Indianapolis metro area. This is primarily for storms late tomorrow evening (most likely after 8pm) and into Tuesday. Lines of storms may produce severe wind, though it’s unclear if storms will be able to thrive in a stabilizing atmosphere tomorrow night.
Heavy rain appears likely Tuesday with some locations possibly seeing nearly 3″ of rain by Wednesday morning. Damaging wind and a slight tornado threat can’t be ruled out Tuesday either, though the risk is highly conditional on the amount of heating we see Tuesday.
More scattered showers and storms will circulate around the Ohio Valley Wednesday and Thursday before this system departs. Have a great evening – Sean Ash
An unsettled weather pattern will start to take over today as a warm front approaches. Clouds will increase from south to north today with a chance of a spotty shower or two later this afternoon into the evening.
It will be slightly warmer today than yesterday, although still below normal. Highs will top out in the low 60s.
Winds will turn out of the south this evening with mostly cloudy skies. A few isolated showers will be possible this evening with better chances of showers and thunderstorms by Monday morning. It will be mild with a low in the upper 50s.
Warm, moist air pushes in on Monday. It will FEEL humid. Temperatures will likely climb into the low 70s with breezy winds out of the south. There will be several dry hours on Monday afternoon before more thunderstorms develop.
Strong to severe storms will be possible, with the best time of arrival from late afternoon Monday through early Tuesday morning. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible.
Your SkyTrak13 weather team will keep you updated with the latest information as the storm system develops.
Heavy rain looks likely with this slow moving system. At this point, it looks like this low pressure system will stick around through Wednesday. Potential rainfall totals by then could be from 1.5” to 2.5” of rain.
High pressure will build in again by late in the work week. This will allow central Indiana to dry out with the quiet pattern continuing through the weekend.
A Frost Advisory is in effect Sunday morning, 2am-8am EDT for White, Cass, Miami, Wabash, Grant, Blackford and Jay counties. The skies will be clear overnight, allowing temperatures to tumble into the upper 30s.
Clouds will increase through the day on Sunday as a warm front arrives. A few spotty showers will be possible, especially along and south of I-70.
Winds will start to turn out of the east-southeast and temperatures will warm a few degrees higher than today with highs in the low 60s.
Shower chances continue Sunday night through Monday afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the low 70s with breezy southerly winds. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely by late afternoon and early evening on Monday. Some storms could be strong to severe Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Tuesday will still be soggy and stormy with highs near 60 degrees.
A few more showers will be possible on Wednesday but Thursday through the weekend, looks dry at this point.
High pressure builds in today, bringing a bright and dry autumn day to central Indiana. Winds will be out of the northeast from 5 to 10 mph with a high near 60 degrees.
There are many college football games today and here are the forecasts:
It will be mostly clear this evening with temperature running about 5 degrees below average. Temperatures will fall to near 40 degrees Sunday morning.
Clouds will increase on Sunday with a chance of a shower or two Sunday afternoon, as a warm front lifts across central Indiana. Temperatures will climb into the low 60s.
Afternoon highs will soar into the low 70s.
Tuesday looks wet too with more showers and thunderstorms likely.
There is a chance that the rainy activity could stick around through Wednesday but drier air arrives by Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will be running near seasonal by the end of the work week.
At this point, next weekend looks dry.