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Jun
26

Flash Flooding Threat Remains High Tonight

Posted By · June 26, 2015 at 10:35 pm

Areas of heavy rain and sporadic rumbles of thunder will continue to spin across Central Indiana as low pressure moves across the Ohio River Valley.  The threat for severe weather is over, but flooding remains likely in heavier downpours that will produce an additional 1-3″ locally.

FLOOD WARNING

At 10pm flash flooding was reported in portions of Delaware, Randolph, Madison, Henry, Hamilton and Tipton counties… with significant flooding occurring Muncie and Cicero.  Please use caution if traveling overnight in theses areas that remain under Flash Flood Warnings until 4:30am.

RPM RAIN POTENTIAL RPM SATURDAY 12AM RPM SATURDAY 8AM

Saturday begins damp with a good deal of cloud cover and lingering showers on the backside of the storm system.  A brisk northerly wind in the 15-25mph range will make it feel more like late April than late June and highs struggle to hit 70 degrees over much of the region… the exception being western Indiana where clouds should break sooner.

RPM SATURDAY 4PM PLANNER TOMORROW PLANNER INDIANS

Clouds clear area wide Saturday night and temperatures drop comfortably into the 50s by Sunday morning.  The cool start sets the stage for the best day of the Skytrak13 seven day forecast with sunshine and highs in the upper 70s.

RPM SUNDAY 6AM PLANNER SUNDAY

RPM SUNDAY 4PM

7DAY

We’re back to shower and storm chances Sunday night into Monday as a disturbance races down from the north-northwest.  This is part of an upper level pattern change that find the Ohio Valley in troughiness in the jet stream.  Expect a daily chance of rain and storms all of next week as the city makes a run at the one of the wetter Junes on record – Sean Ash

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Jun
26

Flash Flood Warnings For Indy Metro Area

Posted By · June 26, 2015 at 2:04 pm

Several bands of extremely heavy rain continue to pivot across Central Indiana… producing torrential rainfall rates of 1-3″ per hour.  This will result in flash flooding over a good portion of the WTHR viewing area.  Many counties, including Marion, are already in Flash Flood Warnings and additionally heavy rain is likely tonight heading into Saturday morning.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING RADAR ESTIMATES HRRR 4PM

HRRR 7PM HRRR 9PM

There’s also a risk for severe storms… including a 5% probability of tornadoes for areas south of I-70.  This would primarily be along and south of Bloomington to Columbus to Greensburg line.  Stay weather aware and expect additional watches and warnings to be issued the next several hours.

SPC DAY 1

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Jun
26

Flash Flood Watch; Heavy Rain on the Way

Posted By · June 26, 2015 at 11:59 am

Heavy rain is on the way to Central Indiana, and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect until Saturday morning.  Some areas could pick up 2-3″ of rain under the strongest storms.

saturday flood

We are also watching for the potential of severe weather south of I-70.  Damaging wind, hail and isolated tornadoes are all possible.  A greater risk of severe weather is south of Seymour and Bedford in the moderate risk area.

saturday severe

Highs will reach the mid 70s today.

saturday friday forecast

Here’s how the rain will play out hour by hour on FutureTrak13.

saturday 3pmsaturday firday 6pmsaturday friday 10pm

Temps fall into the low 60s tonight, with heavy rain continuing into Saturday morning.

saturday 7amsaturday 12pm

Saturday will remain cool with highs only reaching the low 70s.  Rain will be likely though early afternoon, we should start to dry out the later we head into the evening.

saturday saturday

We have a chance to dry out Sunday with highs in the upper 70s, but as early as Monday, a daily chance of showers and storms returns.

saturday 7 day

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Jun
26

Heavy Rain Friday into Saturday

Posted By · June 26, 2015 at 3:14 am

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again in the forecast today, and heavy rain is a concern through Saturday.

Highs will reach the mid 70s today, with activity picking up on the radar by late morning and midday.

friday today

Some storms in south central Indiana may be strong to severe.

friday severe

However, flooding is a big concern for all of Central Indiana.  In heavier storms 2-3″ of rain will be possible.  That’s why a Flash Flood Watch has been issued from noon until Saturday morning.

friday flash flood watch

friday 12pmfriday 630

From now through Saturday night, up to 2″ of rain is possible, and some areas may pick up more than that.

Saturday will be rainy and breezy.

friday saturday

The heaviest rain will fall in the morning, becoming more scattered for the afternoon as highs reach the mid 70s.

friday 8am saturday

Sunday will be the best day out of the weekend with sunshine and highs in the upper 70s.

So far for the month of June, Indy has picked up 6.49” of rain.

friday june rain

With rain chances in the forecast, we could break into the record books for one of the wettest Junes. The 10th wettest June happened in 1876 with 7.54” of rain falling, so we need just a little more than an inch of rain to move that record. The wettest June on record had 12.21” of rain in 1875.

friday june records

Our break from the rain won’t last long, late Sunday rain chances return, and in the 7 day forecast, a daily chance for showers and storms begins Monday.

friday 7 day

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Jun
25

Soggy Set Up To Start The Weekend

Posted By · June 25, 2015 at 7:57 pm

A few splash and dash showers are possible this evening… but much of the central part of the state remains dry.  We’ll monitor the southwestern corner of the state closely as storms in southern Illinois continue to increase and spread southeastward.  Sullivan, Greene and Lawrence counties are under a Severe T’Storm Watch until 1am.

WATCH WATCH 2 HRRR 10PM HRRR 1AM HRRR 8AM

Additional scattered heavy showers and storms are possible going into Friday morning.  We also anticipate more dry hours tomorrow before a low pressure begins to intensify along the Ohio River.  As this happens rain and storms will increase across Central Indiana… becoming widespread by sunset and dropping locally heavy rain amounts.


 

PLANNER FRIDAY RPM FRIDAY 5PM RPM FRIDAY 7PM

Friday night into Saturday morning will be wet and breezy as this system continues to intensify heading into Ohio.  A stiff northeasterly wind wrapping as the center of the low will make for blustery conditions Saturday morning.  Latest model trends are for a slower departure of this system and I’m leaning toward a wetter solution overall to Saturday.

RPM FRIDAY 11PM RPM SATURDAY 5AM RPM SATURDAY 8AM RPM SATURDAY 4PM RPM RAIN MODEL RAIN

We’re still targeting Sunday as the best day of the 7 day forecast… but it also includes an chance of rain heading toward sunset.  Stay weather aware the next 24-36 hours – Sean Ash

7DAY

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Jun
25

Wettest Month In A Year And More Rain On The Way

Posted By · June 25, 2015 at 4:55 pm

You don’t need me to tell you that’s it’s been a wet June thus far.  In fact, the early morning rainfall from heavy storms pushed Indianapolis’ monthly rainfall above 6″.  This is more than 2″ above the June monthly average and marks the wettest month in the city since last June when just over 7″ fell.

RAIN AMOUNTS JUNE STATS MODEL RAIN HEADLINES

 


Even higher totals occurred last night in west central Indiana where 3″+ dropped in parts of Vermillion, Parke and Putnam counties.  At this point we only widely scattered showers and storms this evening, but are monitoring conditions in southwestern Illinois/northern Missouri for storm initiation.  These storms would more likely have a higher impact on the southern half of Indiana and possibly produce some locally severe wind within the yellow shaded zone of the severe weather risk map.

VIS 1KM SPC DAY 1 HRRR 12AM HRRR 4AM PLANNER FRIDAY

Low pressure strengthening across the Ohio Valley Friday promises to deliver a rather wet and stormy stretch heading into the weekend.  Showers and locally heavy storms increase during the day tomorrow.  Much like this evening, cities in far southern Indiana stand the highest chance of severe storms where temperatures will be a bit warmer than the mid-70s over much of the viewing area.

RPM SATURDAY 6AM RPM SATURDAY 5PM PLANNER SATURDAY

We’ll be on the backside of this system early Saturday, but still under its damp and breezy influence.  A stiff northeasterly wind undercutting clouds and rain makes for an unpleasant start to the weekend.  But conditions should improve as the low moves away and this paves the way for the best day of the 7 day forecast on Sunday.  Comfortably cool lows in the 50s are followed by sunshine and 70s to finish the weekend.  By that time we’ll have earned it too!  Check back for updates – Sean Ash

RPM SUNDAY 6AM RPM SUNDAY 11AM PLANNER SUNDAY 7DAY

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Jun
25

Rain Totals & the Potential for More Storms

Posted By · June 25, 2015 at 11:09 am

After a morning of heavy rain across Central Indiana we are having a bit of break, however, we are watching the radar for the potential of more showers and storms to develop for this afternoon and evening.

These are the rain totals we’ve picked up from midnight through 10am.

monday rain totals

Montezuma in Parke County saw 3.25″ of rain this morning, a Flash Flood Warning is in effect until 2:30pm for that area and a few surrounding counties.

monday flash flood warning

At this time, a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for North Central Indiana.

monday flash flood watch

This afternoon scattered showers and storms are again possible as we top out in the upper 70s.

monday today

We can’t rule out a strong or severe storm this afternoon or evening.  That’s why we are still under a low risk of severe weather.  Damaging wind, heavy rain, hail, and isolated tornadoes are all possible.  However, damaging wind and heavy rain are our top threats.

monday severe

This is a view of FutureTrak13 as we head into this evening.

monday futuretrak tonight

Storms should end by tonight, but another chance for rain will come our way Friday.

monday friday forecast

Scattered showers and storms become likely by Friday afternoon and evening, and heavy rain will once again be a threat.

monday friday 1030pmmonday friday 8pm

By Saturday, some spots could pick up to 1-2″ of additional rain.  Sunday looks to be the best day out of the weekend with more wet weather moving in for the beginning of the week.

monday saturday 7am

monday 7 day

 

 

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Jun
25

Stormy Start

Posted By · June 25, 2015 at 3:01 am

Storms are moving into Indiana this morning. For areas south of Kokomo and Marion there is a slight risk of severe weather. Computer guidance looks like we could see a half inch to in some spots up to 2 inches of rain today. Lots of rain and thunderstorms for the drive to work so make sure you leave a little early and pack along some patience.

severeriskDaypart

After 11 am, most of the rain and thunderstorm activity will be spotty. We really want the cloud cover to hang around because that would lessen the chances of more storms deveoping.  We could see more spotty thunderstorms Friday.

Saturday could be a day with a thunderstorm or two as another system moves into the Ohio Valley but Sunday should be great with sunshine and highs in the 70s

.extended

 

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