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Milder Air is Here

Posted By · July 9, 2014 at 4:18 pm
Milder weather has arrived and it will last for the next couple of days.
Highs Wednesday were in the upper 70s and lower 80s.  Once the sun sets, it will turn cooler.  Forecast lows are forecast in the range of 55-60 degrees.  Skies will be clear overnight and there is sunshine in the Thursday forecast.
The day will start in the upper 50s.  Temperatures will be in the lower 70s by noon and forecast highs are near 80 degrees.
There is lots of sunshine in the forecast for Thursday and Friday.  Futuretrak 13 is clear through Friday evening.
There is a complex of storms that we will watch closely Friday night and early Saturday.  If is holds together, we may need to dodge some rain early Saturday.  The weekend will not be a washout, but it won’t be completely dry either.  A few more storms are possible on Sunday.  Highs this weekend will be in the lower and middle 80s and it will be more humid too.
The SkyTrak 13 7 day forecast has rain chances through Monday and much cooler air arriving by Wednesday.
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Spotty Showers Next Few Hours Then Pleasant Air Arrives

Posted By · July 8, 2014 at 4:37 pm

Just a few isolated showers have popped during daytime heating along and ahead of a cold front that will bring a return to pleasant conditions to central Indiana.


The Indianapolis Skycam shows fair weather clouds and blue sky this afternoon… with breezy conditions as gusts have neared 30mph at times.  Shower chances are low in the 20-30% range, so most backyards stay dry this evening.


Temperatures are only the lower 80s but it feels much warmer due to lingering muggy air.  However, the passage of a cool front this evening will push the Muggy Meter back into the comfortable range for several days.


With dew points falling into the 50s, you’ll be able to open the windows at night and allow fresh air to cool the house.


The dry air arrives just in time to push isolated showers south of Victory Field before the Indianapolis Indians’ first pitch at 7:05pm.  If you’re heading to the game expect a pleasant breeze and mild temperatures in the 70s.


Any showers diminish quickly this evening and clouds should clear early too.  The only fly-in-on-the-ointment overnight and early Wednesday will be areas of dense fog that develop due to the early morning and lows dropping to near 60 degrees.


Any fog should quickly diminish to allow for a mostly sunny midday and just some fair weather clouds during the afternoon.  Expect mild highs in the mid to upper 70s tomorrow with gusty thermal winds developing to the tune of 10 to 25mph.


More spectacular summer weather is in store for Thursday and Friday across the Ohio Valley.  It appears our next storm chance will be Friday night into Saturday morning… though the verdict remains out on exact timing and coverage at this point.


Definitely nothing to cancel any weekend plans over at this point, but we’ll adjust the forecast as needed heading into the weekend.  Meanwhile… long range ensemble data continues to hint of another fall-ish air mass over the Ohio Valley next week that would produce temperature anomalies of 10-15 degrees Tuesday through Thursday.  It’s far away, but another trend we’re eyeing closely.  It is reflected in the 7 day forecast with highs dropping back into the 70s after a round of heavy storms next Monday.



Have a great evening and enjoy the refreshing air this evening – Sean Ash

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Strong Storms For Some This Evening And More On The Way

Posted By · July 7, 2014 at 4:38 pm

Widely scattered heavy storms continue to dot central Indiana this afternoon and early evening.  Though lightning and downpours appear to be the main threats today, locally severe wind and hail are possible in stronger storms…especially southwestern Indiana where the atmosphere is most unstable.  We’ve heard of numerous trees down in Brazil from likely downburst storm winds earlier today.


Storms may diminish in a few hours and many may not see a drop of rain until Tuesday morning.


Computer model consensus indicates widespread storms to impact the area again early Tuesday, with potential for damaging wind and certainly heavy rain that will impact the morning commute.


It’s uncertain how much redevelopment will occur after this complex passes to the east by midday.  Additional storms are possible Tuesday afternoon but at this point it appears the best instability and wind shear will be displaced farther south along the Ohio River.  But stay tuned for potential changes.


Less humid air arrives Tuesday night and paves the way for sunny, pleasant conditions Wednesday into Friday afternoon.  Lows may drop into the 50s Thursday morning and highs in the 70s look likely for a few days.

Warmer, humid air builds in for the weekend and may trigger new storms beginning as early as Friday night.  However…there should be plenty of dry hours this weekend too.  Stay weather aware friends – Sean Ash


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Muggy Air Fuels Storms Monday and Tuesday

Posted By · July 6, 2014 at 5:12 pm

You can definitely feel the difference in humidity this afternoon, with the Muggy Meter now well in the uncomfortable range.  This is due to an influx of gulf moisture as dew points are 15-20 degrees higher than 24 hours ago.  Sticky stuff is here to stay for the next 48 hours and will fuel possibly severe storms and areas of heavy rain Monday and Tuesday.



Another byproduct of the humid air is uncomfortable lows near 70 in the morning.  While isolated showers are possible this evening, it appears the best chance of rain and storms will be after midnight and just prior to sunrise.  We’ll need to monitor storms in the western Great Lakes to see if they’ll be able to hold together and make it into central Indiana after midnight and before sunrise.  It’s questionable a this point, but don’t be surprised to hear some rumbles of thunder overnight.



Strong to severe storms are possible Monday as a cold front approaches central Indiana… and much of the state is under a warranted Slight Risk.  With tropical air in place, areas of heavy rain are likely in any storms that develop.  All modes of severe weather are possible tomorrow, but there is much uncertainty on time/location of storm initiation after early morning storms and cloud debris.  Stay weather aware tomorrow.


An unsettled pattern remains in place Tuesday with storms likely and more heavy rain to start the day.


The aforementioned front settles south of the Ohio River mid-week… allowing less humid air and sunshine to return Wednesday into Friday.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash


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Unsettled Weather Pattern Takes Over

Posted By · July 6, 2014 at 12:31 pm

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon with temperatures climbing into the low 80s.

sunday ft

A cold front will arrive late tonight, bringing showers and thunderstorms to central Indiana.

monday ft

It will be a mild and muggy overnight with temperatures only falling into the upper 60s.

The front will stall out in south central Indiana tomorrow afternoon.  There is a slight risk of severe weather Monday afternoon and evening, along and south of I-70.

severe storms

More rain is likely on Tuesday with drier and cooler conditions returning by mid week.


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Scattered Showers Today, Strong Storms Possible Monday

Posted By · July 6, 2014 at 7:03 am

A few light showers are falling across portions of central Indiana this morning, mainly north of I-70.  The spotty showers will dissipate by mid morning with partly sunny skies.

More heat and more humidity arrive today with temperatures climbing into the mid 80s.  Winds will be gusty at times, out of the southwest from 5 to 15 mph.  There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with the heating of the day.

Temperatures will climb into the low to mid 80s this afternoon across central Indiana.

Better chances of rain moves in later tonight, as a cold front approaches.  Heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds will be possible.  Temperatures will only fall into the upper 60s.


There is a slight risk of severe storms on Monday, mainly along and south of I-70.  Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats.  The best timing right now looks like late afternoon and evening on Monday.  Monday’s highs will be in the mid 80s.

severe chance MONDAY FT NIGHT

More showers and thunderstorms will be likely on Tuesday.  It will be cooler too, with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s.

A cooler and drier pattern takes over by mid week with temperatures running a few degrees below normal.

Thunderstorm chances return for the weekend and so does the heat and humidity.


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Heat & Humidity Returns Next Week

Posted By · July 5, 2014 at 5:23 pm

After another gorgeous July day, a quiet evening is in store with partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will still be running a few degrees below normal, with a low near 60 degrees.

The wind will pick up out of the southwest Sunday, from 10 to 15 mph, allowing warmer air and more moist air to arrive. Afternoon highs will climb into the low to mid 80s with humidity rising too. Clouds will increase through the day.


There is a chance of s spotty shower late Sunday afternoon but better chances of showers and thunderstorms holds off until late Sunday as a cold front approaches. There is a slight chance of severe weather in extreme northern Indiana.


Your SkyTrak13 Weather Team will keep you updated on the latest on strong storm potential.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Monday.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be likely on Tuesday.

A cooler and drier pattern returns by mid week.


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Holiday Weekend Forecast

Posted By · July 5, 2014 at 7:17 am

After a gorgeous Independence Day, the fantastic weather continues again today. It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low 80s. Winds will be light, out of the south from 5 to 10 mph.


It will be mostly clear tonight with a low near 60 degrees, running more than 5 degrees below normal.

Some changes start to arrive on Sunday. Clouds will increase through the afternoon and humidity will rise as well. It will be breezy, with winds out of the southwest from 10 to 15 mph. Temperatures will climb into the mid 80s.


A cold front will push in late Sunday night, bringing the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.


Temperatures will fall into the mid 60s.  There is a slight risk of severe weather Sunday night into Monday morning for extreme northwestern Indiana.


The unsettled pattern will stick around through mid week with chances of scattered storms through Wednesday.



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