Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
We certainly enjoyed a great weekend and hopefully you had a chance to get out and enjoy. A quiet evening head with seasonably cool lows in the 30s tonight.
Monday begins with some sunshine but expect clouds to increase throughout the day with some showers possible by sunset. Despite less sunshine tomorrow, highs climb into the mid and upper 50s.
Better rain and storm chances arrive Tuesday as the latest fall storm gets closer from the Central and Southern Plains. It appears we’ll have periods of showers and thunder from Tuesday morning to Wednesday night. Some heavy rain will be possible during that time but it appears Central Indiana will likely dodge severe weather at this time.
Rain amounts likely fall in the 1″ to 2.5″ range over Central Indiana. But it should be noted we’re not far away from the heaviest modeled axis in Illinois. Any shift to the upper storm will change rain amounts higher or lower. Check back for updates.
Model guidance later this week suggests below normal air arriving Thursday night into Friday… with several days with highs in the 40s. Unfortunately guidance diverges on a solution for next weekend regarding precipitation type. There is some data that supports a cold enough temperature profile for snow showers to mix with rain showers. It’s still a week away so it’s tough to try and peg an exact outcome. For now we’ll mention the possibility of rain/snow showers but with a disclaimer of low confidence. Have a great evening – Sean Ash
It will be a sunny and seasonably warm Sunday afternoon with temperatures climbing 10 degrees above average. Afternoon highs will be in the low 60s with light winds out of the south-southwest.
It will be clear and cool this evening with temperatures falling into the mid 30s Monday morning.
Clouds will increase on Monday as a warm front arrives. There is a chance of afternoon showers along the front with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Rain will move in by early Tuesday morning. Showers will continue into Tuesday afternoon with highs in the low 60s.
Periods of showers will continue on Wednesday along a cold front, with some pockets of heavy rain possible.
Rain will end by Wednesday evening with some areas picking up rain totals of one to two inches. It will be breezy on Wednesday with highs in the low 60s.
Cooler air begins to arrive on Thursday. It will be breezy with highs in the mid 50s.
There is a chance of a few showers on Saturday but the real story next weekend will be the cooler temperatures. Afternoon highs will only climb into the mid 40s Saturday and Sunday.
Temperatures fell into the low to mid 20s this morning, the coldest morning since March 29th, where temperatures fell to 24 degrees.
It was a fantastic fall day with temperatures climbing into the mid 50s after a cold start this morning.
It won’t be quite as cold tonight. Winds will be light, out of the southwest. Wake up temperatures will be in the mid 30s.
A terrific Sunday will take shape with blue skies and brilliant sunshine. Afternoon highs will climb into the low 60s, running nearly 10 degrees above normal.
Changes move in for the work week with a wet pattern moving in. Clouds will increase Monday with a chance of showers by afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the mid 50s.
Showers become likely Monday night and will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain could be heavy at times on Wednesday, with windy conditions.
Rain will end by early Thursday morning with breezy winds remaining.
A nice fall weekend is in store with light wind and a gradual warming trend. Temperatures have tumbled into the upper 20s this morning, making it the coldest morning since March 29th. Temperatures will rebound into the mid 50s this afternoon with light breezes out of the southwest.
It will be a cool but sunny weather for the IU vs. Michigan game in Bloomington.
It will be clear and cold again tonight with temperatures falling into the low 30s.
Sunday will bring more mild conditions to central Indiana. The winds will continue to turn out of the southwest, allowing temperatures to climb into the low 60s.
A wet pattern will move in for most of the work week.
Clouds will increase on Monday with a chance of afternoon showers. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid 50s.
Rain will become likely by Monday evening along a warm front.
Scattered showers will continue on Tuesday with heavy rain possible on Wednesday.
There is a chance of a few lingering showers on Thursday.
After that cold start, it will be sunny with highs in the 50s. We will end the weekend with sunshine and highs in the 60s on Sunday. Enjoy this quiet and dry weather pattern this weekend because our weather pattern turns rainy next week.
Clouds will increase on Monday, with a chance for a few showers late in the day. We are timing a couple of rounds of potentially heavy rain. One on Tuesday and another on Wednesday. Rainfall potential is a couple of inches. We are still several days away from this storm system. We will continue to update you on timing and how much rain to expect next week.
Strong wind continues to rip across Central Indiana and much of the Great Lakes. Thus far highest gusts have been in the 50 to near 55mph range. Expect gusts of 40 to near 50mph until sunset with temperatures in the 40s and lower 50s.
Clouds clear later this evening and overnight with but breezy conditions linger into Friday afternoon. Lows drop into the mid-30s with bus stop and morning commute wind chills in the 20s tomorrow.
Sunshine will be a welcomed sight Friday but also help ignite some gusty thermal winds during peak heating hours. Though not as strong as today, wind gusts of 35 to near 40mph will certainly get your attention during the afternoon. Gusts should quickly diminish toward and after sunset tomorrow which is perfect timing for Operation Football.
High pressure settles across the region Friday night and allows temperatures to tumble into the lower and mid-20s Saturday morning… the coldest levels around here since late March. But the frosty start gives way to a beautifully sunny weekend in Central Indiana. Expect highs Saturday in the 50s and in the 60s Sunday.
The next fall storm shows up early next week and likely spawns a multi-day severe weather event south and southwest of Central Indiana… though we’ll need to monitor for a conditional severe threat Tuesday and Wednesday.
The bigger story will be heavy rainfall and computer model consensus is in the 2″ to 4″ range. So we’re advising to get yard work done this weekend before the deluge arrives.
Strong winds will remain in Central Indiana this afternoon into tonight. At times, wind gusts up to 55mph will be possible, with sustained winds out of the west up to 30mph. That’s why a high wind warning and wind advisory is in effect until tonight.
This afternoon a mix of sun and clouds is expected, so temperatures should be able to warm into the low 50s.
Tonight temps fall into the upper 30s with winds out of the west up to 30mph. By Friday morning, it will feel more like the upper 20s with the wind chill.
Friday will remain cool and breezy.
In the 7 day forecast, we start the weekend with temps below freezing Saturday morning, but will warm into the 50s for the afternoon. Sunday the 60s return with mostly sunny skies. Our next chance for rain will arrive late Monday and stick around into Tuesday and Wednesday.
***High Wind Likely Later Tonight And Thursday***
Gusty showers with rumbles of thunder have arrived and continue for several more hours. Wind gusts are already nearing 40mph and only get stronger later tonight into Thursday morning. Low pressure continues to deepen (strengthen) as it heads toward Wisconsin. It does appear that a line of severe storms in northern Illinois misses Central Indiana but line segments farther south cross the Indiana line around 11pm with 60+mph gust potential.
However a fast moving cold front moves across the Indy metro area roughly in the 4am-5am time frame. The passage of this front opens the gate to a temperature tumble and numerous 50+mph non-thunderstorm gusts. These could produce some power outages and tree damage during the morning commute.
Expect a rather cloudy day Thursday with highs only in the 50s but the coldest air arrives to kick off the weekend. Breezy conditions continue into Friday and highs only manage the 40s under a building low cloud deck. By sunrise Saturday lows drop into the 20s to mark our coldest morning since late March.
But the weekend will be filled with sunny and certainly feel like it should for mid-November. The dry window this weekend gets slammed shut next week as long range indicators point toward a potentially active and wet set up next week. Tuesday and Wednesday Central Indiana looks to be in the cross-hairs of several inches of rain and perhaps more thunderstorms. It’s too early to tell if any storms will be severe locally… but it certainly can’t be ruled out at this point.
Stay up to date on a changeable forecast – Sean Ash