Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
Areas of heavy rain and sporadic rumbles of thunder will continue to spin across Central Indiana as low pressure moves across the Ohio River Valley. The threat for severe weather is over, but flooding remains likely in heavier downpours that will produce an additional 1-3″ locally.
At 10pm flash flooding was reported in portions of Delaware, Randolph, Madison, Henry, Hamilton and Tipton counties… with significant flooding occurring Muncie and Cicero. Please use caution if traveling overnight in theses areas that remain under Flash Flood Warnings until 4:30am.
Saturday begins damp with a good deal of cloud cover and lingering showers on the backside of the storm system. A brisk northerly wind in the 15-25mph range will make it feel more like late April than late June and highs struggle to hit 70 degrees over much of the region… the exception being western Indiana where clouds should break sooner.
Clouds clear area wide Saturday night and temperatures drop comfortably into the 50s by Sunday morning. The cool start sets the stage for the best day of the Skytrak13 seven day forecast with sunshine and highs in the upper 70s.
We’re back to shower and storm chances Sunday night into Monday as a disturbance races down from the north-northwest. This is part of an upper level pattern change that find the Ohio Valley in troughiness in the jet stream. Expect a daily chance of rain and storms all of next week as the city makes a run at the one of the wetter Junes on record – Sean Ash
Several bands of extremely heavy rain continue to pivot across Central Indiana… producing torrential rainfall rates of 1-3″ per hour. This will result in flash flooding over a good portion of the WTHR viewing area. Many counties, including Marion, are already in Flash Flood Warnings and additionally heavy rain is likely tonight heading into Saturday morning.
There’s also a risk for severe storms… including a 5% probability of tornadoes for areas south of I-70. This would primarily be along and south of Bloomington to Columbus to Greensburg line. Stay weather aware and expect additional watches and warnings to be issued the next several hours.
Heavy rain is on the way to Central Indiana, and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect until Saturday morning. Some areas could pick up 2-3″ of rain under the strongest storms.
We are also watching for the potential of severe weather south of I-70. Damaging wind, hail and isolated tornadoes are all possible. A greater risk of severe weather is south of Seymour and Bedford in the moderate risk area.
Highs will reach the mid 70s today.
Here’s how the rain will play out hour by hour on FutureTrak13.
Temps fall into the low 60s tonight, with heavy rain continuing into Saturday morning.
Saturday will remain cool with highs only reaching the low 70s. Rain will be likely though early afternoon, we should start to dry out the later we head into the evening.
We have a chance to dry out Sunday with highs in the upper 70s, but as early as Monday, a daily chance of showers and storms returns.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again in the forecast today, and heavy rain is a concern through Saturday.
Highs will reach the mid 70s today, with activity picking up on the radar by late morning and midday.
Some storms in south central Indiana may be strong to severe.
However, flooding is a big concern for all of Central Indiana. In heavier storms 2-3″ of rain will be possible. That’s why a Flash Flood Watch has been issued from noon until Saturday morning.
From now through Saturday night, up to 2″ of rain is possible, and some areas may pick up more than that.
Saturday will be rainy and breezy.
The heaviest rain will fall in the morning, becoming more scattered for the afternoon as highs reach the mid 70s.
Sunday will be the best day out of the weekend with sunshine and highs in the upper 70s.
So far for the month of June, Indy has picked up 6.49” of rain.
With rain chances in the forecast, we could break into the record books for one of the wettest Junes. The 10th wettest June happened in 1876 with 7.54” of rain falling, so we need just a little more than an inch of rain to move that record. The wettest June on record had 12.21” of rain in 1875.
Our break from the rain won’t last long, late Sunday rain chances return, and in the 7 day forecast, a daily chance for showers and storms begins Monday.
A few splash and dash showers are possible this evening… but much of the central part of the state remains dry. We’ll monitor the southwestern corner of the state closely as storms in southern Illinois continue to increase and spread southeastward. Sullivan, Greene and Lawrence counties are under a Severe T’Storm Watch until 1am.
Additional scattered heavy showers and storms are possible going into Friday morning. We also anticipate more dry hours tomorrow before a low pressure begins to intensify along the Ohio River. As this happens rain and storms will increase across Central Indiana… becoming widespread by sunset and dropping locally heavy rain amounts.
Friday night into Saturday morning will be wet and breezy as this system continues to intensify heading into Ohio. A stiff northeasterly wind wrapping as the center of the low will make for blustery conditions Saturday morning. Latest model trends are for a slower departure of this system and I’m leaning toward a wetter solution overall to Saturday.
We’re still targeting Sunday as the best day of the 7 day forecast… but it also includes an chance of rain heading toward sunset. Stay weather aware the next 24-36 hours – Sean Ash
You don’t need me to tell you that’s it’s been a wet June thus far. In fact, the early morning rainfall from heavy storms pushed Indianapolis’ monthly rainfall above 6″. This is more than 2″ above the June monthly average and marks the wettest month in the city since last June when just over 7″ fell.
Even higher totals occurred last night in west central Indiana where 3″+ dropped in parts of Vermillion, Parke and Putnam counties. At this point we only widely scattered showers and storms this evening, but are monitoring conditions in southwestern Illinois/northern Missouri for storm initiation. These storms would more likely have a higher impact on the southern half of Indiana and possibly produce some locally severe wind within the yellow shaded zone of the severe weather risk map.
Low pressure strengthening across the Ohio Valley Friday promises to deliver a rather wet and stormy stretch heading into the weekend. Showers and locally heavy storms increase during the day tomorrow. Much like this evening, cities in far southern Indiana stand the highest chance of severe storms where temperatures will be a bit warmer than the mid-70s over much of the viewing area.
We’ll be on the backside of this system early Saturday, but still under its damp and breezy influence. A stiff northeasterly wind undercutting clouds and rain makes for an unpleasant start to the weekend. But conditions should improve as the low moves away and this paves the way for the best day of the 7 day forecast on Sunday. Comfortably cool lows in the 50s are followed by sunshine and 70s to finish the weekend. By that time we’ll have earned it too! Check back for updates – Sean Ash
After a morning of heavy rain across Central Indiana we are having a bit of break, however, we are watching the radar for the potential of more showers and storms to develop for this afternoon and evening.
These are the rain totals we’ve picked up from midnight through 10am.
Montezuma in Parke County saw 3.25″ of rain this morning, a Flash Flood Warning is in effect until 2:30pm for that area and a few surrounding counties.
At this time, a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for North Central Indiana.
This afternoon scattered showers and storms are again possible as we top out in the upper 70s.
We can’t rule out a strong or severe storm this afternoon or evening. That’s why we are still under a low risk of severe weather. Damaging wind, heavy rain, hail, and isolated tornadoes are all possible. However, damaging wind and heavy rain are our top threats.
This is a view of FutureTrak13 as we head into this evening.
Storms should end by tonight, but another chance for rain will come our way Friday.
Scattered showers and storms become likely by Friday afternoon and evening, and heavy rain will once again be a threat.
By Saturday, some spots could pick up to 1-2″ of additional rain. Sunday looks to be the best day out of the weekend with more wet weather moving in for the beginning of the week.
Storms are moving into Indiana this morning. For areas south of Kokomo and Marion there is a slight risk of severe weather. Computer guidance looks like we could see a half inch to in some spots up to 2 inches of rain today. Lots of rain and thunderstorms for the drive to work so make sure you leave a little early and pack along some patience.
After 11 am, most of the rain and thunderstorm activity will be spotty. We really want the cloud cover to hang around because that would lessen the chances of more storms deveoping. We could see more spotty thunderstorms Friday.
Saturday could be a day with a thunderstorm or two as another system moves into the Ohio Valley but Sunday should be great with sunshine and highs in the 70s