Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
Patchy dense fog is likely across Central Indiana this morning, with more showers and storms developing throughout the day.
In the last 24 hours Indy picked up 1.08″ of rain. Thursday night, there was a report of a tornado in Terre Haute. The National Weather Service will confirm that report later today.
Highs will top out around 70 degrees with scattered showers and storms. As of right now, severe storms are not expected.
Saturday is opening day at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and a spotty afternoon shower is possible as temps reach the mid 60s with winds gusting up to 25mph out of the northwest.
Mother’s Day will be cool and dry with temps only reaching the mid to upper 50s.
Tuesday and Wednesday a big temp jump close to 80 comes our way, then we’ll start tracking more storm chances late Wednesday night into Thursday.
This afternoon, strong to severe storms are possible across Central Indiana. Damaging wind, large hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rain is possible with any storm that develops.
Highs will top out in the upper 70s with scattered showers and storms this afternoon and evening. The more sunshine we get, the higher probability of severe storms. Cloud cover will inhibit severe storm development.
Tonight, scattered showers and storms will continue as we head towards midnight, but the severe risk should die down.
Friday, will not be a washout, but a shower or thunderstorm is possible, especially through midday. The risk for rain will push to our southeast counties Friday afternoon and night.
Saturday a few spotty showers are possible for the afternoon, and by Sunday highs will only reach the 50s!
By Monday morning, we could see patch frost.
We’ll have a slight risk for severe thunderstorms between 4pm and 10pm Thursday. Our main threat will be for 60mph winds, large hail and lightning.
Up to an inch of rain will fall from some of the stronger storms and our rain threat will continue through Saturday.
WTHR.com weather tools
Sign up for Personal Forecast – This allows you to receive text or email alerts whenever there is a watch or warning in the counties you have specified.
Interactive radar – Zoom in and get a closer look at the shape and path of the storm.
Live 13 Doppler Radar – WTHR’s main radar page.
Get the WTHR SkyTrak Weather app! (for Droid and iPhone) This includes radar links plus alerts.
Enjoy today’s sunshine with temps in the mid to upper 70s. An isolated shower is not out of the question, but not everyone will see rain.
Tonight partly cloudy skies stick around with temps in the mid 50s.
Thursday temps reach the mid to upper 70s with showers and storms developing.
Some storms may be strong to severe Thursday afternoon and evening.
The biggest risks:
In the 7 day we cool off and dry out for the weekend. Mother’s Day will be chilly, but look at Monday morning’s low. We could be waking up to temps in the 30s and patch frost!
We’ll have mostly cloudy, mild weather with a chance for scattered showers over the next two days. A cold front will bring a stronger chance for rain and thunderstorms on Friday and the rain continues through Saturday.
We dry out in time for Mother’s Day, but Sunday will be cooler with highs only in the 50s.
We’ve had so much rain this spring that our water table has recovered from last year’s drought. Unfortunately the rain had been so consistent that many farmers have not been able to start planting. That will continue this week as we have a daily chance for rain through Saturday. Our greatest risk for strong storms will come as a cold front approaches Friday and Saturday.
This week we will have a daily chance for rain through Saturday. Tuesday will be the driest day so get your lawn mowed!
Bands of rain, with varying degrees of intensity, will continue to funnel into Central Indiana the next 24 hours. Rain amounts have exceeded 1″ in some places south of Indianapolis… where it rained most of the weekend.
The rain and cloud cover kept temperatures unseasonably cool along and south of I-70. 50s under the gray sky are contrasted by 70s to our north where the sun shined brightly.
Persistent cloud cover the next 24 hours will keep temperatures from dropping too cold (50s tonight), and areas of rain will keep some spots achieving their 70°+ potential.
It’s remarkable to think that this rain is related to a cut-off low pressure system we began talking about over a week ago. Currently sitting over northcentral Alabama, this feature keep in a daily chance in the forecast through Thursday. The pattern overall is unsettled for Central Indiana… with new impulses of energy (unrelated to the cut-off low) arriving Thursday and Friday. Longrange guidance suggest a cold front will arrive Saturday/predawn Sunday morning. Unfortunately this feature brings a decent rain/storm chance to Opening Day at IMS. For now Sunday appears to be the drier, albeit much cooler, day of next weekend.
Stay tuned for changes to the forecast. Thanks for reading the blog and hope you have a great evening – Sean Ash
Radar update at 12:50pm continues to show the heaviest, steadiest rain falling south of I-70…where it’s been a wash-out of a day. But the northern fringe of the rain shield, albeit light, is creeping north of Indianapolis now and will produce steadier rain drops in places like Muncie, Noblesville, Lebanon and Frankfort this afternoon.
Radar rainfall estimates indicate over 1″ amounts south of Terre Haute-Martinsville-Greensburg line. An additional .25″ to .50″ is possible prior to Monday morning south of I-70.
Rain will become scattered, even south of Indianapolis, Monday… but a daily chance of afternoon showers and storms remains in the forecast everyday this week. I’m in the Skytrak 13 Weather Center analyzing the latest data sets and will have an updated 7 day forecast later this afternoon – Sean Ash