Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
Hope you’re having a great Monday thus far. As anticipated clouds continue to increase across Central Indiana and the shelf life of dry weather expires by 5pm today. Regional radar and satellite shows the initial surge of moisture from a developing storm system in the Southern Plains.
All bets are off for dry conditions in the viewing area by 2-3pm and showers will steadily increase heading toward sunset. After topping out in the mid/upper 50s, temperatures gradually fall into the 40s after precipitation begins. This makes for a damp, raw evening and marks the beginning of a wet stretch into Wednesday afternoon.
Another surge rain and storms spreads across the state Tuesday morning. We don’t expect any severe weather but downpours are definitely fair game and some beneficial rainfall. Latest model data suggests steadier, heavier rain pivots north of the viewing area by late afternoon tomorrow. The atmosphere reloads as the center of the storm moves east… placing Central Indiana in the cross hairs of an axis of heavy rain and thunder Wednesday.
By the time the rain diminishes late Wednesday afternoon we’re expecting a widespread 1-2″ accumulation. Higher amounts of 2-3″ seem most likely across the southern half of the state. A cold front pushes moisture east but ushers in unseasonably cool conditions Thursday into the weekend… with several days in a row with highs in the 40s. Have a good day – Sean Ash
We start this Monday off dry but later in the day, we will see clouds roll in with some scattered showers during the evening rush hour. There will be a few more showers during the evening too.
As we roll into Tuesday, look for more rain. We’ll have periods of showers and thunder from Tuesday morning to Wednesday night. Some of our computer models show more than an inch to two inches of rain could fall during that time period.
Look for rain to leave by late Wednesday and that paves the way for cooler air to move into Indiana. It’s too early to tell how cool and how wet it will be Saturday however.
THIS DAY IN CENTRAL INDIANA WEATHER HISTORY
1987…Strong storms with winds up to 65 mph cause power outages in parts of Central Indiana.
We certainly enjoyed a great weekend and hopefully you had a chance to get out and enjoy. A quiet evening head with seasonably cool lows in the 30s tonight.
Monday begins with some sunshine but expect clouds to increase throughout the day with some showers possible by sunset. Despite less sunshine tomorrow, highs climb into the mid and upper 50s.
Better rain and storm chances arrive Tuesday as the latest fall storm gets closer from the Central and Southern Plains. It appears we’ll have periods of showers and thunder from Tuesday morning to Wednesday night. Some heavy rain will be possible during that time but it appears Central Indiana will likely dodge severe weather at this time.
Rain amounts likely fall in the 1″ to 2.5″ range over Central Indiana. But it should be noted we’re not far away from the heaviest modeled axis in Illinois. Any shift to the upper storm will change rain amounts higher or lower. Check back for updates.
Model guidance later this week suggests below normal air arriving Thursday night into Friday… with several days with highs in the 40s. Unfortunately guidance diverges on a solution for next weekend regarding precipitation type. There is some data that supports a cold enough temperature profile for snow showers to mix with rain showers. It’s still a week away so it’s tough to try and peg an exact outcome. For now we’ll mention the possibility of rain/snow showers but with a disclaimer of low confidence. Have a great evening – Sean Ash
It will be a sunny and seasonably warm Sunday afternoon with temperatures climbing 10 degrees above average. Afternoon highs will be in the low 60s with light winds out of the south-southwest.
It will be clear and cool this evening with temperatures falling into the mid 30s Monday morning.
Clouds will increase on Monday as a warm front arrives. There is a chance of afternoon showers along the front with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Rain will move in by early Tuesday morning. Showers will continue into Tuesday afternoon with highs in the low 60s.
Periods of showers will continue on Wednesday along a cold front, with some pockets of heavy rain possible.
Rain will end by Wednesday evening with some areas picking up rain totals of one to two inches. It will be breezy on Wednesday with highs in the low 60s.
Cooler air begins to arrive on Thursday. It will be breezy with highs in the mid 50s.
There is a chance of a few showers on Saturday but the real story next weekend will be the cooler temperatures. Afternoon highs will only climb into the mid 40s Saturday and Sunday.
Temperatures fell into the low to mid 20s this morning, the coldest morning since March 29th, where temperatures fell to 24 degrees.
It was a fantastic fall day with temperatures climbing into the mid 50s after a cold start this morning.
It won’t be quite as cold tonight. Winds will be light, out of the southwest. Wake up temperatures will be in the mid 30s.
A terrific Sunday will take shape with blue skies and brilliant sunshine. Afternoon highs will climb into the low 60s, running nearly 10 degrees above normal.
Changes move in for the work week with a wet pattern moving in. Clouds will increase Monday with a chance of showers by afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the mid 50s.
Showers become likely Monday night and will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain could be heavy at times on Wednesday, with windy conditions.
Rain will end by early Thursday morning with breezy winds remaining.
A nice fall weekend is in store with light wind and a gradual warming trend. Temperatures have tumbled into the upper 20s this morning, making it the coldest morning since March 29th. Temperatures will rebound into the mid 50s this afternoon with light breezes out of the southwest.
It will be a cool but sunny weather for the IU vs. Michigan game in Bloomington.
It will be clear and cold again tonight with temperatures falling into the low 30s.
Sunday will bring more mild conditions to central Indiana. The winds will continue to turn out of the southwest, allowing temperatures to climb into the low 60s.
A wet pattern will move in for most of the work week.
Clouds will increase on Monday with a chance of afternoon showers. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid 50s.
Rain will become likely by Monday evening along a warm front.
Scattered showers will continue on Tuesday with heavy rain possible on Wednesday.
There is a chance of a few lingering showers on Thursday.
After that cold start, it will be sunny with highs in the 50s. We will end the weekend with sunshine and highs in the 60s on Sunday. Enjoy this quiet and dry weather pattern this weekend because our weather pattern turns rainy next week.
Clouds will increase on Monday, with a chance for a few showers late in the day. We are timing a couple of rounds of potentially heavy rain. One on Tuesday and another on Wednesday. Rainfall potential is a couple of inches. We are still several days away from this storm system. We will continue to update you on timing and how much rain to expect next week.
Strong wind continues to rip across Central Indiana and much of the Great Lakes. Thus far highest gusts have been in the 50 to near 55mph range. Expect gusts of 40 to near 50mph until sunset with temperatures in the 40s and lower 50s.
Clouds clear later this evening and overnight with but breezy conditions linger into Friday afternoon. Lows drop into the mid-30s with bus stop and morning commute wind chills in the 20s tomorrow.
Sunshine will be a welcomed sight Friday but also help ignite some gusty thermal winds during peak heating hours. Though not as strong as today, wind gusts of 35 to near 40mph will certainly get your attention during the afternoon. Gusts should quickly diminish toward and after sunset tomorrow which is perfect timing for Operation Football.
High pressure settles across the region Friday night and allows temperatures to tumble into the lower and mid-20s Saturday morning… the coldest levels around here since late March. But the frosty start gives way to a beautifully sunny weekend in Central Indiana. Expect highs Saturday in the 50s and in the 60s Sunday.
The next fall storm shows up early next week and likely spawns a multi-day severe weather event south and southwest of Central Indiana… though we’ll need to monitor for a conditional severe threat Tuesday and Wednesday.
The bigger story will be heavy rainfall and computer model consensus is in the 2″ to 4″ range. So we’re advising to get yard work done this weekend before the deluge arrives.