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Oct
13

Tornado Watch Issued For Much Of Central Indiana

Posted By · October 13, 2014 at 4:58 pm

A line of strong to locally severe storms continue to move toward Indiana.  Within the past hour the Storm Prediction Center issued a Tornado Watch for the southern half of Indiana, including the Indianapolis metro area.  Tornado and damaging wind probabilities have been ramped up for the western half of the state due to very high directional and speed wind shear in place.

TORNADO WATCH

TORNADO PROBS WIND PROBS THREATS

This puts the possibility of quick spin-ups embedded within the main line in play later this evening.  A few Tornado Warnings are possible before midnight.  We’re still expecting the leading of the line to cross over the Illinois/Indiana border between 7-8pm and race into the metro area before 11pm.  We continue to bracket the hours of 8pm to 2am for the window of severe weather opportunity.  Remain weather aware until we sound the all clear.

HEADLINES RPM HRRR 2 RPM 1 HRRR 3 RPM 2 SPC RPM 3

With the potent upper level storm spinning over Illinois Tuesday, central Indiana will be in the line for lines of storms… some of which could produces locally severe wind and quick spin-ups.  The officially Slight Risk is in southeastern Indiana, but may be pushed farther west tomorrow to include more of the viewing area.

RPM 4 RPM 5 RPM 6 SPC 2

Wednesday and Thursday feature scattered shower and storm chances before cooler air arrives this weekend.  Stay tuned for updates this evening – Sean Ash

7DAY

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Oct
13

Periods Of Heavy Storms Between Now And Tuesday Evening

Posted By · October 13, 2014 at 10:43 am

It’s been a damp start to the week and some areas have already received a half-inch to an inch of rain.  Though it won’t rain all day long, we do anticipate several more bouts of heavy storms between now and Tuesday afternoon.

PLANNER MONDAY THREATS

We continue to bracket the hours of 8pm to 2am for damaging wind potential in central Indiana… though it remains uncertain how far east the squall line will maintain its severe characteristics.  There’s a significantly higher threat of wind damage within the Moderate Risk severe area that stretches from the bootheel of Missouri to Louisiana.  That’s where wind shear and instability will be maximized.

RADAR SPC SPC 2

Locally we believe the area of greatest wind potential will be south-southwest of Indianapolis, but very subject to change.  This is a region that likely catches the coma head of the bowing line before it begins to weaken.  The remainder of the overnight will be dealing with residual heavy rain from the line.  Areas of flooding and flash flooding are possible.

RPM RPM 2 RPM 3 RPM 4

Additional heavy storms are likely by the Tuesday morning commute and severe storms, including quick spin-ups, remain in play tomorrow as well.  The Storm Prediction Center may upgrade the eastern half of Indiana to a Slight Risk Tuesday.  Flooding may be the biggest threat with an additional 1-3″ possible in some areas.  It’s a good idea to clear drains of any leaves to help ease the situation.

RPM 5 RPM 6 RPM 7 RAIN POTENTIAL HEADLINES 7DAY

Unsettled conditions remain in place Wednesday and Thursday as the upper level storm spins around the Ohio Valley.  Widely scattered, to at times numerous, showers and thunderstorms occur Wednesday into Thursday morning.

Stay weather aware and remember to download the WTHR Weather App.

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Oct
12

Heavy Rain And Strong Storms On The Way

Posted By · October 12, 2014 at 4:53 pm

Overall central Indiana enjoyed a decent weekend of weather… though the clouds this evening serve notice of the advertised change early this week.  That change includes a return to the 70s, potential of severe storms and the likelihood of a heavy rain.

PLANNER EVENING RPM RPM 2

Tonight:  More bark than bite in the clouds today with only a few sprinkles or showers expected prior to 10pm.  Due to the overcast and shifting wind to south, temperatures overnight will be considerably warmer than the past few mornings.  Lows will be near 60 at midnight and then rise into the lower and middle 60s for the bus stop and ride into work.

RPM 3 PLANNER MONDAY

Monday:  The warmer wind will help set off scattered showers and rumbles of thunder tonight into the Monday morning commute.  Pack the umbrella as scattered showers and storms are fair game anytime tomorrow.  Despite mostly cloudy conditions and areas of rain, daytime highs tomorrow will climb into the 70s for the first time since October 3rd… and a good 10 degrees above normal.

RPM 4 RPM 5 SPC

A Slight Risk of severe weather remains in place for the western half of the state, including the Indianapolis metro area.  This is primarily for storms late tomorrow evening (most likely after 8pm) and into Tuesday.  Lines of storms may produce severe wind, though it’s unclear if storms will be able to thrive in a stabilizing atmosphere tomorrow night.

THREATS RPM 6 RPM 7 RPM 8

Heavy rain appears likely Tuesday with some locations possibly seeing nearly 3″ of rain by Wednesday morning.  Damaging wind and a slight tornado threat can’t be ruled out Tuesday either, though the risk is highly conditional on the amount of heating we see Tuesday.

RAIN POTENTIAL 7DAY

More scattered showers and storms will circulate around the Ohio Valley Wednesday and Thursday before this system departs.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

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Oct
12

Spotty Showers Possible Today, Stormy Monday & Tuesday

Posted By · October 12, 2014 at 8:09 am

An unsettled weather pattern will start to take over today as a warm front approaches. Clouds will increase from south to north today with a chance of a spotty shower or two later this afternoon into the evening.

sunday ft

It will be slightly warmer today than yesterday, although still below normal. Highs will top out in the low 60s.

Sunday

Winds will turn out of the south this evening with mostly cloudy skies. A few isolated showers will be possible this evening with better chances of showers and thunderstorms by Monday morning. It will be mild with a low in the upper 50s.

Warm, moist air pushes in on Monday. It will FEEL humid. Temperatures will likely climb into the low 70s with breezy winds out of the south. There will be several dry hours on Monday afternoon before more thunderstorms develop.

monday morning monday 7am

Strong to severe storms will be possible, with the best time of arrival from late afternoon Monday through early Tuesday morning. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible.

severe risk   monday 7pm  monday 11pm

Your SkyTrak13 weather team will keep you updated with the latest information as the storm system develops.

Heavy rain looks likely with this slow moving system. At this point, it looks like this low pressure system will stick around through Wednesday. Potential rainfall totals by then could be from 1.5” to 2.5” of rain.

High pressure will build in again by late in the work week. This will allow central Indiana to dry out with the quiet pattern continuing through the weekend.

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Oct
11

Frosty for Some Sunday, Stormy Start to Work Week

Posted By · October 11, 2014 at 5:40 pm

A Frost Advisory is in effect Sunday morning, 2am-8am EDT for White, Cass, Miami, Wabash, Grant, Blackford and Jay counties. The skies will be clear overnight, allowing temperatures to tumble into the upper 30s.

frost advisory

Clouds will increase through the day on Sunday as a warm front arrives. A few spotty showers will be possible, especially along and south of I-70.

sunday

Winds will start to turn out of the east-southeast and temperatures will warm a few degrees higher than today with highs in the low 60s.

sunday

Shower chances continue Sunday night through Monday afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the low 70s with breezy southerly winds. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely by late afternoon and early evening on Monday. Some storms could be strong to severe Monday night into Tuesday morning.

slight risk  monday 5pm  monday 8pm  monday 10pm

Tuesday will still be soggy and stormy with highs near 60 degrees.

A few more showers will be possible on Wednesday but Thursday through the weekend, looks dry at this point.

7day

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Oct
11

Mainly Dry Weekend, Stormy Start to Work Week

Posted By · October 11, 2014 at 7:08 am

High pressure builds in today, bringing a bright and dry autumn day to central Indiana. Winds will be out of the northeast from 5 to 10 mph with a high near 60 degrees.

HIGHS TODAY

There are many college football games today and here are the forecasts:

PURDUE NOTRE DAME MUNCIE

It will be mostly clear this evening with temperature running about 5 degrees below average. Temperatures will fall to near 40 degrees Sunday morning.

Clouds will increase on Sunday with a chance of a shower or two Sunday afternoon, as a warm front lifts across central Indiana. Temperatures will climb into the low 60s.

SUNDAY

A more active pattern returns on Monday as a cold front pushes through. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, with pockets of heavy rainfall likely.SLIGHT RISK  MONDAY 7AM  MONDAY PM

Afternoon highs will soar into the low 70s.

Tuesday looks wet too with more showers and thunderstorms likely.

There is a chance that the rainy activity could stick around through Wednesday but drier air arrives by Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will be running near seasonal by the end of the work week.

At this point, next weekend looks dry.

7day

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Oct
10

Weekend Forecast

Posted By · October 10, 2014 at 10:06 pm

The steady rain is coming to an end late Friday evening and there will be more dry hours than wet hours this weekend.  The weekend will be a bit cool, with lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s.

rpm3 PLANNER THURSDAY highs

There will be a mix of sun and clouds on Saturday and more clouds are in the Sunday forecast.  A stray shower can’t be ruled out on Sunday, but it won’t rain all day.

Our next big storm system arrives later Sunday night and will linger through at least Tuesday.  There will be storms possible and the threat for heavy rain.

There is a good deal of uncertainty in the extended outlook.  We have the end of next week dry, with highs in the 60s.  That could change in a couple of ways.  If the storm system lingers, so will rain chances and the cooler air.  If the system moves out, it will be dry and mild.  We will keep you updated on any and all updates.  Have a great weekend.

7DAY

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Oct
10

Soggy Friday Night and the Weekend Forecast

Posted By · October 10, 2014 at 4:25 pm
Light rain will continue to fall into early Friday evening.  The steadiest will be across the southern half of the state.  If you are going to a high school football game or any outdoor activity, you will need the jacket and maybe the umbrella.  Temperatures will fall into the upper 40s by late Friday evening.
PLANNER EVENING RPM rpm2
rpm3 PLANNER THURSDAY highs

The rain will end overnight, with lows in the lower 40s.  Most of the weekend will be dry and a bit cool.  Expect overnight temperatures in the 4os and highs in the 60s.  There will be a mix of sun and clouds on Saturday and more clouds are in the Sunday forecast.  A stray shower can’t be ruled out on Sunday, but it won’t rain all day.

Our next big storm system arrives later Sunday night and will linger through at least Tuesday.  There will be storms possible and the threat for heavy rain.

There is a good deal of uncertainty in the extended outlook.  We have the end of next week dry, with highs in the 60s.  That could change in a couple of ways.  If the storm system lingers, so will rain chances and the cooler air.  If the system moves out, it will be dry and mild.  We will keep you updated on any and all updates.  Have a great weekend.

7DAY

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