Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
While it has been unseasonably cool this week, a gradual warming trend continues into the middle of next week. The first 17 days of July have marked the coolest July since 1960. Temperatures were running from 10 to 15 degrees below normal.
There is an upper level system that could bring a few sprinkles in our east central viewing area today, otherwise, it will be partly sunny with a high near 80.
It will be partly cloudy and cool tonight with temperatures falling to near 60 degrees – another great night to open the windows. It will be a great night for the Indy Eleven game this evening.
It will be mostly sunny Sunday with temperatures climbing into the low 80s. Winds will be light out of the northeast with another small chance of light rain in our east central viewing area.
The heat and humidity crank up by Monday, with temperatures soaring into the upper 80s.
The hot conditions stick around through Wednesday. A cold front will arrive on Wednesday, bringing our next best chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
The front will bring cooler conditions into the weekend.
ON THIS DATE IN INDIANA WEATHER HISTORY:
2002: Greenfield had nearly 4.25” of rain, causing a roof to collapse.
Skies will be partly cloudy Friday evening and overnight, with lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s.
Most of central Indiana will be dry this weekend, with highs in the lower and middle 80s. I say most, because we are tracking a weather system that will sit just to our east. It will be close enough for some clouds and the slight chance for a shower especially across southern and eastern Indiana. The heaviest and steadiest rain will stay closer to the center of this weather system and across parts of Ohio.
The warm-up will last through next week, with highs in the middle and upper 80s. Our next best chance for rain is Wednesday.
Are you fan of our latest stretch of unseasonably cool air in central Indiana? If not your patience will be rewarded early next week when highs near 90 degrees. Between now and then it will be a gradual transition from comfortable humidity to an oppressive Muggy Meter.
This Evening: It’s nothing but nice this evening if you’re heading to the free Concert on the Canal in Indianapolis outside the Historical Society… or anything else you’re doing for that matter. Highs today remained 5 to 10 degrees below normal in what’s been an impressively cool start to July.
The first 16 days of this month produced an average temperature of 70.9 degree… which would be good for 2nd coolest July on record if the month ended today. There’s still plenty of month and potential heating left, but this will be a statistic we’ll follow closely the next couple of weeks.
This is now officially the 6th longest wait on record for the first 90-degree day of the year in Indianapolis… and longest stretch since 2004 when there were zero 90-degree days in the city. The average first date for the first 90 degree temperature was nearly a month ago, and the city averages 18 days in the 90s in a year.
Tonight and Friday: This will likely be the last night of windows open and A/Cs off. So enjoy the low to mid 50s Friday morning and pleasant highs nearing 80 Friday afternoon. Much like the past few days, expect a mostly cloud-free morning with fair weather cumulus clouds popping during the heating of the day.
Weekend Outlook: For the past few days we’ve mentioned uncertainty regarding precipitation chances this weekend in relation to an approaching upper level system. Latest analysis and model data suggests this feature should bypass our viewing area to the south and southeast… with perhaps some residual cloud cover.
You will notice an increase in humidity Saturday evening heading into Sunday, and this marks a transition to typical summer weather for the Ohio Valley. Don’t forget the Indy Eleven are back on the pitch Saturday evening and it should be a nice night for soccer.
7 Day Forecast: It appears our next best chance of rain and storms will Wednesday with the approach of a cold front. These storms will have heavy rain potential and we’ll need to monitor for severe weather as well. Have a great evening – Sean Ash
Sunshine is in the Thursday forecast, with highs in the middle 70s. This will be the beginning of a gradual warming trend. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 70s, with more sunshine.
The 80s are back for the weekend. Right now we have most of the weekend dry. Some of the latest analysis hints at a weather system to our south. If it gets close enough, there will be the chance for rain. We include that slight chance for Sunday, but most of the weekend will be dry and warmer.
It will be warm and more humid early next week, with highs in the middle and upper 80s. There are better rain chances next week too.
From storms to near record cold, our weather pattern changes.
Tuesday will start with sunshine and temperatures in the upper 50s. Clouds will build during the afternoon hours of Tuesday. A few showers are possible too. Highs will only reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. Highs will stay in this range on Wednesday too. It will be a similar day, with morning sun and afternoon clouds. A few spotty showers are possible on Wednesday.
Record lows for Wednesday and Thursday mornings are 49 in 1945 and 51 in 1976. We are forecasting lows in the lower 50s and near record levles both mornings.
A milder weather pattern arrives for the end of the week and 80s are back for the weekend. We have the forecast dry too.
A line of storms with a history of wind damage and severe wind gusts continues to trek across central Indiana at 40-45mph. This line will impact the Indianapolis metro between 5-6pm with gusty wind, downpours and lightning… and earlier for areas west of the city.
Severe wind remains the main threat with this line… and along the leading edge is where the strongest gusts can be expected.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for central and western Indiana until 7pm, but the severe threat diminishes after the leading of the line passes your community.
The wind threat is over by 9pm and then we’ll focus on the stretch of near record cool air. Expect additional warnings before this line weakens.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for central Indiana, including Indianapolis, until 7pm. A line of strong to severe storms will impact the region primarily between 4pm and 8pm, but storms in advance of this line have already developed and pose a wind threat as well.
Damaging wind is the primary threat with storms today and lightning/heavy downpours are likely in any storms that develop.
Latest analysis and hi-res modeling suggest this line will impact the Indianapolis metro commute between 5-6pm (give or take) and race into east central Indiana by 8pm.
These storms are along a sharp cold front that opens the gates to near record cold temperatures for several days beginning Tuesday. While much of tomorrow and Wednesday will be dry, instability clouds and spotty showers do develop under the cold air aloft during peak heating.
Stay weather aware this afternoon and early evening until we give the all clear – Sean Ash