Archive for SkyTrak Weather Blog
After a dry, cool pattern this week, heat and rain chances return this weekend. A few spotty showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible today under mostly cloudy skies.
Temperatures will climb into the low 80s with breezes out of the southwest.
It will be a mild evening but there is still a chance of a spotty shower or storm. Temperatures will only fall into the upper 60s.
There is a better chance of a few scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening. Not everyone will see rain and there will be many dry hours this weekend.
The warming trend continues with highs in the mid 80s Sunday afternoon.
A hot and hazy conditions kick in for the first week of September. Temperatures will be running more than 5 degrees above average.
The remnants of Tropical Storm Erika will most likely stay to the southeast of our area.
There is a chance of a few scattered showers and storms on Thursday.
The summer heat continues through the weekend.
The weekend forecast includes the chance for a few showers or storms. There will be more dry weather than wet weather. Highs will be in the lower and middle 80s on Saturday and Sunday. Right now we are tracking the best chance for a few showers or storms Saturday afternoon and evening and a few Sunday afternoon and evening. The best chance will come with daytime heating both days.
Speaking of heat…September begins next week with highs nearing 90 degrees.
It’s a beautiful afternoon in Central Indiana, we’re expecting a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the low 80s.
The great weather will continue for Operation Football tonight.
Saturday we’ll be warmer and more humid with dew points climbing into the sticky category. That humidity will stick around into next week. Highs will top out in the mid 80s Saturday with a chance for isolated showers or storms in the afternoon/evening.
There will be plenty of dry time on Saturday, but as mentioned earlier, an isolated shower or storm is possible late in the day/evening.
Sunday highs will reach the mid 80s again, and if there’s a better chance for rain, it’s Sunday afternoon. The day won’t be a washout, but you’ll need to check the radar if you have outdoor plans.
So far Indy has only picked up 1.55″ of rain for the month of August, compare that to Valparaiso and Bloomington.
We dry out after this weekend but the humidity stays, and temperatures climb close to 90 degrees for next week.
Florida is bracing for Tropical Storm Erika. This is the latest path. Heavy rain leading to flooding and gusty winds are the biggest threat.
Happy Friday! Temps jump back into the 80s across Central Indiana today, and that is just the start of warmer weather that’s on the way.
Today we’ll see partly cloudy skies with highs in the low 80s.
Tonight the weather will be perfect for Operation Football. As the sun sets temperatures will fall into the 70s.
Saturday will be warmer with highs in the mid 80s.
There’s a chance for an isolated shower or storm in the afternoon/evening, but as of right now most areas look to remain dry.
We have to keep an isolated shower or storm in the forecast on Sunday too.
Next week feels more like summer as humidity returns and highs top out near 90.
We also continue to monitor Tropical Storm Erika, but there remains high uncertainty on track and strength beyond 48 hours. However, if you’re traveling to the southeastern U.S. we’re advising you to keep tabs on changes.
Pleasant conditions this evening with =a light breeze and mild temperatures in the 60s. Areas of fog develop late tonight but quickly diminish by mid-morning with plenty of hazy sun around for the morning commute. Did you notice the reddish tint being more prevalent in the sunset Thursday evening? This is due to increased haze and remnant smoke from the Pacific Northwestern U.S. wildfires that have spread eastward into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Due to a stagnant upper air pattern this will likely be a feature in the sky for several days and impact sunrises and sunsets. It may also limit potential warming.
Lows in Indy drop into the upper 50s but lower 50s can be expected away for the city’s urban heat island. Highs Friday climb into the lower 80s areas wide. Should be a great night for week two of Operation Football and the beginning of Indy Greek Fest.
We’re still on track for warmer this weekend in the mid-80s. As advertised since last Sunday… isolated rain chances remain the forecast. But we want to stress probabilities are low you’ll get wet in any given place. Confidence is higher on a noticeable increase in humidity however as the Muggy Meter gets uncomfortable.
Long range indicators continue to up the ante on summer heat next week with a prolonged stretch of warmer than normal air heading into Labor Day weekend. Highs will be near or above 90 degrees and little rain chances at this point.
We also continue to monitor Tropical Storm Erika, but there remains high uncertainty on track and strength beyond 48 hours. However, if you’re traveling to the southeastern U.S. we’re advising you to keep tabs on changes. Have a great evening – Sean Ash
Low clouds hung tough again today, but despite limited sunshine at times temperatures warmed into the mid and upper 70s. Expect low cloudiness to gradually ease toward sunset this evening and comfortable conditions into Thursday morning.
Low temperatures will be near seasonal levels and highs tomorrow approach 80 degrees area wide. It’s looking like another stellar evening for week two of Operation Football. We’re still expecting temperatures to warm heading into the weekend and a weak upper level disturbance continue to warrant the mention of isolated rain/storm chances Saturday and Sunday.
The upper air pattern next week is conducive to a prolonged period of unseasonably warm and dry weather to begin September. Highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s seem more and more likely given the modeled guidance with slim chances of rain.
Afternoon model data has shifted the track of Tropical Storm Erika a bit to the east… but there remains considerable uncertainty this far out on track and intensity. Though wind shear the next 48 hours will limit strengthening, conditions become favorable for intensification this weekend as Erika encounters very warm ocean water and less shear. Definitely stay up to date if you have travel plans to Florida or the southeastern U.S.
The dry and mild trend continues across central Indiana.
Clouds will decrease later this evening. Another cool night is on tap with lows returning to the lower 50s. A similar day is ahead on Wednesday with a mix of sun and low clouds along with highs in the middle 70s.
Temperatures will warm heading into the weekend with highs returning to the 80s. A weak upper disturbance slowing moving around the Ohio Valley may be just enough to trigger isolated storms both Saturday and Sunday. Right now we are forecasting only slight chances, with more dry weather than wet weather this weekend.
We are also tracking above normal temperatures this time next week when highs may near 90 degrees for a few days. We’ll continue to update so please check for the latest.
As mentioned in the midday blog update… some areas are covered by a cumulus cloud field courtesy of a saturated layer between 4,000 and 6,000 feet. The thicker cloud cover resides in the eastern and northeastern half of the state where temperatures are in the 60s.
It’s brighter and milder farther west where highs have settled into the mid and even upper 70s. This cloud deck, and the breeze, diminishes after sunset when the atmosphere stabilizes. Lows again will be crisp tonight and require long sleeves and a light jacket at the bus stop come Wednesday morning. Most begin tomorrow in the lower 50s and some areas drop into the 40s.
The cumulus field develops again tomorrow but likely not as numerous compared to today and the breeze should be lighter too. Either way it’s still a rather pleasant afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Indianapolis has had six 90 degree days this year but none this August… a month that typically averages six 90 degrees since 1871. Long range guidance remains bullish on above normal temperatures this weekend and much above normal this time next week. Monday is the last day of August and we’ll be close to hitting 90 degrees. If not it will be the first August without a 90 degree day since 2004… which is the only year on record in Indianapolis without a 90 degree day.
We continue to mention isolated storm chances this weekend but confidence remains low on coverage due to uncertainty with position of an expected upper level disturbance. Definitely don’t cancel any plans this weekend and we’ll keep you posted on changes – Sean Ash