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Chilly Start To Weekend And Latest On Hopes Of White Christmas

Posted By · December 19, 2014 at 4:45 pm

For the 7th straight day much of central Indiana is stuck overcast, though some lucky souls in southwestern parts of the state did see some blue.


But the above scene in Greene County was the exception and not the rule, and scattered flurries remain possible this evening and overnight under the low cloudiness holding firm and expanding.


Saturday:  A quick-moving disturbance, currently in the central US, passes overhead tomorrow and triggers flurries and areas of light snow.  This also keeps the sky cloudy and prevents temperatures from warming much above 30 degrees.  With some clearing possible Saturday evening we’ll need to monitor conditions for patchy freezing fog/drizzle.


Sunday:  But the highlight Sunday will be temperatures warming into the upper 30s with prospects of at least partial sunshine.  Temperatures continue to warm early next week in advance of the well advertised Christmas Eve Day storm.


It’s been a rather wimpy start to the snow season, and Indianapolis has only recorded a tenth of an inch this month.  Computer model guidance continues to keep hopes alive for a White Christmas in central Indiana.  But there remains serious questions for snow specifics due to the fact we’re addressing energy that hasn’t come onshore yet.


Early Next Week:  Expect highs in the 40s Monday with rain arriving during the afternoon.  Rain becomes widespread during a rather soggy, albeit warmer, Tuesday.  That’s when temperatures warm into the mid and upper 40s on the eastern side (warmer, southeasterly-southerly wind side) of the expected low pressure system.  It will be a complicated evolution of two separate upper pieces of energy merging, or phasing, to create rapid intensification (or deepening) of low pressure.  Where this phasing and resultant intensification occurs remains to be determined… and ultimately dictates how quickly we turn cold and snow rates.


Christmas Eve Day Storm Potential:  Due to a few days of warming and temperatures around, or possibly above, freezing during some of the snowfall… there could be serious melting without heavy snow rates.  This too could also limit snowfall amounts.  Again questions to be answered in the coming days.  For now snow remains in the forecast for Christmas Eve day and there’s still a chance of White Christmas for some.  However strong wind with the intensifying storm may be a bigger a story.


Continue to check back for updates – Sean Ash

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Hints of Sunshine Today

Posted By · December 19, 2014 at 3:47 am

We’re off to a cold start this morning with temps in the teens where the skies are clearing and 20s elsewhere.  There is a bit of a wind chill in some locations.

We haven’t had much sunshine this week, and today the gloomy skies continue.  Highs will reach the low 30s with the chance for a few peeks of sunshine.  Mostly cloudy skies are expected, and the clouds will win out again.

friday forecast

Tonight temps fall into the low 20s with mostly cloudy skies.

We’ve been tracking a system for Central Indiana Saturday.  As of right now, that looks to stay south of us, but we will still see cloud cover and a chance for flurries and highs around the freezing mark.

We’re still closely watching next week.  As of now, it looks like rain will begin late Monday and continue Tuesday.  Wednesday rain begins to mix with some snow and light snow may be possible on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.  Wednesday and Thursday windy conditions look likely.  We’ll keep you posted on the latest track of this system, so check back with us often.

friday 7 day forecast


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Friday Forecast and an Active Winter Pattern Next Week

Posted By · December 18, 2014 at 10:09 pm

The light snow from Thursday has ended and skies will be mostly cloudy overnight.  It will be cold again, with lows in the lower and middle 20s.

More clouds are in the Friday forecast, with highs in the lower 30s.


The Saturday weather system that we have been tracking most of the week continues to show signs of staying south of central Indiana.  We will keep a few flurries in the Saturday forecast for now, but most of the weekend will be dry.

Our weather pattern will be quiet for a few days, before an active winter weather pattern arrives next week.

We are still tracking a developing weather system for the holiday.  Right now we are forecasting the rain to start later Monday and continue into Tuesday.  The rain will start to mix with some snow on Christmas Eve.  Gusty winds are possible too.  The Christmas Day forecast is breezy with some light snow.  This system is still developing and there will be updates on the track and what type of precipitation and how much.  Some of our latest analysis indicates a better chance for snow the day after Christmas.  We will keep you updated.


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Flurries And Light Snow Around Today

Posted By · December 18, 2014 at 1:42 pm

Flurries and light snow showers continue this afternoon and may produce a quick coating in heavier bursts.  Watch for slick roads on untreated surfaces with temperatures remaining well below freezing.  Expect periods of snow with unseasonably cold highs in the mid-20s.


Tonight and Friday:  Snow chances remain around this evening before gradually ending overnight.  The stubborn low cloudiness hangs tough though and we’re back down into the lower 20s for morning lows.  I’m not overly optimistic the overcast breaks tomorrow, but am holding some hope for peeks of sunshine.  Highs near freezing on Friday and slightly warmer this weekend.


This Weekend:  It appears the system Saturday will be suppressed southward and we’re only expecting slight chances of flurries to begin the weekend.  Highs Sunday climb into the upper 30s and even warmer into the 40s Monday and Tuesday.


Monday evening into Tuesday look rather wet in response to a storm system evolving over the eastern part of the country.  Long range indicators continue to point toward an intense storm emerging on Christmas Eve… but it’s still much too early for specifics on local impacts.

Early Call On Christmas Forecast:  At this point we’re calling for windy conditions Christmas Eve day and temperatures in the mid-30s.  Periods of snow are possible, but wind may be the bigger story than accumulation which could be light.  If surface temperatures remain above freezing this system might have more of an impact on air travel due to wind shear and not roads.  Flurries and/or light snow remain possible Christmas Day but any accumulation would likely have ended by then.  Another potential winter system could impact the Ohio Valley the day after Christmas as the overall pattern becomes stormy in the eastern U.S. the 23rd into New Years.


Again… there are more questions than answers at this point.  Check back as we will continue to update the chances of a White Christmas – Sean Ash

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Light Snow Today… Watching Potential Storm Next Week

Posted By · December 18, 2014 at 3:52 am

We’re waking up with temps in the 20s this morning, there’s a bit of a wind chill with a few cities feeling like the teens.

Another cloudy and cold day is ahead for Central Indiana with a chance for light snow today.  It’s cold enough that light snow showers could stick.

thursday today

thursday future

Tonight temps fall into the low to mid 20s.

Friday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds.

Saturday another quick moving system brings us a chance of snow, but we’re tracking a much stronger system near Christmas.  Right now it looks like we’ll see rain on Tuesday, with a transition to snow on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.  This system is still days away, so check back with us for any and all updates.

new thursday 7 day

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Cold and Snowy Weather Pattern

Posted By · December 17, 2014 at 10:24 pm

It will be cloudy and cold overnight, with a few flurries.  Temperatures will fall into the lower and middle 20s for a cold start to Thursday.

There is a weather system developing to our SW and it is forecast to move our way for Thursday.  There is a chance for light snow on Thursday.  We are not forecasting a lot of snow, but it will be cold enough for any snow to stick.  There will be enough light snow to cover the ground across parts of central Indiana on Thursday.


Another round of light snow is possible on Saturday, with minor accumulations possible.  It will stay cold through the weekend too, with highs in the lower 30s.

The SkyTrak 13 Weather Team is tracking a much stronger storm system for the holiday.  Right now we are forecasting rain for Tuesday.  The rain will start to change to snow on Christmas Eve and to all snow on Christmas Day.  Strong winds are a threat with this system too.  This is still a week away, so stay tuned for updates.


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Light Snow Thursday With Bigger Storm Potential Next Week

Posted By · December 17, 2014 at 1:10 pm

Central Indiana remains stuck under a thick blanket of overcast and this keeps temperatures locked in the 20s.  We’re currently 15-20 degrees colder than 24 hours ago and wind chills in the teens make it “feel” 30 degrees colder than Tuesday.


Flurries continue to fly within the colder air and remain possible into the afternoon.  Clouds likely hang tough the next 24 to 36 hours with an approaching upper level disturbance from the southwest.  This feature, though weakening when it arrives, will spread some flurries and light snow into the state Thursday.  Though light, some grassy accumulations in spots by the evening are a possibility.  With sub-freezing temperatures we can’t rule out some slick spots in any heavier bursts that might occur.


Seasonably cold air remains in place Friday and this weekend with another shot of light snow impacting the southern half of the state Saturday.  It appears the brunt of this weak system misses a majority of the viewing area, but it’s close enough to warrant the mention of light snow.


 Long range indicators show the possibility of a bigger storm to impact the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes the middle of next week.  Both the Euro and GFS models show a very deep (strong) area of low pressure over the Great Lakes 7pm Wednesday or Christmas Eve.  This ups the ante for wind-whipped snow Christmas Eve and White Christmas hopes in central Indiana next week.  While it’s much too early for specifics, the likelihood of some sort of mid-latitude storm continues to increase.   Definitely check back for updates as this could potentially have impact on holiday traveling.


Stay tuned and thanks for visiting the blog - Sean Ash

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Cold Temperatures Settle In

Posted By · December 17, 2014 at 4:04 am

Much colder air has arrived, and it’s settling in for the extended forecast.  This morning some patchy freezing drizzle is possible, and with temps below freezing, a few slick spots on roads will be possible.

Highs will only reach the freezing mark today.  However, it will feel colder with wind chills in the teens and 20s.  Cloudy skies will be likely with a few breaks of sunshine possible late in the day.

new wednesday today

Tonight temperatures fall into the low to mid 20s with partly cloudy skies.

new wednesday tonight

Thursday the clouds remain, and so do the cold temperatures.  There’s a chance for a few snow showers in the afternoon.  At this point just a little accumulation of grassy areas looks possible.

new wendesday thurday

We’re watching for light accumulating snow in the 7 day forecast on Saturday, and next Tuesday a wintry mix needs to be watched into Wednesday.  We’ll keep you posted.

new wednesday 7 day


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