Chilly Start With A Wet Finish To Sunday

Good morning Central Indiana.  As expected a few pockets of light wintry mix moved across the area this morning in part of a transition from chilly air to somewhat warmer conditions later today.  Though there will be some dry time, expect showers to begin flaring by midday and a widespread rain ensues by sunset.

TEMPS MORNING

9AM 3PM 6PM

Rain this afternoon into Monday evening will be heavy at times with periods of thunderstorms.  Definitely a great idea to take an umbrella and rain coat if you’re coming downtown to the Pacers game this evening.  You’ll be walking in the rain in and out of the Fieldhouse.

PACERS MON 12A MON 6AM

The temperature forecast Monday is tricky due to a sharp gradient with a cold front and uncertainty on exactly where it lines up tomorrow.  Areas north of the boundary will be in the 40s while areas along and south of the front stay in the mid to upper 50s despite the wet day.

MONDAY PLANNER MON 12PM MON 6PM

Rain amounts likely finish in the 1″ to 2″ range with locally higher amounts possible if any storms begin to “train” along the slow-moving frontal boundary.

RAIN POTENTIAL JET 1 JET 2

Cooler air returns Tuesday but the long range looks sunny and pleasantly warmer by next weekend.  We’re expecting highs to be near 60 degrees Thursday for the Indianapolis Indians home opener (though the 1st pitch temp may be below our 60 degree guarantee which means you’ll get a free ticket if you’re in attendance).

INDIANS 7DAY

Right now it appears highs of 65 to near 70 degrees are likely Friday and past next weekend.  Patience rewarded down the road.  Have a great day – Sean Ash

Wintry Weather Few Days

Scattered rain, sleet and snow showers combined with a blustery northwesterly wind leads to a rather raw day in Central Indiana.  Expect steady temperatures in the upper 30s to mid-40s this afternoon with wind chills in the 20s and 30s.

TEMPS WIND CHILL

Heavier snow showers the next 36 hours will drop a localized dusting to an inch of slushy accumulation.  Again… this will not be widespread, but we’ve already received reports today like the picture below from Walton, IN in Cass County.

SNOW ACCUM

AFTERNOON 5PM 12AM

Precipitation and cloud cover may clear out overnight to allow temperatures to drop below freezing again by sunrise Friday morning.  Freeze Warnings will likely be issued for a good portion of Central Indiana… so plan to cover any plants you want to save outside.

LOWS TONIGHT FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY 9AM FRIDAY 7PM

Any morning sun quickly gives way to building clouds and more scattered rain/snow showers by Friday afternoon.  Some of the showers tomorrow will continue lightning and heavy bursts of snow are very possible… with localized accumulations of a dusting to an inch underneath the track of the heavier cells by Saturday morning.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON SATURDAY MORNING

We’re still on target for another hard freeze both Saturday and Sunday mornings.  High temperatures Saturday likely stay in the upper 30s which is actually colder than average lows for this time of year!  Morning wind chills Saturday will be in the mid-teens too.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Temperatures gradually warm into the mid-50s Sunday evening but are accompanied by an increase in rain.  However, precipitation Sunday morning along the warm front likely will be a mixed variety of sleet, snow and rain.

SUNDAY MORNING

Monday will be wet and stormy before another shot of cooler air arrives next Tuesday.  A gradual warm up occurs later next week and we’re still seeing a pattern shift arriving around the 15th of the month.  This will lead to above normal temperatures next weekend and eventually highs into the 70s.

7DAY

Next Thursday is Opening Day at Victory Field for the Indianapolis Indians. We are the Official Weather Partner of the Tribe again this year and have the 60 Degree Guarantee on Thursday.  If you’re in attendance at the first home game and the temperature at first pitch is not 60 degrees, you get a free ticket for any game this season.

INDIANS

Our early call for now is a high of 56 and first pitch temperatures in the low to mid-50s.  This will likely change between now and then – Sean Ash

 

Windy Evening Ahead

***Damaging Wind Possible This Evening With Gusts Over 50mph***

Rain and wind continue to increase across Central Indiana with embedded storms likely along a cold front this evening.  Wind gusts may exceed 50mph at times with reports of non-storm wind damage noted already in eastern Illinois and southwest Indiana.

ADVISORY HEADLINES EVENING

After climbing into the 60s today another surge of unseasonably cold air embarks on the Ohio Valley the several days.  Thursday we’ll be stuck in the 40s with a mix of rain and snow showers beginning as early as sunrise tomorrow.

TONIGHT TOMORROW

THURSDAY

While there’s a chance of hearing thunder Thursday afternoon due to cold air aloft… there’s a better chance Friday when a potent upper disturbance moves across the state.

FRIDAY

This piece of energy likely cranks out some robust convective showers and some backyards in the path of heavier showers get a quick dusting of snow by sunrise Saturday morning.  It also sets the stage for a chilly start to the weekend with lows in the 20s and highs only in the 30s Saturday.

7DAY

Morning snow showers give way to flurries and partly cloudy conditions Saturday afternoon.  Another hard freeze is likely Sunday morning before rain returns Sunday evening into Monday.  Be safe on the wet roads this evening – Sean Ash

Wet And Windy Wednesday

Deceiving sunshine with temperatures struggling to hit 50 degrees and that’s about 10 degrees below average.

evening

But it’s certainly brighter and more pleasant than Monday afternoon and offers a nice setting for the NCAA Women’s Championship Night in Indianapolis.  Have fun if you’re coming downtown and expect steady, cool temperatures in the 40s with southeasterly wind 5 to 15mph.

TONIGHT 12AM 8AM

Clouds increase overnight but dry air at the surface keeps the chances of precipitation relatively low.  What the clouds will do efficiently is keep temperatures up about 10 to 15 degrees warmer than this morning.

5PM WEDNESDAY

After starting near 40 degrees Wednesday morning expect daytime highs near 60 despite the likelihood of rain in the afternoon.  We don’t expect severe weather tomorrow… but gusty wind over 40mph, downpours and some thunder are all on the table.

RAIN POTENTIAL

Rain amounts should end up in the .25″ to near 1″ range.  The rain combined with upcoming cold shot will lower the pollen count for a few days later this week.

POLLEN 6AM THURSDAY THURSDAY 5PM THURSDAY PLANNER

The passage of the latest cold front Thursday afternoon delivers another string of unseasonably cold days.

Thursday and Friday features highs in the 40s with a good chance of rain and snow showers.  By Friday evening precipitation should mainly be frozen and localized accumulation is possible Friday night in heavier snow showers.

JET JET 2

Another hard freeze looks likely Saturday morning with lows in the 20s.  Confidence continues to grow on Saturday being over 20 degrees colder than normal with highs in the 30s… not far from record cold highs!

HEADLINES

TEMPS

Sunday morning will be another hard freeze and with clouds increasing ensures daytime highs Sunday afternoon struggle to hit 50 degrees.  Another rain-maker arrives Monday with highs in the 60s – Sean Ash

7DAY

 

Freeze Warning Tonight And Coldest Air Yet To Come?

What a wild day of watching temperatures tumble across Central Indiana… from near 60 degrees at 2am into the upper 30s and lower 40s this afternoon.

2AM 7AM 11AM NOW 8PM

The cold flow over the Great Lakes, combined with upper level energy moving across the Ohio Valley, may squeeze out some flurries or snow showers this evening.

TONIGHT FREEZE WARNING

Clouds clear later tonight to allow temperatures to drop even further with lows in the lower to mid 20s by sunrise Tuesday.  A Freeze Warning begins at 2am and lasts until 9am tomorrow.

LOWS TONIGHT TUESDAY MORNING

Any plants or flowers you have outside will need to be covered for protection or moved indoors if possible.  Remember the average last freeze date in Indianapolis is April 16th and the latest occurred on May 27, 1961.  We always advise to not plant anything until after Mother’s Day weekend.

HIGHS TOMORROW TUESDAY AFTERNOON

Morning sun gives way to partly sunny conditions Tuesday with highs near 50 degrees.  Rain and storms increase Wednesday along with breezy conditions.  We’ll then have a series of cold fronts and upper disturbances move through the state between then and the end of the weekend.  Each reinforces the chill and eventually delivers periods of flurries and snow showers.

WEDNESDAY MORNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON JET

High temperatures Friday and Saturday may end up closer to the average low for this time of year… which equates to lower 40s and upper 30s!  Also expect lows in the 20s and more Freeze Warnings Friday-Sunday – Sean Ash

7DAY

 

Windy Evening Marks Active Week

After our coldest start in mover a month, temperatures responded nicely to sunshine and a stiff southwest wind by finishing over 30 degrees warmer than this morning.

HEADINES

LOWS TEMPS GUSTS CURRENT GUSTS TONIGHT

Increasing clouds this evening combined with gusts over 30mph keep temperatures mainly in the 50s for much of the night.  An approaching cold front has limited moisture to work with in the atmosphere… but should trigger widely scattered showers and some thunder between 10pm and 8am Monday.

MONDAY 12AM MONDAY 7AM MONDAY MORNING MONDAY AFTERNOON

The passage of the front keeps temperatures steady tomorrow with a brisk north-northwesterly wind deliver a chill.  By late afternoon and evening scattered rain and snow showers develop and will be locally heavy.

MONDAY 4PM TUESDAY 12AM LOWS TUESDAY

Another hard freeze is likely Monday night into Tuesday as lows drop back into the lower and mid 20s.  Tuesday is the brightest day of the week before another rain and storm-maker arrives Wednesday.  Unseasonably cold air dominates the Ohio Valley late week into next weekend with several chances of snow showers and hard freezes.  Have a nice evening – Sean Ash

FREEZE WATCH TUESDAY WEDNESDAY 7DAY

Another hard freeze is likely Monday night into Tuesday as lows drop back into the lower and mid 20s.  Tuesday is the brightest day of the week before another rain and storm-maker arrives Wednesday.  Unseasonably cold air dominates the Ohio Valley late week into next weekend with several chances of snow showers and hard freezes.  Have a nice evening – Sean Ash

Stormy Evening Ahead

Central Indiana remains under a Slight Risk for severe weather, but clouds may ultimately limit the overall coverage severe storms later today.

HEADLINES OHV TEMPS SPC THREAT LEVELS

A scattered line of storm in Illinois crosses into Indiana around 3pm and thus far only produced downpours, lightning and non-severe hail.  This line of storms moves across the Indy metro area between 4pm and 7pm.

4PM 6PM

At this time it seems unlikely the atmosphere destabilizes enough for widespread severe weather…. but localized damaging wind, large hail and/or a brief tornado remain possible until the front passes.

8PM

Storms exit the state by 10pm and the focus shifts to a transition to colder air.  After nearing 70 degrees today, highs Friday will be in the 50s.  A clipper-type system moves across the state Saturday to deliver blustery conditions and highs in the 45 to near 50 degree range.

11PMFrost will be widespread Sunday morning with lows in the 20s under a clear sky and light wind.  Showers return Monday and even colder air appears likely next week with a few days of highs in the 40s.  Stay weather aware this afternoon – Sean Ash

Rain And Storms Increasing With Severe Weather Potential Thursday

Clouds continue to thicken up across Central Indiana as scattered showers and storms move across the Illinois/Indiana state line.

HEADLINES

NOW 6PM

Showers increase area wide by sunset and heavy rain/storms become likely overnight into the Thursday morning.  Storms tonight should be below severe limits but definitely expect downpours, lightning and possibly some hail.

10PM THURSDAY MORNING

After a wet start tomorrow rain should exit the state by early afternoon.  It remains uncertain how much the atmosphere will be able to recover and destabilize before a cold front arrives Thursday afternoon.

SPC THREAT DEFINITION

But there’s an enhanced risk of severe storms if the indeed substantial recovery occurs for scattered severe storms to emerge by 5pm.  It’s also possible that cloud cover limits severe potential and heating.  It’s just too early to determine but we’re advising folks to stay weather aware tomorrow.

THURSDAY MIDDAY THURSDAY EVENING THURSDAY NIGHT

There’s much higher confidence on many backyards picking up another 1″ to 2″ of rainfall the next 36 hours.

RAIN POTENTIAL FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON

In the wake of the front tomorrow will be the first installment of colder air.  This sets the stage for highs in the lower 50s this weekend.  Even colder air could be in the mix next week when near-record lows will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday.  Have a good day – Sean Ash

7DAY

 

 

Chilly Night Followed By Bright Tuesday

It’s been quite a temperature tumble the past 24 hours.  From the mid-70s Easter Sunday afternoon… to a cloudier, chillier finish today in the 40s and 50s.  Most locations are easily more than 20 degrees colder than this time yesterday.

24HR CHANGE TEMPS

But even partial sunshine makes all the difference today with areas that are seeing some blue sky in the mid-50s.  This blanket of clouds peels away overnight to allow temperatures to drop into the upper 20s and lower 30s.

TONIGHT HEADLINES LOWS TUESDAY

You’ll likely be scraping frost of the car Tuesday morning if you park outside.  Thankfully abundant sunshine quickly pushes temperatures into the 50s to near 60 degrees during a pleasant afternoon Tuesday.

HIGHS WED MORNING

Wednesday will be milder in the mid to upper 60s with increasing clouds during the afternoon.  Rain and storms become likely Wednesday night and possibly a few strong storms by sunrise Thursday.

WED AFTERNOON THURSDAY JET 1 JET 2

This marks a transition to a colder pattern to begin April.  Highs may struggle to hit 50 degrees Friday and Saturday with lows near or below freezing to begin the weekend.  There’s a possibility that snow may mix with rain showers Friday as the colder air arrives.

7DAY

 

 

Low Chance Of Severe Storms This Afternoon

The Storm Prediction Center upped the ante slightly for severe storms in Central Indiana today from Level 1 to an wider area of Level 2.

SPC DMA

I’m not convinced it materializes but with impressive wind dynamics in play from a strong area of low pressure in Illinois… it deserves our attention.

LIGHTNING

Our window for severe weather is narrow (2pm-7pm) and low… but a few warnings are possible.  Damaging wind gusts seem to be the main threat with any stronger storm that builds, but there is a non-zero tornado risk as well within the Level 2 zone.

THREAT LEVELS

2PM 4PM 6PM

The passage of a cold front around 6pm puts an end to the severe risk in the Indy metro area, but likely takes another hour or so to clear all of Indiana.  Colder, brisk conditions return tonight and deliver a more seasonable chill Friday.

Don’t forget to download the free Skytrak 13 Weather app to get warnings pushed to your phone – Sean Ash