From Sun To Showers

If you like sunny and 70 degree weather then you’ll agree the best weather in the country is across Central Indiana today.  It’s certainly a welcomed change after what’s been a cooler and wetter than normal May.

TONIGHT

Pleasant, clear conditions continue this evening with comfortable temperatures in the 60s.  High clouds increase after midnight and hint of expected changes ahead for Friday.  You’ll notice considerably more cloud cover tomorrow… though much of the day will be dry.

RPM 2PM TODAY

We’ve mentioned this system over Texas all week as a potential rain-maker to Central Indiana.  While its core likely stays closer to the Ohio River the next 48 hours… we’ll definitely get clouds Friday along with the possibility of a showery period beginning tomorrow afternoon.

THURSDAY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON

We continue to advertise shower chances in the afternoon and evening with highs in the mid to upper 60s.  The area with the greatest chance of seeing showers will be along and especially south of I-70.  Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

RPM 12PM FRIDAY 12PM FRIDAY FRIDAY 4PM INDIANS FRIDAY 9PM SATURDAY 7AM

Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

SUNDAY SUNDAY HIGH

Sunday is the brighter of the two days this weekend with highs in the mid-70s.  Summer-like heat builds next week with highs in the 80s.  But the increased warmth brings storm chances mid-week that may linger into race weekend.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

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Finally Drying Out

Sunshine and a pleasant breeze are just what the doctor ordered in what’s been a rather cloudy, wet month of May.  Rainfall amounts this month are nearly a half-inch above normal and the spring season rainfall surplus is over 3″ since March 1st.

ALMANAC TEMPS

So it’s nice to finally dry out with a pleasant northeasterly breeze and afternoon temperatures in the mid and upper 60s.  Temperatures will quickly cool down after sunset.

Under a clear sky overnight lows fall into the lower 40s by sunrise Thursday.

TONIGHT

The Indianapolis Indians have a another early 1st pitch Thursday at 11:05am.  Pack your sunglasses and enjoy a great day at Victory Field.

INDIANS

Arguably some of the best weather across the country will be in Central Indiana with sunshine and highs near 70!  That offers the perfect backdrop for practice at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

PLANNER MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW

The center of a late-week approaching system should stay south of Central Indiana… but it’s cloud field likely increases across the region Friday.  We’re still going to mention the possibility of showers with this feature with the highest chances in southern Indiana.

THURSDAY 5PM THUR 5PM WIDE FRIDAY 9AM

Definitely check back for updates as it’s possible this system could come farther north to require high rain chances/coverage later Friday into early Saturday morning.

FRIDAY 8PM

This low should depart to our east to set the stage for great Indy 500 qualifying weekend.  Highs near 70 Saturday and climb into the mid-70s Sunday with a good dose of sunshine.

WEEKEND FORECAST 7DAY

All long range signals next week continue to point toward a pattern swing to deliver unseasonably warm highs in the 80s.  The warm up however comes with storm chances by mid-week.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

Dry Evening Before Rainy Night

It’s been a decent afternoon in Central Indiana with filtered sunshine and temperatures mainly in the 60s.

TEMPS INDIANS

Though clouds continue to increase, we’re expecting a mainly dry evening with only sprinkles possible by the end of the Indians first home game in over a week.  Layer up however as temperatures settle into the 50s by first pitch at 7:05pm.

PLANNER TONIGHT 12AM

Rain increases area-wide after midnight and becomes likely by the Tuesday morning commute.  Thought it not be too heavy… the combination of clouds, rain, and a northeasterly wind makes for rather raw conditions tomorrow.

TUE 5PM TUE 1PM

Rain amounts by early Wednesday morning range from .10″ up north to nearly 1″+ down south.  This is not welcomed news for area farmers needed to get into their fields… a tough chore this month due to frequent rains.

RAIN POTENTIAL MODEL RAIN IMS PLANNER

The area dries out Tuesday night and sets the stage for pleasant conditions Wednesday and Thursday.  Enjoy the dry time as yet another rain-maker is poised to drench the Ohio Valley Friday into Saturday morning.

WED 12AM WED 6AM WED 4PM

Compared to the output analyzed yesterday… operational runs of the GFS & European models are a bit faster.  Bad news for Fast Friday at IMS, but this possibly less coverage around for qualifying Saturday.

GFS FRIDAY EURO FRIDAY 7DAY

However it still appears afternoon storms will dot Central Indiana Saturday and a slight chance of precipitation Sunday.  This will definitely change to please check back for updates – Sean Ash

A Bit Warmer Today, More Rain Coming This Week

A brighter and warmer afternoon in Central Indiana, but temperatures remain well below normal with highs in the 50s today.  This sets the stage for another chilly night in the 30s with areas of frost in spots by sunrise Monday.  It’s a good idea to protect plants if you want to ensure they survive.

PLANNER TODAY LOWS TONIGHT

A chilly but bright start expected Monday before clouds increase by late morning.  Highs tomorrow reach the lower 60s before rain spreads across Central Indiana Monday evening into Tuesday morning.

MONDAY MORNING

Practice for the 100th Indianapolis 500 begins tomorrow and they should be able to get some laps in before rain arrives.  You’ll want to take a jacket to the track if you’re heading out.

MONDAY AFTERNOON MONDAY 8PM TUESDAY 1AM

Your Indianapolis Indians return to Victory Field Monday evening with rain chances possible by the 7th inning stretch.  Tuesday looks rather wet with some thunder possible.

INDIANS

Clouds and rain keep highs in the 50s Tuesday before we’re back to dry weather mid-week.  Wednesday, Thursday and the first part of Friday look pleasant.

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As of now it appears unsettled next weekend for qualifications and Pole Day with a chance of rain/storms Saturday and Sunday.  Check back with plenty of changes expected to the forecast between now and then – Sean Ash

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued

UPDATE 5PM: Part of Central Indiana now under a Severe T’Storm WATCH until 11pm.  This is for areas west and southwest of Indianapolis, but strong to severe storms are possible later tonight for the metro area.

Damaging wind, large hail, frequent lightning and localized flooding remain main threats from these storms.  Read below for a timeline.

WATCH

You can definitely feel the heat of Indy’s warmest day since April 26th… the date of the city’s last 80 degree day.

RADAR

We continue to monitor severe storms in Illinois that have had a history of large hail and damaging wind.  These clusters should continue holding strength if not intensifying as they propagate eastward along a front draped across Central Illinois and Indiana.

7PM OHV SPC

There is still some uncertainty on exactly where these cluster will track… however we’re thinking they should be nearing the IL/IN border around 5pm.  Please stay weather aware and download our free Skytrak 13 weather app for watches and warnings.

THU 2AM WED 9PM

Wind, hail, lightning and localized flooding are the most probability severe threats… but a tornado or two can’t be ruled out prior to sunset.

THREATS

The threat of strong storms continues tonight as there may be multiple waves of storms move across the state.  This will be followed by another round of locally dense fog and low visibility in Thursday morning.  Schools delays are possible.

PLANNER TONIGHT PLANNER THURSDAY PLANNER AFTERNOON

Showers and storms increase by midday tomorrow as a cold front enters the state.  Highs in the 70s Thursday drop mainly into the 60s Friday before unseasonably cold air arrives this weekend with a chilly pattern change for May.  The colder air is preceded by a period of rain/storms Friday night early Saturday morning.

FRIDAY NIGHT SATURDAY 7AM SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Expect highs in the 50s Saturday & Sunday with near record lows Sunday morning… with some locations in away from Indy’s urban heat island likely in the 30s.

JET STREAM 7DAY

Cooler than normal pattern holds early next week with chances of rain returning.

Tuesday Afternoon Storm Update

So far so good in Central Indiana with the main storm show along and south of the Ohio River thus far.

TEMPS RADAR 2

But there’s still a few hours of daylight left and the center of a meso-low crossing into western Indiana will be enough to trigger scattered showers and storms.

RADAR WATCH

This feature also has enough low-level wind shear that may produce some funnels in northwest Indiana… though the risk of tornadoes in the viewing area is rather low at the moment.

9PM

Any risk of storms diminishes quickly after sunset and the focus shifts to the development of locally dense fog tonight.  Morning fog, mist and overcast gives way to a partly sunny in the afternoon.

PLANNER MORNING WED 7AM WED 5PM PLANNER AFTERNOON

Temperatures will be much warmer in the 80s tomorrow with only a slight storm chance expected at this time.  Enjoy the mainly dry with more widespread showers and storms returning Thursday.

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We’re still on target for an unseasonably cool weekend with highs in the 50s Saturday… a good 15 degrees below normal – Sean Ash

Severe Storms Possible This Afternoon

You’ll need to be weather aware today with an elevated risk of severe storms in Central Indiana… especially along and south of I-70.

OHV TEMPS DMA TEMPS

Sunshine is noted on visible satellite analysis and will aid in destabilizing the atmosphere.  The leftover circulation from an early storm complex in eastern Illinois will provide the lift to initiate scattered to numerous storms between 2pm and 4pm.

2PM 5PM

Storms may initially be discrete to pose a tornado and large hail risk.  But eventually they should congeal into more linear features to up the ante on locally damaging wind gusts as the move across the viewing area.

10PM

The highest probability of wind damage (30%+) and/or tornadoes(2-5%) is in the southern half of the state between 2pm and 9pm.  Please download our free Skytrak 13 weather app to receive watches and warnings on your phone.

THREAT LEVELS THREAT DEFINITION

The rest of severe weather diminishes before midnight and areas of dense fog/drizzle become the headline overnight into the Wednesday mornign commute.  Check back for updates – Sean Ash

Wet Pattern To Continue

Another wet day in Central Indiana and we’ve got an active 72 hours ahead.  Rain amounts since midnight fall in the .10″ to nearly .50″.

OBSERVED RAINFALL

More wet times ahead in Central Indiana with an additional 1″ to 2″ by Thursday midday… and locally higher amounts are likely in heavier storms.

RAIN POTENTIAL

Clouds and rain have kept temperatures in check thus far by warmer air is nudging into southwestern Indiana where it’s almost 70 degrees in Terre Haute.

TEMPS

PLANNER TONIGHT

Actually the warmest air of the day may arrive toward sunset as warm front creeps toward the Indy metro area.  A saturated air mass around this boundary leads to areas of drizzle outside of downpours and locally heavy storms the next 24 hours.

5AM TUESDAY PLANNER MORNING 12PM TUESDAY

There will once again be areas of heavy rain to navigate through during the Tuesday morning commute.  We’ll be monitoring conditions closely tomorrow with the potential of severe storms during the afternoon and evening.

4PM TUESDAY 8PM TUESDAY PLANNER AFTERNOON

This will be predicated on how quickly early morning rain/storms diminish and how much warming occurs before storm initiation later in the day.

SPC DAY 2

We believe the severe threat may be bumped up a category for the Indy metro area based on a potential of atmospheric instability interacting with a stalled front.  All of modes of severe weather are in play Tuesday and it’s a good idea to stay weather aware tomorrow.

6AM WEDNESDAY

Wednesday looks like a mainly dry and much warmer day in the 80s.  But the heat only could ignite isolated storms alone… but a great area of rain/storms arrives Wednesday night into Thursday with the approach of a cold front.

WEDNESDAY 5PM THURSDAY MIDDAY 7DAY

Highs Friday will be near 70 degrees before a substantial drop off this weekend.  Temperatures likely don’t reach 60 degrees with some showers and rumbles of thunder.

More Heavy Rain And Storms Overnight

After a soggy, damp Mother’s Day in Central Indiana… much of the area will enjoy a dry evening before the next wave of rain and storms arrive.  Cooler than normal temperatures in the 50s and lower 60s hold this evening.

TEMPS 24HR CHANGE

8PM PLANNER

Expect an increase in rain and thunder around, and especially after midnight.  Nothing severe expected but definitely areas of heavy rain and plenty of lightning between midnight and 7am.  Rain amounts could exceed an half-inch by sunrise.

RADAR 1AM 3AM 4AM

While it won’t be a washout Monday there will be periods of storms that are possible anytime from sunrise to past sunset.

9AM MONDAY 1PM MONDAY 6PM MODEL RAIN

More storminess arrives Tuesday and some of these storms could possibly reach severe limits.  Highs near 80 degrees Wednesday before the next batch of rain and storms hits Wednesday night into Thursday.

SPC 7DAY

All signs point toward a much cooler than normal pattern hitting next weekend when highs look to be in the 50s… some 15 degrees below normal.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

Sun And 70s Ahead Friday!

A brightening sky this afternoon is nice, but will actually help destabilize the air enough to allow spotty lake effect showers to develop.  That’s right… lake effect.

TEMPS

Below is an animation of visible satellite that shows the stream of moisture off of the lakes producing cloud cover in Indiana and Ohio.  This is also a signature of cool air that continues to cover the region.

7PM 1SM

Any showers will be brief in nature and quick-moving.  Clouds clear overnight and temperatures drop to chilly levels in the 30s and lower 40s.  But expect a quick warm-up tomorrow under full sunshine with highs in the 70s.

LOWS TONIGHT HIGHS TOMORROW INDIANS

We continue to advertise a pleasant start for runners and walkers in the 40th Annual One America 500 Festival Mini-Marathon Saturday morning.  Though start time temperatures in the 50s quickly warm into the 60s by 10am and 70s by midday.  Have a safe run!

MINI MARATHON SATURDAY 7AM SATURDAY 1PM

High temperatures in the 80s Saturday team up with an approaching cold front to set off scattered to numerous storms after 3-4pm.

SATURDAY 4PM SATURDAY 9PM

It’s still too early to determine where the storms will initiate, but storms that do develop could become severe (wind gusts >=58mph or 1″+ diameter hail).

DAY 3 SUNDAY 7AM

This boundary should set up in southern Indiana Sunday to allow for mostly dry conditions in the Indy metro area… but rain will be possible in southern Indiana.  This could change so please check back for updates – Sean Ash

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