It’s a windy Wednesday in Central Indiana. Though not as strong, wind gusts remain stiff in the 30-40mph range.
Wind chills are uncomfortable in the mid to lower 30s, and it certainly has more of an early March feel than mid-April today.
Sunshine will be limited in along and especially north of the I-70 corridor… and spotty rain and graupel showers will dot the landscape in this area this afternoon.
Farther north along the Toll Road snow showers will be more prevalent. Meanwhile southern Indiana experiences a much brighter sky being farther removed for the Great Lakes low pressure system. Everywhere experiences much below normal temperatures with highs struggling to hit 50 degrees in many areas, and that’s a good 15 degrees below normal. The last sub-fifty degree day in Indianapolis was March 28th.
Clouds clear overnight and the wind diminishes into the 3 to 8 mph range… allowing areas of frost to develop Thursday morning as temperatures sink into the lower and mid 30s. Frost Advisories and/or Freeze Warnings may be issued for tonight.
However the clear sky provides the ideal backdrop for viewing of the Lyrid Meteor Shower that peaks between 11pm and sunrise Thursday. You can expect 10-20 meteors per hour in the northeastern sky.
The below normal trend continues tomorrow and Friday despite a good deal of sunshine. Friday also begins frosty in spots and we’ll see an increase in cloud cover as the day progresses. We continue to advertise a wet, and rather raw Saturday with rain and temperatures in the lower 50s… if not upper 40s. Thunder is possible too, but we’ll need to wait on the track of storm for probabilities.
Midday model trends are farther north and drape a warm front across the southwestern half of Indiana. North of this boundary will be stable, cloudy, wet and in the upper 40s/lower 50s. South of this front will be significantly warmer, unstable and prone to strong and/or severe storms. It’s much too early to pinpoint its location, but we’ll need to monitor carefully for the southern viewing area Saturday.
Either way it looks wet and raw Saturday morning if you’re heading to this year’s Mutt Strut at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Dress accordingly and hope you can make it out for a great cause in supporting the Humane Society of Indianapolis.
We’re back to sunshine Sunday and Monday of next week before a storm system eyes the Ohio Valley. Stay warm and check back for updates – Sean Ash
A Wind Advisory continues until 8pm for areas along and north of the I-70 corridor. Within this zone expect wind gusts to be persistently in the 30-40mph range, with peak gusts approaching 50mph at times. Use caution if traveling around high profile vehicles and it’s a good to secure any loose lawn furniture.
The windy day is courtesy of several factors coming together across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. A tight pressure gradient around a low pressure system over the Great Lakes creates a strong wind field at all levels of the atmosphere, and sunshine plus cold air aloft allow substantial atmospheric mixing of this wind to be distributed to the surface.
Wind today comes briskly from the southwest at 25-35mph with higher gusts. Late this evening a few showers or storms may develop in southern Indiana, but most locations remain dry until tonight. The arrival of another cold front triggers widespread showers and occasional rumbles of thunder between 12am and 7am tomorrow. The passage of this cold front reinforces the already cooler than normal pattern.
Once again tonight a steady breeze keeps the areas safe from frost, but lows return to the upper 30s and lower 40s. Highs Wednesday struggle into the lower 50s with breezy conditions continuing as the low pressure system spins slowly eastward.
We continue to target Thursday and Friday mornings for frost/freeze potential as the wind calms and the sky remains mainly clear. Lows in the 32-36 degree range seem likely and may require action to protect tender/young vegetation.
All signs continue to point toward a wet, and rather raw Saturday with rain overspreading Central Indiana and highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Sunday looks to be the better day of the weekend thus far. Check back for updates on timing and coverage of precipitation for weekend impacts – Sean Ash
Peak wind gusts across Central Indiana today were in the 35-40mph range. The wind remains steady this evening and will be brisk overnight into Tuesday morning… saving the region from frost development.
Daytime heating, albeit minimal, helps mix down stronger wind at 5,000 feet aloft within the pressure gradient to the surface. This wind field is a result of the thight pressure gradient around a low pressure system in the Great Lakes.
Expect wind gusts Tuesday in the 40-50mph range within and around the Wind Advisory area that’s in effect from 11am to 8pm Tuesday.
Higher pressure builds in across the Ohio Valley later in the week and aids in frost potential Thursday and Friday morning. This is when wind will be much calmer, and under a clear sky leads to greater raditional cooling. With lows expected to be in the low to mid 30s… I expect Frost Advisories to be issued later this week over parts, if not all, of the viewing area.
The average last 32 degree temperature in Indianapolis is April 18th and the average last 36 degree temperature (when patchy frost can occur) is April 25th. You’ll likely need to take precautions to protect any tender vegetation that’s blooming. Check back for updates.
Spotty showers are possible Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday. Medium to long range guidance suggests Saturday will be rather wet and raw with highs struggling to hit 50 degrees. Global teleconnections also point toward this spell of unseasonably cool weather to linger for the rest of the month and possibly into early May – Sean Ash
In the wake of a cold front that passed through the Indy metro area around 9am this morning… gusty wind and below normal temperatures are the big story this afternoon. Temperatures range from 45 to 55 degrees for late day highs.
The aforementioned front is now pushing across Ohio and attached to an area of low pressure over the Great Lakes. This low will be the driver of our weather for several days and becomes cut-off from the main jet stream. This allows it to spin around the Great Lakes day after day and reinforce already cooler than normal conditions.
This is the first day of an unseasonably cool stretch of days with temperature anomalies 10-15 degrees below normal.
Spotty showers pop up during peak heating this afternoon as the atmosphere destabilizes. Clouds and showers diminish after sunset, but the brisk wind remains a constant heading into Tuesday morning.
Despite clearing and lows dropping into the upper 30s and lower 40s… the steady breeze keeps frost from morning tonight. Expect brisk conditions to linger into Wednesday morning as the pressure gradient around the Great Lakes Low keeps the wind in the 10mph+ range for the next 48 hours.
Morning sunshine tomorrow gives way to a building cloud deck and more showers in the afternoon. Highs near 60 degrees Tuesday but a strong wind of 25-35mph makes it feel cooler.
Steady wind saves the region from frost Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. But we’ll need to monitor Thursday and Friday mornings for frost potential and the wind eases and we’ll see greater raditional cooling. Either way lows will chill into the low to mid 30s. A bright finish to the week gives way to clouds and showers heading into Saturday.
All signs point to a much colder than normal finish to the month of April and perhaps beginning of May. Stay tuned for updates – Sean Ash
Another round of downpours pivoting around an area of low pressure will move across Central Indiana between now and midnight. No severe weather expected, but a rumble of thunder or locally gusty wind remain possible.
After midnight rain become fairly scarce but showers remain possible heading into the Monday morning commute. While I don’t envision a wash-out tomorrow like today, showers or a rumble of thunder are possible from sunrise to sunset.
If you have outdoor these showers will be widely scattered and quick-movers. So a washout seems unlikely, but a delay(s) are possible given the 50% coverage that’s anticipated.
The rest of the week features cooler than normal conditions with highs in the 50s and several mornings in the 30s. We’ll need to closely monitor nights that will have a clear sky and light wind for frost potential. Updates to come – Sean Ash
The steady, heavy at times, rain shield continues to lift north-northeastward into north central Indiana. By 6pm the heaviest downpours should be north of I-70. Impressive rainfall amounts in the half inch to inch plus keep street flooding in play.
Clouds and rain delivered a much cooler finish to the weekend… and a good 15 to 20 degrees less than the mid/upper 70s from Saturday.
We’ll also need to monitor southern and southeastern Indiana for isolated storms this evening where some destabilization may aid in locally strong/severe storms. It’s not likely, but rather a low probability (<5% chance within 25 miles of a point) of locally severe wind or a quick tornado spin-up in stronger cells.
Scattered showers and storms remain possible overnight into Monday afternoon before precipitation chances diminish by mid-week. Low pressure strengthening over Central Indiana will create gusty wind late evening and overnight… when wind speeds may approach 30mph. The main forecast headline this week will be cooler than temperatures with several days of highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.
After the sunset tomorrow the instability clouds/showers (driven by much colder air aloft) diminish and set up a chilly night in the 30s. This will be the first of several colder than normal nights this week. A couple of mornings patchy frost will be possible and fine-tune this part of the forecast in the days ahead. At this point organized precipitation seems unlikely, but spotty showers will be possible Wednesday into Saturday.
More updates to come this evening – Sean Ash
It’s shaping up to be a decent day across Central Indiana with a mix of sun and clouds.
Highs climb into the mid and upper 60s with a easterly breeze up to 25mph this afternoon. Great weather for the Indianapolis Indians game that begins at 1:35pm.
Clouds increase this evening with the latest round of showers creeping south to north around an upper level disturbance. By midnight many backyards will have rain and we do expect occasional rumbles of thunder from this evening to sunrise Thursday.
Thursday will be unsettled with periods of showers and thunderstorms. It doesn’t look like it will rain all day tomorrow, but rain/thunder are possible from the time you wake until sunset.
This disturbance breaks down and departs to allow for a few decent days Friday and Saturday. Expect partly sunny conditions and highs in the 70s. Confidence is higher that we’ll have dry conditions for the Susan G. Komen Race For The Cure Saturday morning… with temperatures in the upper 40s/lower 50s around sunrise.
However computer models are locking in on a wetter solution for Sunday… which is the biggest change to the forecast package today. Also of note is that a stretch of cooler than temperatures appears likely during the middle of next week when highs will be in the 50s for a few days. Have a great afternoon and please check back for updates – Sean Ash
The gray that’s covered the state for much of the day is breaking in spots for peeks of sun this afternoon. A northeast wind continues to undercut this cloud deck to provide a refreshing, and dry breeze into the state.
Highs top out in the lower to mid 60s… though upper 60s are possible in the brightest spots. Clouds should continue to break this evening and overnight to allow for better raditional cooling. This results in colder morning lows tomorrow with Wednesday morning beginning in the lower 40s.
We’ll also begin brighter tomorrow and as a result finish milder overall as highs near 70 degrees Wednesday afternoon. Though there is a slight shower chance by evening, higher rain chances hold off until Thursday.
Expect scattered to numerous showers and storms Thursday. Much of this breaks down and departs by Friday morning. However latest model guidance suggests Friday will be rather foggy and cloudy. Friday finishes dry with peeks of sun and highs in the 70s.
We continue to call for a dry forecast for the Susan G Komen Race for the Cure on Saturday. However it should be noted there is massive model disagreement on the weekend solution in Central Indiana. One output depicts a wet/stormy set up on Saturday. At this time we believe this is an outlier and opt to keep the weekend dry.
There’s plenty of time to change as needed for Saturday and Sunday. Check back for updates – Sean Ash