Home News Weather Traffic Sports Hot Topics
 Blog Homepage

Author Archive

Aug
17

Foggy Start Monday Morning

Posted By · August 17, 2014 at 10:14 pm

Showers will continue to diminish now that the sun has sun has set.  The focus overnight shifts to areas of dense fog developing.  While visibility is not a problem at the time of this posting, a light wind and high moisture content suggest it will be Monday morning.

VISIBILITY FOGPOTENTIAL

Tonight: Visibility may be low enough in spots Monday morning to slow travel and possibly cause school delays.  Check in with Chuck Lofton beginning at 4am for the latest.

BUS STOP MUGGYMETER

This is being aided by an oppressive Muggy Meter that will remain uncomfortable for a good chunk of this week.  Prepare to sweat it out heading into next weekend.

rpm1 rpm2 rpm3

Monday: Despite the fog and morning overcast, Monday will be mostly dry until late day when isolated showers and storms flare up in the humid air.  Highs tomorrow slowly creep into the 80s.

MONDAY PLANNER NO 90s Streak

The first of few rounds of heavy storms arrives Tuesday.  While widespread severe weather is not anticipated, torrential rain and frequent lightning is likely with these storms.

Medium to long rang guidance suggest an active set up in this week.  There is potential for multiple storm complexes to pass through central Indiana on the edge of an expanding hot dome.  Timing is highly uncertain at the moment so check back for updates.  But confidence is growing on our warmest stretch of the summer.

JET STREAM 2 HIGHS TUESDAY HIGHS WEDNESDAY

There is also a chance of Indianapolis finally hitting 90 degrees for the first time this season.  It’s been 341 days and counting since the city officially hit that mark… the 6th longest streak on record.  Have a great afternoon – Sean Ash

7DAY

Comments (0)
Aug
17

Sunday Showers And Return Of Hot Air This Week

Posted By · August 17, 2014 at 3:23 pm

Overcast continues to blanket central Indiana this afternoon with temperatures struggling to hit 80 degrees.  While rain has been steady around Bedford and Seymour, new spotty showers have started developing in daytime heating farther north along the I-70/74 corridors.

EVENING PLANNER

This Afternoon: Not every backyard gets wet, but some areas will see heavy downpours.  This is due to high atmospheric moisture content and expected slow movement.  Remember to check Live Doppler 13 Radar for updates and you can do this at WTHR.com or on the SkyTrak 13 weather app from you phone.

rpm1 rpm2

Overnight: Showers diminish after sunset and then the focus shifts to areas of dense fog.  Visibility may be low enough in spots Monday morning to slow travel and possibly cause school delays.  Check in with Chuck Lofton beginning at 4am for the latest.

BUS STOP rpm3

Tomorrow:  Monday will be mostly dry until late day when isolated showers and storms flare up in the humid air.  Highs tomorrow creep into the 80s.  Locally heavy rain remains in play tomorrow and the rest of the week with humid air lingering.

rpm4 MONDAY PLANNER HIGHS TUESDAY HIGHS WEDNESDAY

Medium to long rang guidance suggest an active set up in this week.  There is potential for multiple storm complexes to pass through central Indiana on the edge of an expanding hot dome.  Timing is highly uncertain at the moment so check back for updates.  But confidence is growing on our warmest stretch of the summer.

JET STREAM JET STREAM 2

There is also a chance of Indianapolis finally hitting 90 degrees for the first time this season.  It’s been 341 days and counting since the city officially hit that mark… the 6th longest streak on record.

NO 90s Streak

This heat streak likely carries into next weekend before a strong front delivers strong storms and ushers in somewhat cooler air.

7DAY

Have a great afternoon – Sean Ash

Comments (0)
Aug
17

Sunday Showers Start An Active Week Ahead

Posted By · August 17, 2014 at 5:34 am

Overcast blankets central Indiana today with scattered showers to dodge.  Though we don’t expect any all day rain, you’ll need to keep an eye on radar and have a Plan B in place for outdoor events.  Scattered showers on the periphery of a decaying storm complex downstate will dot the I-70/74 corridors including the Indy metro area this morning.

rpm2

Today:   Highs will struggle to hit 80 degrees due to limited sunshine.  No need to cancel a trip to the last day of the Indiana State Fair or the Indianapolis Indians game today, but definitely take rain gear to both events.

MORNING PLANNER rpm3

Not every backyard gets wet this afternoon but it’s certainly a good idea to have a Plan B in the event yours does.

rpm4 rpm5 AFTERNOON PLANNER

If you have outdoor plans on Sunday, remember to check Live Doppler 13 Radar first.  You can do this at WTHR.com or on the SkyTrak 13 weather app from you phone.

rpm6

Monday: expect a cloudy start tomorrow but not much action on radar for the early day commute.  By late afternoon we anticipate more scattered showers and storms to dot the landscape.  Nothing severe tomorrow, but locally heavy downpours remain in play.

MONDAY PLANNER JET STREAM

Medium to long rang guidance suggests an active set up in the week ahead.  There is potential for multiple storm complexes to pass through central Indiana on the edge of an expanding hot dome.  Timing is highly uncertain at the moment so check back for updates.

JET STREAM 2

HIGHS TUESDAY

You’ll begin to notice the heat by as early as Tuesday with highs in the mid-80s before a late week surge to near 90 degrees for several days.

HIGHS WEDNESDAY

There is also a chance of Indianapolis finally hitting 90 degrees for the first time this season.  It’s been 341 days and counting since the city officially hit that mark… the 6th longest streak on record.

NO 90s Streak NO 90s

There have been only two other summers where the city has waited this long for a 90 degree day.  In 2004 there were no 90s.

7DAY

Plenty of time left to accomplish the feat and it very possibly could happen this week.  Have a great day and thanks for reading the blog – Sean Ash

Comments (0)
Aug
08

Lingering Showers South This Evening And An Unsettled Weekend

Posted By · August 8, 2014 at 4:51 pm

We’re a state divided today.  From sunshine and warm highs in the 80s in northern parts of the state, to showers and upper 60s south of I-70.  Coverage of showers will diminish slowly for southern Indiana, but linger long enough to impact outdoor evening plans the next several hours.

NOW

While it’s a close call… sprinkles and light showers continue to sink south of downtown Indianapolis.  This paves the way for dry conditions for the Indiana State Fair, Indianapolis Indians and Moto on Meridian this evening.  Temperatures will hover in the lower 70s.

INDIANS PLANNER RPM RPM2

Areas of fog will develop overnight and into Saturday morning.  There will be plenty of dry time this weekend, but both days feature scattered shower and storm chances in the afternoon/early evening hours.  Check radar before heading out.  Highs Saturday will be near 80 and jump into the lower to mid 80s Sunday.

PLANNER2 RPM3 RPM4

Storm chances continue early next week with this unsettled weather pattern.  A strong cold front passing the state late Tuesday brings an end to rain chance and ushers in cooler than normal air.

PLANNER3 7DAY

Enjoy the evening and have a great weekend – Sean Ash

Comments (0)
Aug
07

Cool And Wet At Times Friday

Posted By · August 7, 2014 at 4:55 pm

Clouds and an undercutting southeasterly wind provided the back drop for a pleasant day in central and eastern Indiana.  This dry wind kept the eastern edge of showers in far western and southwestern Indiana.  Much of the evening will be just fine, though showers remain in play from Terre Haute to Beford.

INDIANS

Don’t let the gloomy sky keep you from enjoying the Indianapolis Indians and a nice evening at the Indiana State Fair.  The dry wind is keeping the humidity in check and prolongs the onset of rain farther east in the state.

PLANNER RPM RPM2

Rain chances ramp up late tonight and into Friday morning from southwest to northeast.  It should be noted the heaviest rain totals will be south of I-70 and lightest will be northeast of Indianapolis.  Clouds, waves of showers and locally heavy storms keep high temperatures in the lower 70s… below normal by some 10 to 15 degrees.

PLANNER2 RPM3 RPM4

Thick overcast serves as a insulator and will make it feel more like late September tomorrow.

PLANNER3 RAIN RPM5

The atmosphere remains unsettled this weekend which means we’ll need to increase cloud cover and storm chances for Saturday and Sunday.  It doesn’t mean it’s going to rain all day, but you’ll need to monitor radar for outdoor plans.

Rain amounts of 1-2″ will be common in the southern half of Indiana by Sunday morning.  Totals should mostly be below 1″ in northern Indiana where drier air at the onset will lower totals.  We’re expecting cooler than normal temperatures much of next week.

RPM6 7DAY

Have a nice evening – Sean Ash

Comments (0)

Plenty of clouds in central Indiana but they’re helping keep rain chances at a minimum again today.  There is just a slight chance of storms this evening with temperatures mostly in the 70s.

RPM

It should be rather pleasant for the Indy Eleven match at The Mike in downtown Indianapolis.  Kick off is at 7:30pm and rain chances will be 10-20%.

INDYELEVEN

It’s looking like another night with areas of fog developing and perhaps dense enough to cause issues Thursday morning.  Check in with Chuck Lofton beginning at 4am for an update on visibility.

RPM2

Tomorrow is Channel 13 day at the Indiana State Fair.  Our tent will be set up on Main Street in front of the Hoosier Lottery Grandstand.  Overall we’ll have similar weather to what we had today.  Fog in the morning, mainly cloudy with haze at midday, and a slight rain chance in the afternoon.  We’ll be on borrowed time in the evening as rain chances increase Thursday night.

PLANNER

RPM3 PLANNER2

This marks the beginning of a wet stretch for central and southern Indiana.  Confidence is growing that Friday will be a wet, cooler than day… though there remains a high level of uncertainty regarding the placement of the heaviest rain axis.  Within this corridor 1-3″ is possible and for now areas from the I-70 corridor to south of the Ohio River are in play.

HEADLINES

Below is the latest model run of FutureTrak13 with a disclaimer it’s just one of several we use to put together our forecast.  It’s persistently kept the heaviest amounts in the southwestern one-third of the state.  Other medium range and hi-res models have this axis displaced farther north or farther south.  That’s why there remains low confidence on the forecast at the moment.  We should have a decent handle Thursday evening.

RPM4 RPM5 RPM6 RPMRAIN

So if you need to get lawn work or other outdoor plans accomplished… you’ll need to hurry tomorrow.

NO90s

By end of the weekend it will be the 3rd longest wait on record, in a calendar year, for a 90 degree day in Indianapolis.  Which begs the question will we match the zero 90s of 2004?  

7DAY

Check back for updates and we hope to see you at the Indiana State Fair tomorrow – Sean Ash

Comments (0)

It’s not the brightest day ever but the cloud cover helped limit heating and instability this afternoon.  As a result rain chances remain minimal this evening, though isolated downpours are possible until after sunset.

TEMPS

Evening and Tonight: Visible satellite does show less cloud cover and warmer temperatures in southwestern Indiana, and this area has the best chance of seeing development in the next 1-2 hours.  Definitely don’t cancel any outdoor plans and remember the Indianapolis Indians and Indiana State Fair continue this evening.

indians RPM RPM2

Wednesday: Latest guidance indicates central Indiana will reap the rewards of cloud cover again Wednesday.  This will keep highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s, with isolated chances of rain and thunder.  Areas of dense fog could impact the morning commute early tomorrow.  Remember the gloomy sky is our friend tomorrow for drier conditions.

RPM3 RPM4 PLANNER3

Late Week: We’re eyeing the potential for widespread heavy rain in the late Thursday-Friday time frame… with a disclaimer that there remains much uncertainty on exact amounts, track and timing.  Some models place central Indiana in the heavy rain bull’s-eye, while a few suppress the heavy track southward along the Ohio River.  We’ll monitor trends and update as needed heading into late week.

RPMRAIN 7DAY

For now the weekend looks mainly dry and warm with highs in the mid-80s.  Enjoy the evening and check back for the latest on the heavy rain potential – Sean Ash

Comments (0)
Aug
04

Daily Chance Of Showers And Storms Into Wednesday Afternoon

Posted By · August 4, 2014 at 4:54 pm

Hope you’re enjoying this hazy, warm Monday in central Indiana.  As expected isolated downpours have developed in the heating of the day.  While most backyards don’t see a drop of rain, these slow-moving cells can produce downpours in a short time.  Below is a great example of the isolated nature of the rain today.  This is a downpour on the east side of Indianapolis that we captured on our Towercam and Live Doppler 13 Radar.

NOW

At the time of this posting there were several downpours around Marion County and a few other beginning to fire up outside of the immediate Indianapolis metro area.

EVENING

We’re definitely not advertising to cancel plans, but you’ll want to watch the radar closely if you’re outside this evening.

INDIANS RPM RPM2

The highest chance is confined to far northern Indiana along a weak frontal boundary.

This front, and its location, will be a forecast focus the next several days.  It does creep southward the next 24 hours, and along with daytime heating puts widely scattered showers and storms in play for the entire viewing area Tuesday.  Decaying storms are possible as early as sunrise north-northwest of Indianapolis.  But the highest rain chances will be after 12pm and before midnight.

RPM3 PLANNER RPM4 RPM5 RPM6 PLANNER2

There is much uncertainty on the Wednesday/Thursday forecast due to model disagreement on location of the front.  If it’s south of the region, as a few models project, we’ll be mostly dry.  But there’s a possibility the front stalls along central Indiana and ups the ante for storm chance Wednesday and Thursday.  For now it’s a “chance” for those days but highly subject to change.

RPM7 RPM8

The cool summer and July has been well documented by this blog over the past two months.  We also remain on 90 degree watch.  It’s been 328 days since our last 90 degree temperature, which is the 10th longest streak on record for Indianapolis.  This is also the 5th longest wait for a 90 degree temperature, and we believe we’ll climb into third place by early next week.  Remember that in 2004 there were no 90 degree days.

LACKOFHEAT NO90S 7DAY

Enjoy the evening – Sean Ash

Comments (0)