Dodging Drops And Storms Next 36 Hours

Spotty downpours and rumbles of thunder remain possible until after sunset… but many backyards should remain dry.  However if you’re under one of these cells you’ll certainly know it and it will resemble a Florida afternoon.

TEMPS

Temperatures soared back into the 85 to near 90 degree range today and it’ll stay warm if you’re venturing out to Victory Field this evening.  Air conditioners get another workout tonight with lows in the 65 to 70 degree range.

INDIANS EVENING RAIN CHANCES

Storm coverage will be greater tomorrow with the placement of a front over Central Indiana.  While the risk of severe weather is low… we’re not going to rule out localized damaging wind gusts and/or large hail.

The Muggy Meter gets more uncomfortable tomorrow and the tropical moisture aids in downpours of rain.

MUGGY METER THREATS WEDNESDAY MORNING

Highs surged back into the mid and upper 80s and we’ll endure this humid heat again Wednesday.  The boundary for storms sinks southward to the Ohio River Thursday but temperatures remain above normal in the 80s into Friday afternoon.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY THURSDAY

A significant tweak from the forecast yesterday is that we’ve upped storm chances for Saturday.

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It appears that will be the wetter of the two days this weekend as the focus shifts to a period of below to much below normal temperatures early next week.  Be safe this evening – Sean Ash

Warmest Day In Nearly 10 Months

We’re wrapping up the warmest day in Indianapolis in nearly 10 months.  Highs in Central Indiana Monday afternoon ranged from 85 to 90… in what was our 7th straight day of above average temperatures.

HIGHS TODAY PAST 6 DAYS TONIGHT

Get ready to do it again Tuesday.  After staring in the lower to mid-60s expect a rapid rise to 80 degrees by noon and well into the 80s to finish the day.  We’ll keep low chance of an isolated shower or storm during peak heating, but most backyards don’t see a drop.

TOMORROW HIGHS TOMORROW TUESDAY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY MORNING

Storm chances increase Wednesday afternoon with the approach of the latest front…. but not before highs jump back into the mid to upper 80s.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THURSDAY MORNING

Thursday remains relatively warm in the lower 80s before a pattern change hits this weekend that drops highs into the lower and mid 70s.  If the front slows down enough there may be some linger showers and storms into Thursday afternoon.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON 7DAY

At this point we belive much of the region should be dry by Thursday afternoon but we’ll fine tune in the days to come.  Long range looks to see normal to below normal air arriving over the weekend into next week.  Enjoy the evening and be safe – Sean Ash

Summer Heat Hanging Around

Hopefully you’re enjoying this great summer-like weather in Central Indiana on this Memorial Day.  Afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 80s slowly cool down after sunset.  There’s a slight chance of a stray shower or storm, but most places won’t see a drop of rain until late Wednesday.

EVENING TONIGHT TODAY 7PM

Clouds diminish after peak heating and lows tonight drop into the lower 60s.  Tuesday will be near carbon-copy of today with hazy sun and unseasonably warm highs in the mid to upper 80s.

TUESDAY MORNING TOMORROW TUESDAY AFTERNOON

Storm chances increase Wednesday afternoon with the approach of the latest front…. but not before highs jump back into the upper 80s.  Thursday remains relatively warm in the lower 80s before a pattern change hits this weekend that drops highs into the lower and mid 70s.

WEDNESDAY MORNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THURSDAY 7DAY

Enjoy the evening and be safe – Sean Ash

Update On Isolated Storms This Afternoon

As expected isolated showers & storms developed over Central Indiana within the past hour and some are not too far from the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.  Additional isolated showers & storms will continue to develop with the best chance to see a heavy storm will be east of the track as wind shift/front moves that direction.

PLANNER AFTERNOON 4PM

Though isolated… anything on radar today will produce heavy rain and lightning and possibly localized severe wind gusts or hail.  Much of the area will be just warm and humid with highs in the mid 80s.

7PM MONDAY MORNING MONDAY PLANNER

Less humid air arrives behind the front tonight with lows ranging from 60 to 65 degrees.  Enjoy sunshine and a warm Memorial Day with highs in the mid-80s and just a very slight rain chance.  Scattered storms are possible Tuesday but more likely Wednesday afternoon into Thursday.

MONDAY AFTERNOON MUGGY METERE 7DAY

Cooler, but much closer to normal, air arrives late week with quiet conditions expected Thursday afternoon into the start of the weekend.  Have a great afternoon and even better Memorial Day – Sean Ash

First Wave Of Storms Depart…Another On The Way?

Departing rain & late day sun quickly pushes highs into the 80s and high humidity makes for an uncomfortable feel outside.  Much of the evening and overnight will be quiet with only slight rain chances.

TEMPS 6M

Today is the highest chance of rain and storms… and it’s peaked already today as the complex continues to weaken and move east.  Significantly lower chances of rain this weekend despite the Muggy Meter remaining highly uncomfortable due to tropical air.  As a result air conditioners work overtime with lows in the 60s and 70s at night.

POPS MUGGY METER

The wildcard for Carb Day will be the evolution of an expected storm complex that develops in the Central Plains this evening.  We’ll need to monitor its progress overnight for the potential of it taking a similar track to the one we encountered today.  But there is high uncertainty on its track and intensity.

RADAR HRRR 5AM

It’s possible it weakens prior to arriving and we salvage a mainly rain-free Friday with the exception of isolated storms during peak heating.  Check back for updates and expect sticky conditions if you are heading to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

CARB DAY FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON SATURDAY MORNING

Rain and storm chances this weekend are low… but there are certainly no guarantees of completely dry conditions.  There will be hit and miss storms developing Saturday and Sunday during the heating of the day.  It’s to be determined where they actually develop.

PARADE

At this point we’re thinking the IPL 500 Festival Parade should be rain-free but we’ll monitor radar trends.  Race Day begins muggy in the 60s/70s and we’re still forecasting a high in the mid to upper 80s.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON SUNDAY MORNING RACE DAY 7DAY

Chance of storms Sunday is 20% and again we’ll see where they develop.  Download the free Skytrak13 Weather App for radar, watches/warnings and forecast discussion.  Memorial Day looks very summerish and the high heat and humidity continue well into the middle of next week.

Muggy Air, Some Storms, And Plenty Of Dry Time

Muggy air is here to stay friends so get used to sticky lows in the mid/upper 60s and humid highs in the mid-80s through the holiday weekend.  Along with that will be a daily chance of scattered showers and storms… though some days have higher chances than others.

TEMPS OHV TEMPS DEWPOINTS

As expected muggy air now claims real estate across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.. with dew points well into the 60s now.  Our Muggy Meter remains uncomfortable to oppressive through the upcoming weekend as A/Cs get their first true workout of the season.

MUGGY METER TONIGHT

Based on latest analysis it appears the greatest coverage of storms occurs Thursday and Thursday evening, but we’re again stressing that this doesn’t mean it will storm or rain that entire time.

7PM MORNING PLANNER THU 6AM

We recommended downloading the free Skytrak13 weather app if you haven’t already for up-to-date radar and forecast discussions.

THU 2PM THU 6PM PLANNER AFTERNOON FRI 7AM FRI 2PM

At this time we believe a good portion of Carb Day will be just warm and humid… despite a good deal of cloud cover at times Friday.  But we’ll monitoring a potential storm cluster by late in the day that could impact the ending of festivities and your ride home from the track.

CARB DAY RAIN POPS

Much of the race and holiday weekend will be mainly precipitation-free… but isolated showers and storms remain possible during peak heating. That heat features highs between 84 and 88 degrees with oppressive humidity producing heat indices at/above 90 degrees.

7DAY

There’s only a slight chance of rain Memorial Day with highs well in the 80s. Have a save evening – Sean Ash

Humid Heat Arrives With Storm Chances Wednesday

Hope you’re enjoying what’s left of comfortable air in Central Indiana.  Sunshine boosted highs into the 80s to begin a string of 80 degree days that last through the holiday weekend.

TEMPS

There’s a slight storm chance in southwestern Indiana this evening but most places should remain dry.  We’re on borrowed time when it comes to less humid air as dew points have jumped over 10 degrees in 24 hours.  This is a sign of moisture advection that brings muggy air (dew point >=65 degrees) to Central Indiana by Wednesday evening.

DEW POINT CHANGE DEW POINTS

You’ll definitely feel the arrival of more humid air when you step outside Wednesday morning.  Dew points likely jump to oppressive Thursday and stay uncomfortable through the holiday weekend.

7AM DEWPOINTS 4PM DEWPOINTS MUGGY METER NEXT 24HR MUGGY METER NEXT 6 DAYS MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON PLANNER

The increased moisture helps feed locally heavy storms as early as the Wednesday morning commute.  But we can’t stress enough that at this point we’re not expecting all day rain and/or storms.

WED RPM WED PM RPM THURSDAY RPM FRIDAY

There will be plenty of dry time between any storms to get out in the muggy air.  For now the highest rain/storm chances will be later Wednesday into Friday morning.

STORM CHANCES

In fact the departure of an upper system to our north this weekend and limited lift atmosphere keeps rain/storm chances on the isolated side Saturday into Tuesday of next week.

7DAY

Heat and uncomfortable humidity may become the bigger weather story for the Indy 500 and Memorial Day.  Please check back as the forecast likely will change or need to be tweaked and we’ll pass along adjustments as needed – Sean Ash

One More Sunny Day Before Muggy Air And Storm Chances Arrive

Central Indiana is blessed with another spectacular afternoon of sunshine, comfortable humidity and warm highs in the 70s and 80s.  Evening hours will be clear and quiet with seasonably cool lows in the 40s and 50s again tonight.

TEMPS TONIGHT

Tuesday is a near carbon-copy of the weather today.  Comfortable start, warm finish and plenty of hazy sunshine with pleasant humidity.

MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON PLANNER TUESDAY REG DEW POINT

We’re advising everyone to take advantage of this dry air with uncomfortable humidity lurking to our west set to arrive mid-week.  In fact the Muggy Meter nears oppressive levels as tropical dew points near 70 degrees are possible Thursday and Friday.

MUGGY METER SPC

Increased low-level moisture puts heavy storms in play mid-week into race weekend… with an low chance of storms reaching severe levels.  At this point flooding rain and lightning appear to be our greatest storm threats with unimpressive wind levels locally.

GFS RAIN EURO RAIN

Rain amounts on average the next 7 days fall between a half-inch to inch and half… but there will surely be areas that receive significantly more due to the juicy air.

WEDNESDAY MORNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

It’s possible that heat and humidity become the bigger story race weekend though daytime heating puts air mass storms in play.  It’s still too early to narrow down coverage and timing specifics but we’ll continue analyze data and update.

WEEKEND PATTERN WEEKEND PATTERN 2

For now trends show above to much above normal conditions at least the next 7 days.

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Sunny Start To Week Before Storms Return

The weather doesn’t come much better than this during the month of May.  Welcome sunshine and a dry northerly wind led to a 30-35 degree swing from lows (40s) to highs (near 80) today.  We’ll experience similar conditions Monday.

ALMANAC TONIGHT

The morning begins clear with lows in the 40s but temperatures quickly warm into the 70s by noon and into the 80s during the afternoon.  Tuesday also features hazy sunshine and warm highs in the 80s before unsettled weather arrives Wednesday.

MONDAY MORNING MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW

Humid air accompanies the heat this week as the Muggy Meter gets uncomfortable with dew points possibly nearing 70 degrees by Thursday afternoon.

MUGGY METER

Tropical moisture means any storms that develop this week likely produce heavy rain/lightning and severe hail/wind is possible too.  Unsettled conditions linger into race weekend with a daily chance of rain and storms… though some days will have more coverage than others.

TUESDAY WEDNESDAY 7DAY

We can’t get more specific than that regarding timing, coverage and severity.  But you’ll definitely want to check back for changes to the forecast that will occur between now and the running of the 100th Indianapolis 500 – Sean Ash

From Sun To Showers

If you like sunny and 70 degree weather then you’ll agree the best weather in the country is across Central Indiana today.  It’s certainly a welcomed change after what’s been a cooler and wetter than normal May.

TONIGHT

Pleasant, clear conditions continue this evening with comfortable temperatures in the 60s.  High clouds increase after midnight and hint of expected changes ahead for Friday.  You’ll notice considerably more cloud cover tomorrow… though much of the day will be dry.

RPM 2PM TODAY

We’ve mentioned this system over Texas all week as a potential rain-maker to Central Indiana.  While its core likely stays closer to the Ohio River the next 48 hours… we’ll definitely get clouds Friday along with the possibility of a showery period beginning tomorrow afternoon.

THURSDAY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON

We continue to advertise shower chances in the afternoon and evening with highs in the mid to upper 60s.  The area with the greatest chance of seeing showers will be along and especially south of I-70.  Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

RPM 12PM FRIDAY 12PM FRIDAY FRIDAY 4PM INDIANS FRIDAY 9PM SATURDAY 7AM

Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

SUNDAY SUNDAY HIGH

Sunday is the brighter of the two days this weekend with highs in the mid-70s.  Summer-like heat builds next week with highs in the 80s.  But the increased warmth brings storm chances mid-week that may linger into race weekend.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

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