Early Morning Showers And Storms Then Hottest Air Of Year

TGIF!  While hot air and hazy temperatures dominate the forecast story over the next four days… we’re monitoring a cluster of storms that will southeastward from around Chicagoland into Ohio.

TEMPS

Currently it appears the greatest coverage of heavy rain and storms will stay just north and east of the Indianapolis metro area.  But a few showers or rumble of thunder remain possible along the I-70 corridor this morning.

6AM 9AM

For those living along a line from Kokomo, Muncie to Richmond it’s fair game for downpours until around 10am.  There’s only a slight chance of redevelopment later today with hottest day of the year being the bigger story.  Highs in the 90 to 95 degree range mark our hottest day since early September.

5PM HIGHS TODAY TODAY TONIGHT

This marks the beginning of a potential five day stretch of highs at or above 90 degrees.  There will be another opportunity of hit and miss storms Saturday evening but much of the weekend is just hot.

SAT 7PM HIGHS TOMORROW SATURDAY HIGHS SUNDAY HIGHS MONDAY

A more unsettled weather pattern arrives during the middle of next week when storm chances climb Tuesday afternoon.  Have a great weekend and find a way to beat the heat – Sean Ash

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Hot Air Building Into The Weekend

Good Thursday morning Central Indiana.  Another pleasantly cool start in the upper 40s and 50s as comfortable air continues to hang on for a few more hours.  Mid-level clouds increase some heading into midday but we’re expecting a mainly dry and warmer day in the 80s.

TEMPS MORNIGN AFTERNOON

It’s going to be a great day to get down to Monument Circle for the Annual Strawberry Festival and this evening for The Caroline Symmes Celebrity Softball Challenge at Victory Field.  Weather should cooperate nicely for both great events.

HIGHS TODAY EVENING 12PM 5PM

Late this evening and overnight storms will increase along a warm front moving across central and northern Indiana.  Based on current positioning of the front… it’s possible that areas south of I-70 may not see much rain/storms at all.

RPM4

While the greatest coverage looks to target areas north and east of Indianapolis.  So don’t be surprised to hear some loud rumbles of thunder while you’re sleeping and early Friday morning.

6AM FRIDAY 5PM FRIDAY HIGHS TOMORROW FRIDAY

As the front sets up along the Michiana border tomorrow… our local atmosphere will be mostly “capped off” with a layer of hot air.  So other than an isolated late day storm, Friday-Monday will be mainly just hazy, hot and humid with highs well into the 90s and heat indices of 95 to near 100.

PATTERN RAIN POTENTIAL RAIN POTENTIAL OHV 7DAY

This will easily be our hottest stretch of days since early September before a stormier pattern looks to emerge by the middle of next week.  Have a great day – Sean Ash

Possible Tornado In Johnson County Saturday

It appears the National Weather Service in Indianapolis will be sending a survey crew out to Johnson County sometime Monday to determine if the crop and tree damage you see below was caused by a tornado.

Lance Fischer lives along SR 135 in Franklin and tweeted the photos to me Sunday afternoon and explained it happened during the storms Saturday.  If you look closely at the crop pictures you can see a swath in the grain that is flattened.

CROP DAMAGE 2 CROP DAMAGE 3 CROP DAMAGE

Radar imagery from 4:15pm Saturday shows an approaching quasi-stationary convective linear system… or QLCS in the meteorology field.  Many tornadoes in Indiana occur from mesovortices that occur within waves embedded along the line of storms, also known as line echo wave patterns.

RADAR

Thanks to Twitter follower @Hoosier_Charlie we can actually see several radar velocity scans of gate-to-gate wind shear moving over Lance’s farm in southern Johnson County.  This signature is strong enough, combined with the crop photos, to suggest a quick tornado… and similar to what would late occur along the line in Wayne County.

Thanks to Lance and Charlie for sharing and we’ll keep you updated on what the NWS finds tomorrow – Sean Ash

Cool Nights And Mild Afternoons Ahead

It’s a pleasant finish to what’s been an unsettled weekend.  We’re now enjoying a refreshing breeze with a mix of clouds and comfortable temperatures in the 70s at this time.

CAM NETWORK

A lowering Muggy Meter stays comfortable most of the next five days.  Meaning you can give the A/Cs a break, open the windows, and air-out the house.

MUGGY METER TONIGHT LOWS TONIGHT

The pleasant breeze continues tonight and will be stronger tomorrow with gusts nearing 30mph during peak heating.  Highs soar back into the 80s with plenty of sunshine Monday.

MONDAY HIGHS MONDAY

There’s a threat of scattered strong to severe storms late Monday afternoon as a cold front moves into the region.  Though chances are low… stay weather aware tomorrow until the front sweeps through the state to pave the way for seasonably cool air mid-week.

SPC DAY 2 MONDAY 5PM

A refreshing northwesterly breeze keeps temperatures below normal Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the lower 70s.  This shot of cooler air is short in nature and enjoy while you can.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY MORNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNON

Confidence is high on the hottest air of the year arriving Friday into next weekend… when 90s appear likely for the first time since early September.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

JET STREAM 7DAY

 

EF-0 Tornado Confirmed In Wayne County

The National Weather Service Office in Wilmington, OH confirms a tornado from Saturday evening near Richmond.  Time of touchdown is estimated at 6:24pm with a maximum wind of 85mph and a path length just over one mile.

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
156 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...Tornado Confirmed Near Richmond in Wayne County Indiana...

Location...Near Richmond in Wayne County Indiana 
Date...June 4 2016
Estimated Time...6:24PM EDT 
Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF0
Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...85 mph 
Maximum Path Width...150 yds
Path Length...1.25 miles 
Beginning Lat/Lon...39.88N / 84.96W
Ending Lat/Lon...39.89N / 84.94W
* Fatalities...0
* Injuries...0

YouTube video from Jamey Miller captured the tornado in Webster and you can clearly see it crossing 4000 block of N. Round Barn Road of US Highway 35.

Here are some damage pictures courtesy of Michele Webb of Round Barn Road.

DAMAGE 2 DAMAGE 3 DAMAGE 4 DAMAGE

Thankfully no injuries reported with this tornado that had a maximum width of 150 yards and on the ground for just a few minutes.  Here’s the full report from the NWS office in Wilmington, OH.  http://www.weather.gov/iln/20160604_Richmond

 

 

Spotty Showers Clear For A Pleasant Evening

As expected spotty showers and a few rumbles of thunder developed in unstable air over Central Indiana.  While most backyards stay dry today, some will have to work around splash-and-dashers before 6pm… with a low possibility of a severe storm around the Indiana/Ohio border.

TEMPS SPC DAY 1

TODAY 2PM TODAY 5PM TODAY

Pleasant conditions prevail this evening, overnight and a good portion of Monday.  Expect a breezy day tomorrow with gusts nearing 30mph and highs jumping back into the 80s.  An approaching front triggers scattered storms late Monday afternoon and a few may near severe wind limits.

TONIGHT MONDAY HIGHS MONDAY MONDAY 5PM

From 80s tomorrow to lower 70s Tuesday with a refreshing northwesterly breeze keeping temperatures below normal.  Wednesday is looking fantastic with sunshine and 70s.

TUESDAY MORNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY MORNING

We continue to advertise the hottest air of the year arriving next weekend with highs likely climbing into the 90s for the first time since early September.  Have a great day – Sean Ash

JET STREAM 7DAY

 

Only Spotty Showers And Storms Today

The results of Saturday’s sogginess are in and a heavy swath of rainfall dropped a widespread 1″ to 2″+ amounts from Terre Haute to Fort Wayne.  For many areas it’s the highest rain since the middle of May.

RAIN ESTIMATES

National Weather Service damage survey teams from Wilmington, OH will investigate likely tornado damage in Wayne County near Richmond.  YouTube video from Webster, Indiana seems to confirm a tornado.

STORM REPORT

This morning patchy fog is around but the radar remains quiet for now.  By late morning spotty showers or a storm are possible and that chance continues into the afternoon.  During peak heating, and especially in eastern Indiana, there’s a chance of a strong storm.  But it’s important to stress that precipitation coverage today will be significantly lower than Saturday.

today 1M 4PM

Pleasant conditions prevail this evening, overnight and a good portion of Monday.  Expect a breezy day tomorrow with gusts nearing 30mph and highs jumping back into the 80s.  An approaching front triggers scattered storms late Monday afternoon and a few may near severe wind limits.

TONIGHT HIGHS MONDAY MONDAY

From 80s tomorrow to lower 70s Tuesday with a refreshing northwesterly breeze keeping temperatures below normal.  Wednesday is looking fantastic with sunshine and 70s.

JET STREAM

We continue to advertise the hottest air of the year arriving next weekend with highs likely climbing into the 90s for the first time since early September.  Have a great day – Sean Ash

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Soggy Start To The Weekend

It’s noticeably less humid today but equally warm with Indianapolis having it’s 8th straight 80 degree day.  Cloud cover continues to spread in from the southwest and serves notice of big changes arriving to start the weekend.

DEWPOINTS TEMS

The Muggy Meter remains comfortable tonight but climbs tomorrow and that moisture feeds heavy rain and a few strong storms.

MUGGY METER

Sprinkles and light rain is possible in southern Indiana this evening, but the main thrust of deeper moisture and lift arrives after midnight.

OHV TONIGHT

We’re expecting rain and embedded storms to be widespread by sunrise Saturday.  You’re advised to have an indoor Plan B ready for tomorrow as we’ll have heavy rain at times… and it will be more on than off.

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Rain amounts of 1″ to 2″ will be widespread by Sunday morning and a few strong storms are possible in southern Indiana where the atmosphere may destabilize a bit more.

RAIN AMOUNTS

WINE FEST KEITH URBAN

It’s terrible timing for the highest rain and storm chances we’ll have over the next five days.  Sloppy conditions are fairly likely for both the Vintage Indiana Wine Festival at Military Park and tailgating for Keith Urban at Klipsch Music Center.

POPS

Sunday features more clouds than sun with dry time to start.  But spotty showers develop during the afternoon and linger into the evening.

SUNDAY

Monday is breezy and warmer with highs nearing 80 degrees before a front delivers a shot of cooler air Tuesday.

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The verdict remains out on just how warm we’ll get late next week… though some signals suggest upper 80s to near 90 Friday into next weekend.  Stay tuned for updates – Sean Ash

Start Of The Weekend Looking Wet And Stormy

We’re definitely a state divided today… by the weather.  It’s refreshing air (lower dewpoints) blanket the northern half of Indiana. This is contrasted by a oppressively humid conditions in the southern half of the state.  The Muggy Meter in Indianapolis has bounced around from comfortable to humid.  We expect it to ease overnight.

24HR CHANGE DEWPONTS TEMS

The Muggy Meter in Indianapolis has bounced around from comfortable to humid.  We expect it to ease overnight.  Some impressive rain totals occurred within the tropical downstate… with radar indicating 2-3″ amounts from Lawrence to Ripley counties.

RAIN ESTIMATES RAIN ESTIMATES 2

This region will likely see locally dense fog develop overnight and may impact the Friday morning commute as moisture collects along a slow-moving front that eventually stalls along the Ohio River.

FOG FORECAST FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON

Northside of the boundary tomorrow provides a pleasantly warm day in the 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.  We’re advising get your yard work done Friday with a trend toward soggy and stormy conditions for Saturday.

HIGHS TOMORROW FRIDAY 6M

It appears the aforementioned boundary buckles northward to trigger a high chance of rain and storms by late Saturday morning.  It’s too early nail-down which area gets the heaviest rainfall totals.

SATURDAY 7AM SATURDAY 12M SATURDAY 2PM

But early runs of hi-res model data hints this may occur along and south of the I-70 corridor.  Definitely stay tuned for changes and I’d be working on a Plan B indoors at this point.

RAIN OUTPUT RAIN MODELS RAIN CHANCES 7DAY

Sunday features markedly cooler air and we’ll likely break the string of 80 degree days then if not Saturday.  Expect highs in the lower to mid 70s with a few spotty showers developing in the later in the day.  The cooler trend continues early next week before we’re back to 80s.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

Dense Fog Possible Overnight

Some areas got quite the drink of rainfall today with much of the Indy metro area in the .25″ to .50″ range.  But some gauges continue to collect dust due to the randomness of the storms today.

RAIN 1 RAIN 2

Late day sunshine in western Indiana combined with an approaching front keeps a slight storm chance in play until just after sunset…. but the chance of rain is low.

TEMPS FOG THURSDAY MORNING

Due to a soggy ground in some locations, areas of dense fog are possible overnight into Thursday morning.  We’re still expecting a warm, but less humid, day tomorrow with highs again in the 80s.

THURSDAY PLANNER MUGGY METER

With the front settling south of I-70 Thursday that’s where the storm chances will be.  Much of the area tomorrow stays dry.

HIGHS TOMORROW FRIDAY

After a dry Friday we’ll see scattered storms returning Saturday.  Due to an afternoon/evening arrival of a cold front that day, high temperatures will return again into the 80s.

SATURDAY

As a result of the warmer air and a potent upper storms, some of these may possibly be severe.  Stay tuned for updates.  We continue to advertise a shot of cooler air late weekend into early next week – Sean Ash

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