Tuesday Afternoon Storm Update

So far so good in Central Indiana with the main storm show along and south of the Ohio River thus far.

TEMPS RADAR 2

But there’s still a few hours of daylight left and the center of a meso-low crossing into western Indiana will be enough to trigger scattered showers and storms.

RADAR WATCH

This feature also has enough low-level wind shear that may produce some funnels in northwest Indiana… though the risk of tornadoes in the viewing area is rather low at the moment.

9PM

Any risk of storms diminishes quickly after sunset and the focus shifts to the development of locally dense fog tonight.  Morning fog, mist and overcast gives way to a partly sunny in the afternoon.

PLANNER MORNING WED 7AM WED 5PM PLANNER AFTERNOON

Temperatures will be much warmer in the 80s tomorrow with only a slight storm chance expected at this time.  Enjoy the mainly dry with more widespread showers and storms returning Thursday.

7DAY

We’re still on target for an unseasonably cool weekend with highs in the 50s Saturday… a good 15 degrees below normal – Sean Ash

Severe Storms Possible This Afternoon

You’ll need to be weather aware today with an elevated risk of severe storms in Central Indiana… especially along and south of I-70.

OHV TEMPS DMA TEMPS

Sunshine is noted on visible satellite analysis and will aid in destabilizing the atmosphere.  The leftover circulation from an early storm complex in eastern Illinois will provide the lift to initiate scattered to numerous storms between 2pm and 4pm.

2PM 5PM

Storms may initially be discrete to pose a tornado and large hail risk.  But eventually they should congeal into more linear features to up the ante on locally damaging wind gusts as the move across the viewing area.

10PM

The highest probability of wind damage (30%+) and/or tornadoes(2-5%) is in the southern half of the state between 2pm and 9pm.  Please download our free Skytrak 13 weather app to receive watches and warnings on your phone.

THREAT LEVELS THREAT DEFINITION

The rest of severe weather diminishes before midnight and areas of dense fog/drizzle become the headline overnight into the Wednesday mornign commute.  Check back for updates – Sean Ash

Wet Pattern To Continue

Another wet day in Central Indiana and we’ve got an active 72 hours ahead.  Rain amounts since midnight fall in the .10″ to nearly .50″.

OBSERVED RAINFALL

More wet times ahead in Central Indiana with an additional 1″ to 2″ by Thursday midday… and locally higher amounts are likely in heavier storms.

RAIN POTENTIAL

Clouds and rain have kept temperatures in check thus far by warmer air is nudging into southwestern Indiana where it’s almost 70 degrees in Terre Haute.

TEMPS

PLANNER TONIGHT

Actually the warmest air of the day may arrive toward sunset as warm front creeps toward the Indy metro area.  A saturated air mass around this boundary leads to areas of drizzle outside of downpours and locally heavy storms the next 24 hours.

5AM TUESDAY PLANNER MORNING 12PM TUESDAY

There will once again be areas of heavy rain to navigate through during the Tuesday morning commute.  We’ll be monitoring conditions closely tomorrow with the potential of severe storms during the afternoon and evening.

4PM TUESDAY 8PM TUESDAY PLANNER AFTERNOON

This will be predicated on how quickly early morning rain/storms diminish and how much warming occurs before storm initiation later in the day.

SPC DAY 2

We believe the severe threat may be bumped up a category for the Indy metro area based on a potential of atmospheric instability interacting with a stalled front.  All of modes of severe weather are in play Tuesday and it’s a good idea to stay weather aware tomorrow.

6AM WEDNESDAY

Wednesday looks like a mainly dry and much warmer day in the 80s.  But the heat only could ignite isolated storms alone… but a great area of rain/storms arrives Wednesday night into Thursday with the approach of a cold front.

WEDNESDAY 5PM THURSDAY MIDDAY 7DAY

Highs Friday will be near 70 degrees before a substantial drop off this weekend.  Temperatures likely don’t reach 60 degrees with some showers and rumbles of thunder.

More Heavy Rain And Storms Overnight

After a soggy, damp Mother’s Day in Central Indiana… much of the area will enjoy a dry evening before the next wave of rain and storms arrive.  Cooler than normal temperatures in the 50s and lower 60s hold this evening.

TEMPS 24HR CHANGE

8PM PLANNER

Expect an increase in rain and thunder around, and especially after midnight.  Nothing severe expected but definitely areas of heavy rain and plenty of lightning between midnight and 7am.  Rain amounts could exceed an half-inch by sunrise.

RADAR 1AM 3AM 4AM

While it won’t be a washout Monday there will be periods of storms that are possible anytime from sunrise to past sunset.

9AM MONDAY 1PM MONDAY 6PM MODEL RAIN

More storminess arrives Tuesday and some of these storms could possibly reach severe limits.  Highs near 80 degrees Wednesday before the next batch of rain and storms hits Wednesday night into Thursday.

SPC 7DAY

All signs point toward a much cooler than normal pattern hitting next weekend when highs look to be in the 50s… some 15 degrees below normal.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

Sun And 70s Ahead Friday!

A brightening sky this afternoon is nice, but will actually help destabilize the air enough to allow spotty lake effect showers to develop.  That’s right… lake effect.

TEMPS

Below is an animation of visible satellite that shows the stream of moisture off of the lakes producing cloud cover in Indiana and Ohio.  This is also a signature of cool air that continues to cover the region.

7PM 1SM

Any showers will be brief in nature and quick-moving.  Clouds clear overnight and temperatures drop to chilly levels in the 30s and lower 40s.  But expect a quick warm-up tomorrow under full sunshine with highs in the 70s.

LOWS TONIGHT HIGHS TOMORROW INDIANS

We continue to advertise a pleasant start for runners and walkers in the 40th Annual One America 500 Festival Mini-Marathon Saturday morning.  Though start time temperatures in the 50s quickly warm into the 60s by 10am and 70s by midday.  Have a safe run!

MINI MARATHON SATURDAY 7AM SATURDAY 1PM

High temperatures in the 80s Saturday team up with an approaching cold front to set off scattered to numerous storms after 3-4pm.

SATURDAY 4PM SATURDAY 9PM

It’s still too early to determine where the storms will initiate, but storms that do develop could become severe (wind gusts >=58mph or 1″+ diameter hail).

DAY 3 SUNDAY 7AM

This boundary should set up in southern Indiana Sunday to allow for mostly dry conditions in the Indy metro area… but rain will be possible in southern Indiana.  This could change so please check back for updates – Sean Ash

7DAY

 

Locally Severe Storms Later Today

Good Sunday afternoon.  Hope you’re enjoying the quiet time… for now.  Areas that are seeing sunshine have quickly warmed into the 70s and destabilized… especially south of I-70.

TEMPS SPC

Be weather aware in all of Central Indiana heading into the evening with widely scattered storms expected to develop during peak heating.  Wind gusts in excess of 58mph and hail 1″ diameter or larger are main threats… though there is a low threat of a tornado too.

7PM 10PM

The greatest combination of instability and wind shear looks to stretch from I-70 to the Ohio River.

3AM

Storms diminish after midnight and we should be rain-free by the Monday morning commute and quiet pattern sets up for a few days.

Have a way to get watches and warnings and we recommend downloading the free Skytrak 13 Weather App.  Stay safe and check back for updates – Sean Ash

Hit And Miss Downpours And Storms

Coverage of downpours and storms today will be significantly less than the past two, but there will be enough instability to support a few locally strong storms.

A stalled front across Central Indiana makes for a rather interesting daytime high forecast.  Areas to the far north like Peru and Marion may likely only reach 60 degrees.

TEMPS

This is contrasted by near 80 degree temperatures in Seymour and Bedford.  We’re expecting highs of 70 to 75 around the Indy metro area.

2PM

Coverage of downpours and possibly hailers will be greatest over the Indianapolis metro area between 2pm and 5pm.  Keep an eye to the sky as lightning may force outdoor activities inside.

33PM 8PM 5PM

Any storms that develop diminish after sunset and then we shift focus to what could be a rather foggy night for some.

AFTERNOON PLANNER

Reduced visibility may impact the Friday morning commute but we’ll see at least partly sunny conditions to finish tomorrow with seasonably cool highs in the mid-60s.

PLANNER TONIGHT PLANNER FRIDAY

It will be a nice evening at Victory Field tomorrow as the Indianapolis Indians begin a nine game home stand.

Enjoy the dry time tomorrow as we’re still targeting a wet weekend in Central Indiana.  Rain increases by late morning Saturday and combined with an easterly wind keeps temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60 for much of the day.  Rain and storms continue Saturday night into Sunday morning… before becoming more scattered Sunday afternoon.

7day

Next week still looks to become unseasonably cool with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below normal.  Have a good day – Sean Ash

Rainy Night With Rumbles Of Thunder

Rain has arrived in Indianapolis and will be heavy at times the rest of tonight.  Though rumbles of thunder and downpour are likely, there’s just a very low chance of isolated wind gusts exceeding 55mph.  However, expect flooded roadways… especially along and south of I-70 where two day rainfall totals near four inches in spots.

TEMPS RAIN POTENTIAL

However, expect flooded roadways… especially along and south of I-70 where two day rainfall totals near four inches in spots.

11PM 3AM

Rain should become more scattered in nature after midnight but additional downpours and/or gusty storms can be expected prior to 6am.

6AM

Areas of dense fog and drizzle are possible for the Thursday morning… that will also feature much warmer tempeartures in the mid to upper 50s.

8AM THURS

THURSDAY

THURSDAY 4PM

With a warm front settling into northern Indiana tomorrow, we’re expecting rain/storm coverage to more isolated than the past two days.

HIGHS TOMORROW

This will also allow highs to be much warmer too with a southwest wind boosting temperatures into the 70s.  The exception will be our far northeastern viewing area that may stay stuck in the low to mid 60s.

FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON

Friday remains pleasantly cool and dry before rain expands across the region during the Saturday.  A shot of cooler than normal air is still in the long range cards during the May 3-6 time frame.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

SATURDAY MORNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON

7DAY

 

Another Wet And Stormy Evening Ahead

Clouds and cool air have saved Central Indiana from seeing much storm coverage so far.  However we’re expecting rain and thunder to increase this evening as a warm front moves northeast toward the Indy metro area.

SPC

While the risk for severe weather is low… a few wind reports of 60mph and quarter-sized hail remain in play especially south-southwest of Indy where the greater instability will be.

8PM

A period of heavy rain and gusty storms most likely impacts cities along the I-70 corridor and southward between 6pm and midnight.  Rain amounts in the heavier storms may easily exceed one inch and localized flooding is possible.

12AM 5AM

Another round of gusty storms is possible between 3am and 6am along with areas of fog and drizzle developing by sunrise Thursday.

RAIN POTENTIAL HIGHS TOMORROW

With the front moving into northern Indiana tomorrow, we’re expecting rain/storm coverage to more isolated than the past two days.  Highs will be much warmer too with a southwest wind boosting temperatures into the 70s.

5PM

7DAY

Friday remains pleasantly cool and dry before rain expands across the region during the Saturday.  A shot of cooler than normal air is still in the long range cards during the May 3-6 time frame.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

Brief Tornado Possibly In Greene County Tuesday Evening

It appears a brief, weak tornado may have occurred in Greene County around 7:21pm Tuesday evening.  Radar data shows a velocity “couplet” near US & US at 7:17pm and a tighter couplet (green representing wind toward the radar and red away) when the tornado was reported.

VELOCITY ONE VELOCITY TWO VELOCITY THREE

Law enforcement reports damage to a tree, some farm machinery, a barn and another building on a farm just southwest of Worthington.  Thankfully there are no injuries and it was only on the ground for a short time.

Coincidentally it was one of only three tornado reports thus far today… despite parameters significantly more favorable for tornadoes in the Central U.S.  It serves as a reminder to be weather aware even on low end risk days.

TEMPS

Now the focus will be on jacket weather returning for the Wednesday morning commute as temperatures drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s.  Thankfully the clouds and cooler start will delay the onset and diminish severity of our next round of rain/storms.

7AM MORNING AFTERNOON 12PM

Expect mainly dry conditions until after 5pm and an overall increase in storms during Wednesday evening.  Though a few hail or wind reports are possible the storms should have more bark than bite.

6PM 10PM

Storm coverage diminishes by Thursday morning and redevelopment Thursday afternoon may only be isolated.

THURSDAY 7DAY

Friday remains dry before the next system looks to bring widespread rain and storms back into Central Indiana Saturday evening into Sunday.