Hit And Miss Downpours And Storms

Coverage of downpours and storms today will be significantly less than the past two, but there will be enough instability to support a few locally strong storms.

A stalled front across Central Indiana makes for a rather interesting daytime high forecast.  Areas to the far north like Peru and Marion may likely only reach 60 degrees.

TEMPS

This is contrasted by near 80 degree temperatures in Seymour and Bedford.  We’re expecting highs of 70 to 75 around the Indy metro area.

2PM

Coverage of downpours and possibly hailers will be greatest over the Indianapolis metro area between 2pm and 5pm.  Keep an eye to the sky as lightning may force outdoor activities inside.

33PM 8PM 5PM

Any storms that develop diminish after sunset and then we shift focus to what could be a rather foggy night for some.

AFTERNOON PLANNER

Reduced visibility may impact the Friday morning commute but we’ll see at least partly sunny conditions to finish tomorrow with seasonably cool highs in the mid-60s.

PLANNER TONIGHT PLANNER FRIDAY

It will be a nice evening at Victory Field tomorrow as the Indianapolis Indians begin a nine game home stand.

Enjoy the dry time tomorrow as we’re still targeting a wet weekend in Central Indiana.  Rain increases by late morning Saturday and combined with an easterly wind keeps temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60 for much of the day.  Rain and storms continue Saturday night into Sunday morning… before becoming more scattered Sunday afternoon.

7day

Next week still looks to become unseasonably cool with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below normal.  Have a good day – Sean Ash

Rainy Night With Rumbles Of Thunder

Rain has arrived in Indianapolis and will be heavy at times the rest of tonight.  Though rumbles of thunder and downpour are likely, there’s just a very low chance of isolated wind gusts exceeding 55mph.  However, expect flooded roadways… especially along and south of I-70 where two day rainfall totals near four inches in spots.

TEMPS RAIN POTENTIAL

However, expect flooded roadways… especially along and south of I-70 where two day rainfall totals near four inches in spots.

11PM 3AM

Rain should become more scattered in nature after midnight but additional downpours and/or gusty storms can be expected prior to 6am.

6AM

Areas of dense fog and drizzle are possible for the Thursday morning… that will also feature much warmer tempeartures in the mid to upper 50s.

8AM THURS

THURSDAY

THURSDAY 4PM

With a warm front settling into northern Indiana tomorrow, we’re expecting rain/storm coverage to more isolated than the past two days.

HIGHS TOMORROW

This will also allow highs to be much warmer too with a southwest wind boosting temperatures into the 70s.  The exception will be our far northeastern viewing area that may stay stuck in the low to mid 60s.

FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON

Friday remains pleasantly cool and dry before rain expands across the region during the Saturday.  A shot of cooler than normal air is still in the long range cards during the May 3-6 time frame.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

SATURDAY MORNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON

7DAY

 

Another Wet And Stormy Evening Ahead

Clouds and cool air have saved Central Indiana from seeing much storm coverage so far.  However we’re expecting rain and thunder to increase this evening as a warm front moves northeast toward the Indy metro area.

SPC

While the risk for severe weather is low… a few wind reports of 60mph and quarter-sized hail remain in play especially south-southwest of Indy where the greater instability will be.

8PM

A period of heavy rain and gusty storms most likely impacts cities along the I-70 corridor and southward between 6pm and midnight.  Rain amounts in the heavier storms may easily exceed one inch and localized flooding is possible.

12AM 5AM

Another round of gusty storms is possible between 3am and 6am along with areas of fog and drizzle developing by sunrise Thursday.

RAIN POTENTIAL HIGHS TOMORROW

With the front moving into northern Indiana tomorrow, we’re expecting rain/storm coverage to more isolated than the past two days.  Highs will be much warmer too with a southwest wind boosting temperatures into the 70s.

5PM

7DAY

Friday remains pleasantly cool and dry before rain expands across the region during the Saturday.  A shot of cooler than normal air is still in the long range cards during the May 3-6 time frame.  Have a safe evening – Sean Ash

Brief Tornado Possibly In Greene County Tuesday Evening

It appears a brief, weak tornado may have occurred in Greene County around 7:21pm Tuesday evening.  Radar data shows a velocity “couplet” near US & US at 7:17pm and a tighter couplet (green representing wind toward the radar and red away) when the tornado was reported.

VELOCITY ONE VELOCITY TWO VELOCITY THREE

Law enforcement reports damage to a tree, some farm machinery, a barn and another building on a farm just southwest of Worthington.  Thankfully there are no injuries and it was only on the ground for a short time.

Coincidentally it was one of only three tornado reports thus far today… despite parameters significantly more favorable for tornadoes in the Central U.S.  It serves as a reminder to be weather aware even on low end risk days.

TEMPS

Now the focus will be on jacket weather returning for the Wednesday morning commute as temperatures drop into the upper 40s and lower 50s.  Thankfully the clouds and cooler start will delay the onset and diminish severity of our next round of rain/storms.

7AM MORNING AFTERNOON 12PM

Expect mainly dry conditions until after 5pm and an overall increase in storms during Wednesday evening.  Though a few hail or wind reports are possible the storms should have more bark than bite.

6PM 10PM

Storm coverage diminishes by Thursday morning and redevelopment Thursday afternoon may only be isolated.

THURSDAY 7DAY

Friday remains dry before the next system looks to bring widespread rain and storms back into Central Indiana Saturday evening into Sunday.

Scattered Strong Storms This Afternoon

Good afternoon. Scattered to numerous downpours & gusty storms develop along a stalled front in Central Indiana the next few hours.

TEMPS SPC

The greatest coverage of storms will be along and especially south of I-70… where wind gusts of 60mph & quarter-sized hail will be possible.

TPM TEMPS OHV

A Severe T’Storm Watch is up west of us for a storm complex that looks to target southwestern Indiana… possibly impacting Bloomington, Columbus, Seymour and Bedford later this evening.  A new watch may be needed later.

WATCH

High resolution “modeled” radar shows southern IL/IN & western KY taking brunt of this severe storm complex.

HRRR 7PM

But with or without this complex, scattered storms are likely for the southern half of Indiana and you’ll need to be weather aware until it passes – Sean Ash

Storms Tonight Mark Beginning Of Unsettled Pattern

Are you enjoying summer-like warmth and breezy conditions today?  We’re advising to get any yard work done this evening because you’ll be dodging multiple rounds of rain and storms the remainder of the week.

TEMPS TEMPS OHV

Strong to severe storms emerge along a front across northern Illinois the next few hours.  It appears the weakened leftovers sneak into the viewing area around midnight… gradually working across the Indy metro area between 2am and 8am.

SPC OHV SPC DMA

We’re not expecting widespread large hail or wind exceeding 60mph, but a few reports are certainly possible.  However, lightning, areas of downpours and gusty wind are likely any storms tonight.

TONIGHT 11PM TUE 5AM TUE 5PM TUE 9PM

Tomorrow will not be a washout but scattered showers and storms are possible at any time.  The greatest coverage occurs in the afternoon and along/south of I-70.  A few storms may produce large hail and damaging wind…but the threat is low for now.

SPC DMA DAY 2 HIGHS TOMORROW TOMORROW

Unfortunately it appears a significant severe weather outbreak unfolds in the Central Plains tomorrow.  Please be advised if you’re heading in that direction or have friends and family out there.  Destructive hail, dangerous wind gusts are likely with some tornadoes too.

SPC DAY 2

Another round of more widespread rain and storms occurs Wednesday into Thursday plus a decent chance Saturday evening into Sunday.

7DAY

Also of note is the consistent signal in ensemble guidance on a below to much below normal temperature pattern between the May 2 to May 8 time frame.

GEFS EPS

The images above show significant mid-level anomalies/troughing across the Ohio Valley which would lead to below normal temperatures.  We’ll have to wait for specifics on how cold and how long.

But this might lead to temperatures in the 30s for the start of the Indy Mini-Marathon.  Stay tuned for updates and be weather aware tonight and Tuesday – Sean Ash

 

Sunny Start To An Unsettled Week

Sunny and much warmer this afternoon with highs near 80 degrees.  Humidity levels remain pleasant which will allow for a comfortable cool down tonight in the 50s.  If you don’t suffer from allergies you’ll be able to open windows after sunset to cool the house down.

TEMPS DMA TEMPS OHV

TONIGHT

But unfortunately the pollen remains very high and will stay that way until at least next weekend.  Warm, breezy conditions set up over Central Indiana Monday well into the 80s.

MORNING AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY

A frontal boundary across the Michiana could become a focal point for storm initiation late tomorrow.  If this occurs these storms could become severe and would likely drift southeastward tomorrow night into the viewing area.  Stay tuned and we’ll update as needed.

SPC OHV SPC DMA 4PM MONDAY 10PM MONDAY 5AM TUESDAY

Tuesday features another strong to severe storm chance with humid air, highs near 80 and a front stalled across the region.  This front is forecast to settle southward Wednesday to allow for cooler highs in the 60s.  Multiple rounds of rain and storms move across the front Wednesday evening into Friday morning.

7DA6

The unsettled pattern continues into next weekend with more rain and storms possible.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

Locally Strong Storms This Evening

An approaching upper level storm, combined with sunshine that destabilized the atmosphere allowed widely scattered strong storms to develop.

TEMPS 10PM RISK

Widespread severe weather is not expected but small hail, downpours, lightning and gusty wind are likely for a few hours this evening.  Download the free Skytrak 13 Weather App for Interactive Radar and watches/warnings delivered to your phone

PLANNER 6AM FRIDAY

The storm threat diminishes later tonight but more scattered storms develop Friday.  This precedes a sunny and warmer weekend in Central Indiana.  We’re also expecting a rather unsettled pattern to develop over the Ohio Valley next week with multiple rounds of storms likely.

7DAY

It’s too early to tell if we’ll see severe weather but please check back for updates – Sean Ash

Dry Spells Comes To An End Tonight

For only the second time in the past 30 years Indianapolis encountered eight straight dry days during April.  The recent run of dryness coincided  with unseasonably warm air too.

6PM

Despite increased cloud cover, afternoon temperatures are well into the 70s and some places may hit 80 degrees for the 4th straight day.  Some light showers are possible the next few hours, but the brunt of rainfall and storms occur overnight into the first half of Thursday.

EVENING PLANNER MIDNIGHT 5AM TOMORROW TONIGHT 12PM THURSDAY THURSDAY AFTERNOON

While there will be no severe weather, you can expect lightning and downpours that may either keep you up or serve as unwanted alarm clock.  The greatest coverage of rain likely occurs before midday tomorrow and becomes more scattered by Thursday afternoon.

THURSDAY THURSDAY 10PM

An upper low moving over the state Thursday night into early Friday triggers more showers and cools highs into the 60s for a couple of days.  However, sunshine and unseasonably warm air quickly return for the weekend.

FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON

Highs will be near 70 Saturday and near 80 Sunday.  Remember to join us this weekend for the Health and Fitness Expo at the Indiana State Fairgrounds.  You can get free tickets at wthr.com.

An unsettled weather pattern looks to set up across the Ohio Valley next week and could result in multiple waves of rain/storms between Monday and Friday.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

An unsettled weather pattern looks to set up across the Ohio Valley next week and could result in multiple waves of rain/storms between Monday and Friday.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

 

Summer-Like Warmth Slowly Eases Later This Week

For the first time in nearly seven months Indianapolis had back-to-back 80 degree days.  Even a few cirrus clouds this afternoon couldn’t slow the warming on the new warmest day of the year.

TEMPS

As of 4pm daytime highs were a good 15 degrees above normal and more representative of mid-June than mid-April.  It’s definitely going to feel like the summer for the Boys Of Summer at Victory Field this evening.

The Indianapolis Indians welcome the Toldeo Mudhens for the next three days.  Please note the early start times tomorrow and Wednesday.

INDIANS INDIANS 3 DAY JET STREAM

While we’re reaping the sunny, warm rewards of an upper high and its sinking air… the moist flow between the high and cut-off low over the Rockies delivered historic flooding to the Houston area.

RADAR ESTIMATES

Many areas had over 10″ of rainfall in a 12 hour period overnight and the flooding has reached areas that typically don’t flood.  Flash Flood Emergencies continue at this hour and more rain is likely.

RADAR ESTIMATES 2

MORNING

Here at home the weather remains quiet, but mild overnight and Tuesday morning.  Highs tomorrow near 80 degrees again with just a very slight rain chance.

AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW TUESDAY WEDNESDAY WEDNESDAY 2

Rain chances ramp up late Wednesday into Thursday for much-needed precipitation after a longest stretch of dry days since October.  Warmth builds again this weekend under mostly dry conditions until late Sunday.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

7DAY