You can certainly feel the increased humidity today and combined with warm highs in the low/mid-80s makes it feel more like the upper 80s in spots. A stray shower is possible but much of the region won’t see a drop of rain this evening. We’ll monitor storms in Central Illinois for potential impact to the far western counties of the viewing area before midnight… but my hunch is that they’ll weaken before arriving.
We still expect some dry hours early Saturday but we’re definitely on borrowed time for dry weather after midday tomorrow. Humid highs in the mid-80s team up with an approaching cold front to trigger widespread rain and heavy storms… with the greatest coverage this weekend expected between 4pm Saturday to 10am Sunday. Localized severe storms are possible tomorrow, but lightning and downpours are the main threats.
Pack your poncho and stay weather aware if you’re heading to either Victory Field, Klipsch Music Center or the Lawn At White River State Park Saturday evening. All venues will impacted by the expected increase in storm coverage.
The weekend rain won’t be a hit with your outdoor, but make no mistake this is beneficial and much needed rainfall. With better computer model agreement on rain amounts today… we feel more confident on a widespread 1-2″ rainfall by Sunday 4pm.
Also take note that Sunday will be significantly cooler than Saturday. Temperatures will be 20-25 degrees colder, and in the 60-70 degree range, behind the passage of cold front. Sunday also features plenty of clouds, showery times and breezy northeast wind of 10-20mph.
We’ll dry out early next week and eventually transition back into a summertime pattern late next week that features highs in the mid to upper 80s Wednesday-Friday. Have a great weekend please check back for rain timing, coverage and amount updates – Sean Ash
What a pleasantly warm day across Central Indiana. As expected high temperatures climbed into the mid-80s under hazy sun with only scattered clouds. In the blog Wednesday we mentioned the possibility of isolated showers developing along a washed-out boundary in southern Indiana… and indeed there are very isolated showers noted on the latest radar scans. However, 90% of the viewing area remains dry and pleasant.
Dewpoints dropped into the 50s to offer brief relief from a humid Muggy Meter. Humidity levels climb the next 24 hours and contribute to isolated storm chances Friday afternoon.
Between now and then we’ll enjoy a very pleasant evening! Don’t forget the Indianapolis Indians begin their seven game home stand this evening at Victory Field against the Toledo Mudhens. Temperatures will remain in the 80s for the first pitch at 7:05pm and only fall into the mid/upper 70s by the 7th inning stretch.
We expect only a few clouds overnight into Friday morning… with somewhat warmer lows in the mid to upper 60s tonight. You don’t need to cancel any outdoor plans tomorrow, but you’ll need to monitor radar later in the day. Isolated showers or storms are fair game by 5pm. They’ll be primarily sun-driven and will diminish after sunset Friday evening.
Saturday begins dry but rather humid. Showers and storms increase Saturday afternoon as a cold front moves into the state. Highs climb into the low and mid 80s prior to the storms… some of which may become severe. Expect much cooler conditions to finish the weekend as we’ll be north of a cold front. Under mainly cloudy conditions, and with a breezy northeast wind, temperatures will be in the 60s.
We have low confidence on the precipitation forecast Sunday as there’s uncertainty on where the boundary will set up. For now we’ll mention the chance of showers, but this could change drastically either way by then. Have a good evening – Sean Ash
Spotty showers and locally heavy storms remain possible until the passage of a weak cool front later this evening. While organized severe isn’t anticipated…a few storms will produce gusty wind and small hail. Downpours and lightning are likely in any storms that do develop.
At 4pm radar shows a narrow, but heavy line of storms west of Indianapolis… with isolated cells developing in advance of this line. This will move easterly across the northern half of the state between now and 9pm. It’s possible for some southward development to occur in time which would put the Indy metro area in play prior to sunset.
Any storms quickly diminish before midnight with areas of dense fog developing prior to the Thursday morning rush hour. Some areas may have visibility less than a mile and could impact your commute. Otherwise we’re expecting a warm, humid day tomorrow with highs in the mid-80s tomorrow. Isolated showers and storms are possible in southern Indiana where the aforementioned front stalls.
Higher storm chances return to Central Indiana Friday evening into Saturday. Some of these storms could be strong to severe… but downpours and lightning again appear to be the main threats. Saturday is easily the warmest and stormiest day of the weekend at this point.
North side of a front will be significantly cooler and less humid Sunday… with highs in the 65 to near 70 degree range. It appears this cool down will be short in nature and long range indicators suggest a summer time pattern next week. Stay weather aware early this evening – Sean Ash
What a day and what a race! We won’t spoil the finish for you but it’s equally as great as our weather this weekend. Sunshine and mid-80s to finish our Sunday and there is still plenty of time to enjoy the weather this evening.
Rain and thunder chances ramp up some on Memorial Day… though it should be noted there will be dry time to enjoy barbecues and pools. Spotty showers are possible as early as 3-4am, but will be more likely late morning into early afternoon. It’s conceivable much of the precipitation will be out of the state by 5-6pm to allow for a nice evening tomorrow. Please check the radar and download our free app if you have outdoor plans.
Expect humid highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s with not much drop during the night due to increased humidity.
An upper level storm system provides greater wind energy to support a low end risk of strong to severe storms on Tuesday. With or without severe weather we’ll have to endure heavy storms until the upper low drifts east of the state mid-week.
Temperatures will be a good 10 degrees warmer than normal until next weekend. Have a great evening and please take some time to remember what Monday is all about – Sean Ash
Sunshine, low humidity and afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 60s… that equals weather perfection in my book! Hope you’re enjoying the best weather day of the week in Central Indiana.
Give thanks to high pressure pancaking the sky over the Ohio Valley for the mostly cloud-free conditions.
Temperatures cool quickly after sunset and lows drop back into the 40s Thursday morning. Cloud cover will be noticeable tomorrow and serves notice of moisture returning to the region. After a cool start, temperatures creep into the 70s during the afternoon despite less sun due to a warmer southeast wind.
This moisture will mainly be in the mid to upper levels, so filtered sunshine is expected. Either way it will be pleasant for practice and the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and the return of our Indianapolis Indians tomorrow evening at Victory Field. This marks a seven game home stand for the Tribe… please get out and support the boys of summer!
The comfortable air eventually gives way to an increasing Muggy Meter after the passage of a warm front Thursday night. Humid heat will be a big story heading into the weekend as dew points in the mid to upper 60s make it sticky.
The passage of the aforementioned warm front Thursday night into Friday morning also brings shower and thunderstorm chances to Central Indiana. Daytime highs reach the lower to mid-80s Friday, but with the front expected to be in far northern Indiana there will be little to no lifting mechanisms for showers and storms. Though a few air mass thunderstorms are possible, we’re expecting plenty of dry time Friday and Saturday.
We’re more optimistic about Saturday’s outlook today. Again there looks to be little to lift the air overhead and we’ve opted to go with spotty coverage of showers and storms. Though spotty, we’ll be monitoring Live Doppler 13 Radar closely for potential impacts to Indy 500 qualifying and the return of Indy Eleven to The Mike Saturday evening. Check back for updates.
An approaching upper level low gets closer to the region on Sunday and ups the ante for storms… especially later in the day and into Monday. It’s too early to tell how much coverage, and how early storms fire and exact impacts to Pole Day. We’ll narrow down that forecast in the coming days.
It still appears another refreshing air mass blankets the region Tuesday through of next week with highs in the 60s and low in the 40s. Please check back for potential changes to the weekend forecast – Sean Ash
We’ve fully transitioned from a muggy summer air mass to cooler, less humid spring air. The 24 hour change delivered by low pressure now over eastern Canada and its cold front that passed by last night. Temperatures across the Ohio Valley and Central Indiana are 15-20 degrees colder than this time Monday when severe storms impacted Eastern Indiana. Expect afternoon highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s with more clouds than sun… expect in southern Indiana where it will be mainly sunny.
As anticipated a healthy cumulus cloud field blossomed under colder air aloft. Our exclusive WeatherBug Camera Network verifies the thickest cloud cover north and brightest sky south today.
Afternoon highs range from the mid/upper 50s under the thicker cloud deck to mid/upper 60s farther south in the blue sky. A stiff breeze continues until after sunset and will be tricky for drivers practicing at IMS… though some rather impressive laps have already occurred despite the breezy conditions. Wind gusts near 30mph at times during peak heating.
As high pressure settles over the area tonight we’ll see clouds clear and the wind becoming light. This paves the way for a seasonably cool night in the 40s, but also sets up the best day of the week tomorrow. Long sleeves and light coats are a good idea in the morning but we’re certainly shedding layers with a rapid rise into the by 1pm and nearing 70 for highs Wednesday afternoon.
Thursday will be also be pleasant but not as bright as clouds increase in response to a warming wind.
There’s a chance of showers late Thursday evening and this marks the beginning of an unsettled pattern that impacts qualifying weekend at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Highs climb back into the 80s Friday to Monday with periods of scattered storms. Storm chances end Monday night with the arrival of the next cool front. Have a great afternoon – Sean Ash
The severe weather threat ends over Central Indiana but unfortunately, and as expected, there were several reports of wind damage in far eastern Indiana. This is an area we marked for the highest severe wind potential due to the warmth and instability.
Damage reports converged on area from Randolph County to Franklin County. Indiana State Police took this picture of two semis blown over on I-70 near the Cambridge City exit.
Though a stray gusty storm in the eastern/southeastern is possible… the focus quickly shifts to the arrival a cold front and refreshing air overnight. Breezy conditions continue all night and into Tuesday. The refreshing wind delivers a dramatic drop in the Muggy Meter that you’ll notice when you walk out the door in the morning.
Though drivers won’t like the breezy conditions tomorrow, it will keep the air pleasant and highs only return to the mid/upper 60s. We continue to circle Wednesday as the pick of the week. Lows drop into the 40s under a clear sky and calming wind. But highs quickly return to the upper 60s & near 70 under a blue sky. Enjoy the brief cool down with a weekend warm up and storm chances returning – Sean Ash
The Indianapolis metro area and points east are under a Tornado Watch until 8pm. Though we believe the threat for severe weather will be over well before then. Our thinking remains the same regarding the greatest risk area to be east of Indy… and includes cities like Muncie, Rushville, Richmond and Greensburg.
We also believe damaging wind is the greatest severe weather risk today, with gusts possibly approaching 70mph in the strongest storms east of Indianapolis. But it should be noted that there is a non-severe tornado risk, and a few torandoes are very possible. Bottom-line… remain weather until we can give the all clear.