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Jun
14

Great Finish To Work Week

Posted By · June 14, 2013 at 7:05 am

Some of the best weather across the country is here at home in Central Indiana today.  If you missed the sunrise this morning you missed a good one.

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You’re going to notice a huge change to the air outside.  Temps are a good 15-20 degrees cooler in the 50s!   Full sun will quickly warm into the 60s by 9am and 70s by noon.

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Highs will top out in the mid/upper 70s this afternoon, with an increase in low level clouds.

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The air remains comfortable the next 24-36 hours… resulting in another pleasant night in the 50s/lower 60s.

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Saturday will be mostly dry, but toward sunset it’s fair game for a shower or storm to move in.  But better rain chances arrive Saturday night into Sunday.  Not great timing for Father’s Day unfortunately, with periods of showers and storms.

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Storm chances remain in play Monday,before another cold front delivers more Canadian air for the middle of next week.

7DAYHave a great day and even better weekend – Sean Ash

 

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Jun
11

Sunny To Severe Storms Next 36 Hours

Posted By · June 11, 2013 at 11:49 am

Temperatures are making a quick jump into the 80s today with a good dose of June sunshine.  Highs will be in the mid 80s this afternoon and mark the beginning of a two day warm spell.

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Most of the area remains dry this evening and tonight.  However, isolated strong/severe storms are possible with large hail being the main storm threat tonight into early Wednesday morning.

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Air conditioners work overtime tonight with muggy lows mainly in the lows.  We’re still on target for our warmest temps in nearly 10 months Wednesday.  Highs soar into the 90s for the first time this season, and since late last August.

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Despite not being in an “official” risk area by the Storm Prediction Center… I still think a severe hail threat is warranted overnight.

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But as advertised for several days now, our best chance of seeing strong/severe storms is Wednesday evening into the predawn hours of Thursday.

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As of now we’re targeting the hours between 8pm Wednesday and 5am Thursday for a severe storm complex(es).  Though strong/severe storms are certainly possible outside of that window.  All modes of severe weather are possible Wednesday night… but high heat/moisture, extreme instability, and a strengthening low-level wind field provides higher than normal confidence on the evolution of a widespread wind damaging wind/flooding rain event…especially for the northern 1/3 of Indiana.  Be weather aware tomorrow night and check back for updates.

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The bumpy ride tomorrow night will be followed by some very pleasant June weather Thursday afternoon into Saturday morning.

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Friday is my pick-of-the-week with morning temps in the 50s and sunshine/mid 70s during the afternoon.  Father’s Day is beginning to look soggy across the Ohio Valley, with periods of rain/storms possible.  Thanks for checking out the blog and have a great afternoon – Sean Ash

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Jun
09

90s and Severe Storms Possible This Week

Posted By · June 9, 2013 at 7:13 pm

Only a few light showers around this evening, but rain chances climb overnight with some locally heavy downpours possible.  Severe storms are not expected, though you may hear some thunder before you wake up Monday morning.

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Expect humid lows in the mid 60s tonight, with a slow climb into the mid 70s Monday due to cloud cover and scattered showers/storms.

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It won’t rain all day tomorrow, but rain is fair game at anytime… with the greatest coverage expected during peak daytime heating Monday afternoon.

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Rain and clouds depart Tuesday as much warmer air moves.  Highs Tuesday jump into the mid/upper 80s across Central Indiana.

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Wednesday is looking like the hottest day of the year so far, and hottest since late last August.  Temps soar into the 90s.  Unfortunately the combo of high heat, low level moisture and extreme instability may trigger a severe storm complex.  This far out there is a great deal of uncertainty on timing and location, but  all of Central Indiana should monitor this blog and the rest of the SkyTrak 13 forecast team for updates.

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Wednesday is the hottest day of the week, and Friday is my pick of the week… with low humidity, sunshine and highs near 80!

7dayThanks for reading the blog and have a great evening – Sean Ash

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Jun
02

Time For A Cool Change

Posted By · June 2, 2013 at 9:06 pm

Some of the best weather across the country the next few days will be right here in Central Indiana!  Granted we have a chilly night ahead, with lows in the 40s… but sunshine and highs near 70° Monday will more than make up for it.

LOWS_TONIGHT morningplanner plannerpmDespite full sunshine, temperatures will be nearly 10° cooler than normal tomorrow.  Low humidity, a picturesque blue sky, and refreshing breeze from the northeast set the stage for near weather perfection… in my book at least. highs_tomorrow highs_DAY2Temperatures jump into the mid-70s Tuesday in another stellar afternoon in the Ohio Valley. RPM_4 RPM_5 RPM_6Wednesday we’ll notice some high level moisture returning in the form of cirrus clouds, with only a slim chance of a late day shower or storm. 7dayThe next “best” chance of precipitation is Thursday.  Overall the pattern is relatively quiet compared to last week, and for now next weekend looks pleasant – Sean Ash

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Jun
01

Cooler Air Coming

Posted By · June 1, 2013 at 7:03 pm

Clouds and early morning rain from an overnight storm complex kept Central Indiana from seeing severe weather late Saturday.  While heavy showers are possible overnight as a cold front moves into the state, the strongest storms will occur east and south of Indiana.  Due to cloud cover and cooler air arriving Sunday, temperatures won’t move much from morning lows in the 60s to afternoon highs in the lower 70s.

morningplanner plannerpm Though a majority of the day and state will be dry… spotty showers are possible after 12pm.  But nothing to cancel plans over. RPM RPM_1 highs_tomorrow You’re not going to notice a big difference in humidity until Sunday evening.  The Muggy Meter stays uncomfortable tomorrow, but pleasant air is waiting outside for you Monday morning.  Drier air allows us to open the windows and enjoy crisp conditions. MUGGY_METER LOWS_TONIGHT Anyone who knows me knows sunny and 70 degrees is my favorite.  That’s what is staring us down Monday afternoon! highs_DAY2 RPM_3 RPM_4 With full sun and comfortable air, it’s to understand why I have Monday/Tuesday as picks-of-the-week.  Rain/storm chances build toward the end of the week.7day

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May
26

Areas Of Heavy Rain & Storms Next 24 Hours

Posted By · May 26, 2013 at 10:13 pm

Rain is likely overnight north of Indianapolis, with scattered chances along and south of I-70.  Though severe weather is not expected, heavy downpours and some thunder will be heard.

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Memorial Day will not be a complete washout, but scattered showers and locally heavy storms will impact outdoor holiday plans.

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The increased rain/storm chances are due to an approaching warm front… a front that’s very evident on the high temperature map for Monday.  Greater coverage of rain/clouds keep Munice/Kokomo/Richmond closer to 70°.  Less rain and pockets of sunshine push Bloomington, Terre Haute and Columbus up to near 80°.

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The passage of the aforementioned warm front will shut down the rain, and open the gate to unseasonably warm air.

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Highs Tuesday quickly jump ino the 80s, and this air mass will hang out into next weekend.

SURFACE - Copy SURFACENot only warm, but it will be humid too… as dewpoints creep into the mid/upper 60s.  So expect A/Cs to crank this week with little chances of rain until next weekend. 7day

Have a great Memorial Day and a sincere thanks to those serving and those who have paid the ultimate price for our freedoms – Sean Ash

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May
26

Racing To Beat The Raindrops

Posted By · May 26, 2013 at 2:32 pm

It appears we’ll get in 200 laps, but the “window of opportunity” for dry weather over the Indianapolis Motor Speedway gradually closes down after 3pm.  The ragged, eastern fringe of an area of showers in western Indiana approaches the Indy metro by 4pm, and sprinkles/shower chances increase the rest of the day.  If you’re at the track or have evening grilling plans expect some rain to move across the I-70 corridor.

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Rain this evening should be generally light, and similar to Saturday evening.  However, deeper atmospheric moisture and a warm front will trigger heavier storms on Memorial Day.  Though I don’t anticipate severe weather, there will definitely be less dry time to get outside Monday. RPM_3 RPM_6High heat and humidity build in after the passage of a warm front Monday night… setting the stage for a prolonged period of  above normal temperatures.  Highs Tuesday jump into the 80s with hazy sun, and near 90 a few days during the middle of the week.RPM_5 7dayThe next “best” chance of rain after Monday is next weekend as a frontal system stalls around the region.  Have a great evening and holiday tomorrow – Sean Ash

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May
25

Lower Rain Chances For Indy 500

Posted By · May 25, 2013 at 11:43 pm

Latest radar analysis and computer model data suggest a drier scenario for the 97th running of the Indianapolis 500.  A wave of light showers will continue to dive southward overnight and weaken along the way.  Though a lingering sprinkle is possible when the gates open at 5:30am…it’s not likely.  Below is the latest FutureTrak 13 from 5:30am to 5:30pm.

RPM RPM_1 Morning clouds have more bark than bite, and a dry east-southeasterly wind may actually thin-out some of the overcast when the green flag drops.RPM_2 Still expecting some spotty showers to be on the radar during the race… but most likely impacting west-central Indiana.  Still close enough to warrant a 30-40% by 2-3pm.RPM_3 RPM_4 EVENTRain and storms are more likely on Memorial Day, but conditions quickly dry out Tuesday as much warmer air returns for next week.  7day

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