First Wave Of Storms Depart…Another On The Way?

Departing rain & late day sun quickly pushes highs into the 80s and high humidity makes for an uncomfortable feel outside.  Much of the evening and overnight will be quiet with only slight rain chances.

TEMPS 6M

Today is the highest chance of rain and storms… and it’s peaked already today as the complex continues to weaken and move east.  Significantly lower chances of rain this weekend despite the Muggy Meter remaining highly uncomfortable due to tropical air.  As a result air conditioners work overtime with lows in the 60s and 70s at night.

POPS MUGGY METER

The wildcard for Carb Day will be the evolution of an expected storm complex that develops in the Central Plains this evening.  We’ll need to monitor its progress overnight for the potential of it taking a similar track to the one we encountered today.  But there is high uncertainty on its track and intensity.

RADAR HRRR 5AM

It’s possible it weakens prior to arriving and we salvage a mainly rain-free Friday with the exception of isolated storms during peak heating.  Check back for updates and expect sticky conditions if you are heading to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

CARB DAY FRIDAY MORNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON SATURDAY MORNING

Rain and storm chances this weekend are low… but there are certainly no guarantees of completely dry conditions.  There will be hit and miss storms developing Saturday and Sunday during the heating of the day.  It’s to be determined where they actually develop.

PARADE

At this point we’re thinking the IPL 500 Festival Parade should be rain-free but we’ll monitor radar trends.  Race Day begins muggy in the 60s/70s and we’re still forecasting a high in the mid to upper 80s.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON SUNDAY MORNING RACE DAY 7DAY

Chance of storms Sunday is 20% and again we’ll see where they develop.  Download the free Skytrak13 Weather App for radar, watches/warnings and forecast discussion.  Memorial Day looks very summerish and the high heat and humidity continue well into the middle of next week.

Muggy Air, Some Storms, And Plenty Of Dry Time

Muggy air is here to stay friends so get used to sticky lows in the mid/upper 60s and humid highs in the mid-80s through the holiday weekend.  Along with that will be a daily chance of scattered showers and storms… though some days have higher chances than others.

TEMPS OHV TEMPS DEWPOINTS

As expected muggy air now claims real estate across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.. with dew points well into the 60s now.  Our Muggy Meter remains uncomfortable to oppressive through the upcoming weekend as A/Cs get their first true workout of the season.

MUGGY METER TONIGHT

Based on latest analysis it appears the greatest coverage of storms occurs Thursday and Thursday evening, but we’re again stressing that this doesn’t mean it will storm or rain that entire time.

7PM MORNING PLANNER THU 6AM

We recommended downloading the free Skytrak13 weather app if you haven’t already for up-to-date radar and forecast discussions.

THU 2PM THU 6PM PLANNER AFTERNOON FRI 7AM FRI 2PM

At this time we believe a good portion of Carb Day will be just warm and humid… despite a good deal of cloud cover at times Friday.  But we’ll monitoring a potential storm cluster by late in the day that could impact the ending of festivities and your ride home from the track.

CARB DAY RAIN POPS

Much of the race and holiday weekend will be mainly precipitation-free… but isolated showers and storms remain possible during peak heating. That heat features highs between 84 and 88 degrees with oppressive humidity producing heat indices at/above 90 degrees.

7DAY

There’s only a slight chance of rain Memorial Day with highs well in the 80s. Have a save evening – Sean Ash

Humid Heat Arrives With Storm Chances Wednesday

Hope you’re enjoying what’s left of comfortable air in Central Indiana.  Sunshine boosted highs into the 80s to begin a string of 80 degree days that last through the holiday weekend.

TEMPS

There’s a slight storm chance in southwestern Indiana this evening but most places should remain dry.  We’re on borrowed time when it comes to less humid air as dew points have jumped over 10 degrees in 24 hours.  This is a sign of moisture advection that brings muggy air (dew point >=65 degrees) to Central Indiana by Wednesday evening.

DEW POINT CHANGE DEW POINTS

You’ll definitely feel the arrival of more humid air when you step outside Wednesday morning.  Dew points likely jump to oppressive Thursday and stay uncomfortable through the holiday weekend.

7AM DEWPOINTS 4PM DEWPOINTS MUGGY METER NEXT 24HR MUGGY METER NEXT 6 DAYS MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON PLANNER

The increased moisture helps feed locally heavy storms as early as the Wednesday morning commute.  But we can’t stress enough that at this point we’re not expecting all day rain and/or storms.

WED RPM WED PM RPM THURSDAY RPM FRIDAY

There will be plenty of dry time between any storms to get out in the muggy air.  For now the highest rain/storm chances will be later Wednesday into Friday morning.

STORM CHANCES

In fact the departure of an upper system to our north this weekend and limited lift atmosphere keeps rain/storm chances on the isolated side Saturday into Tuesday of next week.

7DAY

Heat and uncomfortable humidity may become the bigger weather story for the Indy 500 and Memorial Day.  Please check back as the forecast likely will change or need to be tweaked and we’ll pass along adjustments as needed – Sean Ash

One More Sunny Day Before Muggy Air And Storm Chances Arrive

Central Indiana is blessed with another spectacular afternoon of sunshine, comfortable humidity and warm highs in the 70s and 80s.  Evening hours will be clear and quiet with seasonably cool lows in the 40s and 50s again tonight.

TEMPS TONIGHT

Tuesday is a near carbon-copy of the weather today.  Comfortable start, warm finish and plenty of hazy sunshine with pleasant humidity.

MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON PLANNER TUESDAY REG DEW POINT

We’re advising everyone to take advantage of this dry air with uncomfortable humidity lurking to our west set to arrive mid-week.  In fact the Muggy Meter nears oppressive levels as tropical dew points near 70 degrees are possible Thursday and Friday.

MUGGY METER SPC

Increased low-level moisture puts heavy storms in play mid-week into race weekend… with an low chance of storms reaching severe levels.  At this point flooding rain and lightning appear to be our greatest storm threats with unimpressive wind levels locally.

GFS RAIN EURO RAIN

Rain amounts on average the next 7 days fall between a half-inch to inch and half… but there will surely be areas that receive significantly more due to the juicy air.

WEDNESDAY MORNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

It’s possible that heat and humidity become the bigger story race weekend though daytime heating puts air mass storms in play.  It’s still too early to narrow down coverage and timing specifics but we’ll continue analyze data and update.

WEEKEND PATTERN WEEKEND PATTERN 2

For now trends show above to much above normal conditions at least the next 7 days.

7DAY

 

Sunny Start To Week Before Storms Return

The weather doesn’t come much better than this during the month of May.  Welcome sunshine and a dry northerly wind led to a 30-35 degree swing from lows (40s) to highs (near 80) today.  We’ll experience similar conditions Monday.

ALMANAC TONIGHT

The morning begins clear with lows in the 40s but temperatures quickly warm into the 70s by noon and into the 80s during the afternoon.  Tuesday also features hazy sunshine and warm highs in the 80s before unsettled weather arrives Wednesday.

MONDAY MORNING MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW

Humid air accompanies the heat this week as the Muggy Meter gets uncomfortable with dew points possibly nearing 70 degrees by Thursday afternoon.

MUGGY METER

Tropical moisture means any storms that develop this week likely produce heavy rain/lightning and severe hail/wind is possible too.  Unsettled conditions linger into race weekend with a daily chance of rain and storms… though some days will have more coverage than others.

TUESDAY WEDNESDAY 7DAY

We can’t get more specific than that regarding timing, coverage and severity.  But you’ll definitely want to check back for changes to the forecast that will occur between now and the running of the 100th Indianapolis 500 – Sean Ash

From Sun To Showers

If you like sunny and 70 degree weather then you’ll agree the best weather in the country is across Central Indiana today.  It’s certainly a welcomed change after what’s been a cooler and wetter than normal May.

TONIGHT

Pleasant, clear conditions continue this evening with comfortable temperatures in the 60s.  High clouds increase after midnight and hint of expected changes ahead for Friday.  You’ll notice considerably more cloud cover tomorrow… though much of the day will be dry.

RPM 2PM TODAY

We’ve mentioned this system over Texas all week as a potential rain-maker to Central Indiana.  While its core likely stays closer to the Ohio River the next 48 hours… we’ll definitely get clouds Friday along with the possibility of a showery period beginning tomorrow afternoon.

THURSDAY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON

We continue to advertise shower chances in the afternoon and evening with highs in the mid to upper 60s.  The area with the greatest chance of seeing showers will be along and especially south of I-70.  Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

RPM 12PM FRIDAY 12PM FRIDAY FRIDAY 4PM INDIANS FRIDAY 9PM SATURDAY 7AM

Shower chances continue Friday night into predawn Saturday, but otherwise we’re staring down a great weekend for qualifying of the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500.

SUNDAY SUNDAY HIGH

Sunday is the brighter of the two days this weekend with highs in the mid-70s.  Summer-like heat builds next week with highs in the 80s.  But the increased warmth brings storm chances mid-week that may linger into race weekend.  Stay tuned – Sean Ash

7day

 

Finally Drying Out

Sunshine and a pleasant breeze are just what the doctor ordered in what’s been a rather cloudy, wet month of May.  Rainfall amounts this month are nearly a half-inch above normal and the spring season rainfall surplus is over 3″ since March 1st.

ALMANAC TEMPS

So it’s nice to finally dry out with a pleasant northeasterly breeze and afternoon temperatures in the mid and upper 60s.  Temperatures will quickly cool down after sunset.

Under a clear sky overnight lows fall into the lower 40s by sunrise Thursday.

TONIGHT

The Indianapolis Indians have a another early 1st pitch Thursday at 11:05am.  Pack your sunglasses and enjoy a great day at Victory Field.

INDIANS

Arguably some of the best weather across the country will be in Central Indiana with sunshine and highs near 70!  That offers the perfect backdrop for practice at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

PLANNER MORNING PLANNER AFTERNOON HIGHS TOMORROW

The center of a late-week approaching system should stay south of Central Indiana… but it’s cloud field likely increases across the region Friday.  We’re still going to mention the possibility of showers with this feature with the highest chances in southern Indiana.

THURSDAY 5PM THUR 5PM WIDE FRIDAY 9AM

Definitely check back for updates as it’s possible this system could come farther north to require high rain chances/coverage later Friday into early Saturday morning.

FRIDAY 8PM

This low should depart to our east to set the stage for great Indy 500 qualifying weekend.  Highs near 70 Saturday and climb into the mid-70s Sunday with a good dose of sunshine.

WEEKEND FORECAST 7DAY

All long range signals next week continue to point toward a pattern swing to deliver unseasonably warm highs in the 80s.  The warm up however comes with storm chances by mid-week.  Have a great evening – Sean Ash

Dry Evening Before Rainy Night

It’s been a decent afternoon in Central Indiana with filtered sunshine and temperatures mainly in the 60s.

TEMPS INDIANS

Though clouds continue to increase, we’re expecting a mainly dry evening with only sprinkles possible by the end of the Indians first home game in over a week.  Layer up however as temperatures settle into the 50s by first pitch at 7:05pm.

PLANNER TONIGHT 12AM

Rain increases area-wide after midnight and becomes likely by the Tuesday morning commute.  Thought it not be too heavy… the combination of clouds, rain, and a northeasterly wind makes for rather raw conditions tomorrow.

TUE 5PM TUE 1PM

Rain amounts by early Wednesday morning range from .10″ up north to nearly 1″+ down south.  This is not welcomed news for area farmers needed to get into their fields… a tough chore this month due to frequent rains.

RAIN POTENTIAL MODEL RAIN IMS PLANNER

The area dries out Tuesday night and sets the stage for pleasant conditions Wednesday and Thursday.  Enjoy the dry time as yet another rain-maker is poised to drench the Ohio Valley Friday into Saturday morning.

WED 12AM WED 6AM WED 4PM

Compared to the output analyzed yesterday… operational runs of the GFS & European models are a bit faster.  Bad news for Fast Friday at IMS, but this possibly less coverage around for qualifying Saturday.

GFS FRIDAY EURO FRIDAY 7DAY

However it still appears afternoon storms will dot Central Indiana Saturday and a slight chance of precipitation Sunday.  This will definitely change to please check back for updates – Sean Ash

A Bit Warmer Today, More Rain Coming This Week

A brighter and warmer afternoon in Central Indiana, but temperatures remain well below normal with highs in the 50s today.  This sets the stage for another chilly night in the 30s with areas of frost in spots by sunrise Monday.  It’s a good idea to protect plants if you want to ensure they survive.

PLANNER TODAY LOWS TONIGHT

A chilly but bright start expected Monday before clouds increase by late morning.  Highs tomorrow reach the lower 60s before rain spreads across Central Indiana Monday evening into Tuesday morning.

MONDAY MORNING

Practice for the 100th Indianapolis 500 begins tomorrow and they should be able to get some laps in before rain arrives.  You’ll want to take a jacket to the track if you’re heading out.

MONDAY AFTERNOON MONDAY 8PM TUESDAY 1AM

Your Indianapolis Indians return to Victory Field Monday evening with rain chances possible by the 7th inning stretch.  Tuesday looks rather wet with some thunder possible.

INDIANS

Clouds and rain keep highs in the 50s Tuesday before we’re back to dry weather mid-week.  Wednesday, Thursday and the first part of Friday look pleasant.

7day

As of now it appears unsettled next weekend for qualifications and Pole Day with a chance of rain/storms Saturday and Sunday.  Check back with plenty of changes expected to the forecast between now and then – Sean Ash

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued

UPDATE 5PM: Part of Central Indiana now under a Severe T’Storm WATCH until 11pm.  This is for areas west and southwest of Indianapolis, but strong to severe storms are possible later tonight for the metro area.

Damaging wind, large hail, frequent lightning and localized flooding remain main threats from these storms.  Read below for a timeline.

WATCH

You can definitely feel the heat of Indy’s warmest day since April 26th… the date of the city’s last 80 degree day.

RADAR

We continue to monitor severe storms in Illinois that have had a history of large hail and damaging wind.  These clusters should continue holding strength if not intensifying as they propagate eastward along a front draped across Central Illinois and Indiana.

7PM OHV SPC

There is still some uncertainty on exactly where these cluster will track… however we’re thinking they should be nearing the IL/IN border around 5pm.  Please stay weather aware and download our free Skytrak 13 weather app for watches and warnings.

THU 2AM WED 9PM

Wind, hail, lightning and localized flooding are the most probability severe threats… but a tornado or two can’t be ruled out prior to sunset.

THREATS

The threat of strong storms continues tonight as there may be multiple waves of storms move across the state.  This will be followed by another round of locally dense fog and low visibility in Thursday morning.  Schools delays are possible.

PLANNER TONIGHT PLANNER THURSDAY PLANNER AFTERNOON

Showers and storms increase by midday tomorrow as a cold front enters the state.  Highs in the 70s Thursday drop mainly into the 60s Friday before unseasonably cold air arrives this weekend with a chilly pattern change for May.  The colder air is preceded by a period of rain/storms Friday night early Saturday morning.

FRIDAY NIGHT SATURDAY 7AM SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Expect highs in the 50s Saturday & Sunday with near record lows Sunday morning… with some locations in away from Indy’s urban heat island likely in the 30s.

JET STREAM 7DAY

Cooler than normal pattern holds early next week with chances of rain returning.