Hurricane Patricia is expected to make landfall later this afternoon as a catastrophic Category 5 hurricane. The hurricane’s lowest pressure has dropped to 880 mb, making it the strongest hurricane on record in the eastern North Pacific Basin and the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Patricia is not, however, the strongest storm on record. According to NOAA , on Oct. 12, 1979, Super Typhoon Tip had the lowest sea-level pressure ever observed on Earth, at 870 mb. It made landfall in southern Japan, killing nearly 100 people. (A typhoon is the same type of storm as a hurricane… it’s just another name for a storm in the North West Pacific.)
Hurricane Patricia will pack in winds of 200 mph along the west coast of Mexico. It will drop 8” to 12” of rain in its path, causing flooding and mud slides. It will decrease in intensity as it moves over land. The mountainous terrain western Mexico will allow the intensity of the storm to decrease quickly.
The remnants of Hurricane Patricia will likely have some impact in central Indiana, bringing much needed rain by mid week. Here are potential storm tracks of the system.
The string of 70 degree temperatures continue today with winds out of the south and highs in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Clouds will filter in throughout the afternoon as a warm front lifts through central Indiana.
A few spotty showers are possible this evening, although not much is expected. It will be a mild and cloudy evening with temperatures only falling into the upper 60s late this evening.
Overnight lows will eventually fall to near 60 degrees.
A cold front will trigger scattered showers Saturday morning through most of the afternoon.
It will still be a mild day with temperatures climbing to near 70 degrees.
The cold front will exit central Indiana by early evening, taking any leftover rain along with it. It will usher in much cooler air, allowing temperatures to fall into the upper 40s by Sunday afternoon.
Sunday will be much cooler, near normal for this time of year, with afternoon highs in the low 60s. Great tailgating weather for the Colts home game! Go Colts!
More seasonal conditions arrive next week with much needed rain. The remnants of Hurricane Patricia will help bring moisture to central Indiana by Tuesday night. Right now, computer model data has upped the rain potential to a couple of rain by Thursday morning.
The string of 70 degree days continues again today on into the weekend before more seasonal air returns. A cold front will bring additional clouds today and will allow temperatures to turn out of the northwest later today. Afternoon temperatures will climb into the mid 70s, running more than 10 degrees above average.
Another mild evening is in store with temperatures only falling into the low 50s under mostly cloudy skies.
Friday will be mild with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 70s.
It will be a fantastic night for the high school sectionals. It will be mild and mostly cloudy with temperatures only falling into the mid to upper 60s by late game.
There is a chance of a few scattered showers early Saturday morning. Scattered showers will be likely Saturday with around a quarter of an inch of rain possible.
Temperatures climb into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.
Sunday will be dry and mostly sunny with highs in the low 60s.
A cooler trend moves in on Monday with rain likely by Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Heavier rain looks possible on Wednesday, with some areas picking up around an inch of precipitation.
A Freeze Warning continues this morning until 10am. Temperatures have dipped into the upper 20s this morning and are starting to rebound, thanks to the winds shifting out of the southwest.
Temperatures will still be running close to 10 degrees below normal today with sunny skies and highs in the upper 50s.
It will be a chilly afternoon for tailgating for the Colts game tonight at Lucas Oil Stadium. Dress warm, have fun and go Colts!
Patchy frost is likely tonight as temperatures fall into the upper 30s.
A slow warming trend returns Monday. Winds will be out of the southwest with sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s. Upper air flow will shift from the northwest to the west.
Monday evening will be mild with temperatures only falling to around 50 degrees.
The 70s return Tuesday afternoon and will stick around through the rest of the week.
There is a chance of a few showers on Wednesday, mainly in north central Indiana. Otherwise, dry conditions will persist until next Sunday.
It was a chilly fall day across central Indiana with temperatures struggling to climb into the low 50s. Wind chill values were in the mid 40s this afternoon, keeping a bite in the air.
Another Freeze Warning is in effect tonight through 10am Sunday morning.
Temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 20s. Widespread frost is likely. Cover your plants or bring them indoors, if possible.
It will still be unseasonably cool Sunday afternoon with temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 50s. It will be sunny with breezes out of the west, keeping wind chills in the upper 40s.
A slow warming trend returns on Monday afternoon with temperatures climbing into the upper 60s.
The 70s return Tuesday and will stick around through most of the week.
There is a chance of a few showers on Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
It’s a cold start this morning as the coldest air of the season arrives to central Indiana. A Freeze Warning is in effect until 10am. Patchy frost is likely this morning, so you may have to scrap your wind shield before you head out.
It might be cold this morning but at least we aren’t tracking snow. Here is a picture from Northern Michigan University in Marquette, MI where they received 2″ of snow overnight.
It will be a bright day with sunny skies and winds out of the northwest. Afternoon highs will be running more than ten degrees below normal with highs struggling to climb into the mid 50s.
IU and Ball State will be home today for afternoon football. It will be a bright but chilly day in the stands.
It will be mostly clear and cold again tonight. A Freeze Watch is in effect again and will likely be upgraded to a Freeze Warning later today. Temperatures will tumble into the upper 20s and low 30s with widespread frost likely.
After a cold start, temperatures will rebound into the upper 50s Sunday afternoon.
It will be a chilly afternoon for tailgating before the Colts / Patriots game… Go Colts!
More mild air returns on Monday as a warming trend kicks back in. Afternoon highs will climb into the upper 60s.
More 70 degree days are forecast for most of the week with just a small chance of rain on Wednesday night.
The coldest air mass of the season arrives this weekend with temperatures unseasonably cool for this time of year.
Temperatures will struggle to climb to near 60 degrees this afternoon. It will be sunny and brisk with winds out of the northwest from 5 to 15 mph.
It will be clear and cool this evening for Operation Football. Wear the winter coats as wind chill values will fall into the upper 30 by late game.
Temperatures will eventually fall into the low 30s with a Freeze Watch in place until 11am Saturday morning for most of central Indiana. Frost will be likely too.
It will be a bright but cool Saturday afternoon with temperatures struggling to climb into the low 50s. Winds will be out of the northwest.
Another Freeze Watch is in effect for Sunday morning with widespread frost likely. Temperatures will fall into the upper 20s and low 30s.
Temperatures will rebound into the upper 50s Sunday afternoon. Downtown Indy will be dry and crisp the Colts game Sunday night with temperatures in the low 50s during the 6pm hour.
A gradual warming trend returns Monday with sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 60s.
The next chance of rain holds off until Thursday.
Another fantastic fall day will take place today. It will be mostly sunny and dry with breezy winds out of the southwest.
After a chilly start this morning in the low to mid 40s, temperatures will rebound into the mid 70s.
It will be mostly clear and mild this evening with a low in the mid 50s. The average low for this time of year is 46 degrees.
Monday will bring more summer like conditions with temperatures soaring to near 80 degrees.
A weak cold front will push in during the afternoon, bringing a few clouds. At this point, it looks too dry for the front to squeeze out any rain.
So far in October, less than two-tenths of an inch of rain has fallen. While central Indiana received heavy rain in July, August, September and October have been relatively dry. Indianapolis is over 4.50” of a precipitation deficit since January 1st.
The cold front will help usher in more seasonal air for Tuesday.
A trough of low pressure will keep a cooler pattern in place through the weekend.