Bitter Cold & More Snow on the Way

Flurries are on the radar, and much colder air with strong wind gusts have settled into Central Indiana.

Flurries are on the radar, and much colder air with strong wind gusts have settled into Central Indiana.

Highs will reach the mid 20s today with wind gusts out of the west up to 30mph.  This will make it feel like the single digits.  Flurries are possible throughout the day.

Tonight temps reach the single digits with flurries.  Once again winds will gust up to 30mph, creating a dangerous wind chill of 0 to -15.  Friday morning will be very cold to say the least, and temps don’t feel warmer than the single digits Friday as highs only reach the teens.

Late Friday night through the day Saturday light snow is possible.  As of right now, about 1-2″ of snow is possible, and we could see  few isolated pockets of 3″.  We’ll keep you posted as we get closer to the snow falling.

Temperature drop

The blast of cold air will cause clouds and flurries across Indiana on Thursday and some spots may see a half-inch of snow.

After a record high of 65 degrees early on Wednesday morning our temperatures have dropped quickly through the day. The blast of cold air will cause clouds and flurries across Indiana on Thursday and some spots may see a half-inch of snow.

The coldest air comes Friday morning when we’ll start with single digit lows and end our afternoon with highs in the teens. If that’s not enough, more snow is likely on Saturday.

From Severe Storms… to Snow

The severe weather threat is over for Central Indiana. Now we’ll see falling temps, and a chance for snow as we head into tonight.

The severe weather threat is over for Central Indiana.  Now we’ll see falling temps, and a chance for snow as we head into tonight.

Just after 1am Indianapolis hit 65 degrees breaking the old record of 64 from 1947.  For the rest of the day temps will fall from the 50s into the 40s by late afternoon.

Overnight winds gusts up to 70mph caused damage across the state.  A possible tornado is being investigated just south of Bloomington.

Check out the damage reports here:

How much rain have we received?  In the last 24 hours many spots approached and inch, if not more.

Tonight temps fall into the teens with wind chills in the single digits.  Light snow showers are possible.

A lot of changes are coming our way in the 7 day forecast… the cold is back… and late Friday into Saturday light snow is possible.  We’ll keep you posted!

 

Stormy night

Overnight we’ll have a slight risk of severe storms (high winds the biggest threat). Up to two inches of rain is likely early on Wednesday and a flood watch continues throughout the day.

Overnight we’ll have a slight risk of severe storms (with high winds being the biggest threat).

Up to two inches of rain is likely early on Wednesday and a flood watch continues throughout the day.

Temperatures will drop into the 30s after the cold front moves across Indiana. Rain will change to light snow late in the afternoon and continue through Thursday.

Expect much colder air on Thursday and Friday with highs in the 20s.

Severe Risk Overnight

We’ll be under a slight risk of severe storms overnight, with the most likely timing for storms between midnight and 6am. Damaging winds are most likely, but isolated tornadoes and hail can’t be ruled out. Southwest Indiana including Evansville is under a moderate severe risk.

In addition to the severe threat, there’s also a flood threat. 1-2″ of rain could cause some street flooding and rising rivers are likely. Since our ground is already saturated, flooding in the usual spots is possible. A FLOOD WATCH runs from 7pm to 11am.

Temperatures top out in the low to mid 60s today (the record is 66 set in 2002) with the warmth lasting into the wee hours of the morning along with the storms. Behind the storms and cold front, temps will drop much of the day tomorrow.

Tomorrow’s morning temp around 8am will probably be around 59…then we’ll fall into the 30s by late afternoon. There could be some passing rain showers that turn to snow showers as the colder air works in. That leads to a bitter end to the week. Some light snow is possible Saturday, then we warm up again.

Some tips for tonight: clear out your storm drains today before the heavy rain arrives, and before you go to bed, make sure your weather radio is on to alert you if any warnings are issued while you’re asleep.

Take Care!
-Chikage

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Flood watch

Heavy rain and thunderstorms will dump two inches of rain on our already saturated ground Tuesday.

We’ll have a near record high Tuesday and a Flood Watch is in effect for Central Indiana from Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening.

Heavy rain and thunderstorms will dump two inches of rain on our already saturated ground.

There will also be a slight risk for severe storms. Rain will change to snow as temperatures fall on Wednesday.

Springlike Warmth, Rain, Snow, and the Return to Winter

Temperatures today have soared into the 50s, which is more like March than late January. We’ve also had more than a quarter inch of rain, with more drizzle and occasional showers likely through the day today and again tomorrow. Tomorrow, the warmth builds, with near record highs possible! Our record tomorrow is 66 set in 2002. I’m forecasting 64.

We’ll have showers during the day, then at night, as a strong cold front approaches, we’ll watch a line of strong to severe storms move through accompanied by 1-2″+ of rain.

With so much rain possible, the National Weather Service has hoisted Flood Watches for much of Central Indiana where heavy rain could cause rising rivers and flash flooding.

Behind the front, Wednesday brings falling temps which will start in the 50s in the morning and fall into the 30s. That means rain may end as some light snow. Right now, it doesn’t look like much more than a coating if that.

We end the week with a return to bitter temps.

Finally, our Hoosier Pic today is my new bundle of joy! I’ve had a great time bonding with little Zailey while on maternity leave!

It’s going to be a wild ride!
-Chikage
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Wet and Warm, then Storms to Snow

Get ready for a roller coaster ride of weather this week!

We’ll have warming temps through the night with 40s by morning and 50s by afternoon.  Plan on pockets of light rain and drizzle through the day.  It gets even warmer on Tuesday with near-record warmth!  The record is 66 and we could get close.  Showers Tuesday give way to storms overnight Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.  There’s the slight risk of severe storms including West-Central Indiana.  A strong cold front barrels through Wednesday, dropping us out of the 50s in the morning and into the 30s by afternoon with rain turning to snow.  Some light accumulation can’t be ruled out.  After that, we’ll get another visit from the Arctic with single digit lows and highs in the teens possible by the end of the week.

Enjoy the ride!

-Chikage

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From Freezing Rain to Severe Thunderstorms

We’ve got everything in the 7 day forecast including freezing rain… snow… and even the threat of severe thunderstorms.

We’ve got everything in the 7 day forecast including freezing rain… snow… and even the threat of severe thunderstorms.

Today our focus is on freezing rain.  Highs will slowly warm into the mid 30s.  We’ll be mainly dry until 2pm, that’s when freezing rain/rain will start to develop.

A freezing rain advisory is in effect from 3pm to 7pm north of I-70.  In the area highlighted in pink, up to .25″ of ice is possible.  I’m not ruling out freezing rain in the metro area, use extra care and if you’re traveling icy spots will be possible until temps warm above freezing.

Tonight temps will continue to climb after midnight, and rain will be likely Monday with temps in the low 50s.

Tuesday rain will continue with highs in the low 60s.  I am concerned about Tuesday night.  Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible with damaging wind and very heavy rain that could lead to localized flooding.  By Wednesday morning 1-2″ of rain is likely.

Wednesday morning we’ll start with temps in the 50s and end the day in the 30s with rain changing to a wintry mix.

A lot happens in the 7 day… stay tuned to the forecast!

Icy Roads Possible Sunday

I don’t envision this being a big deal for the Indy metro area and points southward…where most of what falls will mainly be a cold rain.  However, roads north of the I-70 corridor (where sub-surface remains <32°) may get icy for a few hours Sunday afternoon/evening within an area of sleet/freezing rain between 2pm-8pm.

Majority of viewing area will see well less than a .10″ of ice.  But a slower warm up north of a Lafeyette-Kokomo-Munice line have a potential for over .10″ of ice.  As a result we’ll have to monitor Sunday evening temperatures to track the progress of warm air advection.

For now, cities like Monticello, Logansport, Marion, Peru, and Hartford City are in a Winter Weather Advisory that begins at 3pm Sunday and runs until 12am Monday.  This is a very changeable forecast for all areas…with 1° or 2° making a big difference on the outcome for most locations.  I encourage to stay with us for the latest developments.

Indianapolis should climb above 32° by 5pm, and slowly but surely make it to the upper 30s by midnight.  Areas north of the city will take longer, hence the greater risk for icy roads.

You can see the progression on FutureTrak 13.  A dry start with increasing clouds.  Leading edge of moisture arrives after 12pm and before 7pm…and will fall initially as mixed precipitation.  After sunset it’s just a cold rain with temperatures continuing to rise after dark.

Official Sunday highs will occur just prior to midnight, and mark the beginning of a balmy 48 hour stretch.  Most importantly this means roads will only be wet for the Monday morning commute.

Tuesday morning starts in the 50s and will end in the 60s!  This is all part of a brief shot of unseasonably warm air across the Ohio Valley.

Look at the large area of 20°F temperature anomalies for Tuesday!

But notice how quickly will drop well below normal Friday.

CLICK IMAGE TO ENLARGE

This transition from warm to cold will produce heavy rain along a cold front Tuesday night.  Widespread 1.50″-2″ rain amounts are likely by late Wednesday morning…putting river flooding back in play for later next week.

CLICK IMAGE TO ENLARGE

The front will also be accompanied by extreme wind shear that exceeds 80 miles per hour (image is difference in wind from surface to midway up atmosphere).  This is sufficient enough to warrant thunder and damaging wind potential Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning despite very limited instability.

That heavy rain ends as a period of snow (accumulation possible) Wednesday afternoon.  But this marks a change to much colder air.  Our latest Arctic front arrives Thursday with snow squall potential, and single digit lows Friday morning!

Yes…everything including the kitchen sink in our weather this week!

Thanks for making it this far and hope you enjoy my analysis.  Questions/comments are always welcomed on Facebook or Twitter.

Have a great evening!

Sean Ash