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Archive for May, 2011

May
20

Fast Friday Forecast

Posted By · May 20, 2011 at 5:22 am

Now, this is track weather!

Highs today will reach the low 80s with partly cloudy skies.  A stray shower is possible South and Southwest of the viewing area.  If you’re heading to the Speedway for fast Friday, make sure you slather on the sunscreen!

Overnight, skies clear and temps drop to around 60 degrees.

Saturday, temps will once again hit the low 80s.  At this time, partly cloudy skies are expected with showers and thunderstorms developing for the afternoon.  Some storms could be strong to severe with very heavy rain, frequent lightning, and damaging winds.  Join me on Sunrise beginning at 6am Saturday for the latest outlook.

Sunday, the entire state is under a slight chance for severe storms.  Very heavy rain, large hail, damaging wind, and even an isolated tornado is possible.  At this time, we will see a mix of sun and clouds with showers and t-storms developing for the afternoon.

Next week highs go from the 80s to the 70s with a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms.  I know you’re getting sick of this forecast!  Next week’s rain will be triggered by a frontal boundary that’s expected to stall out across the state, bringing the daily chance for precipitation.

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May
20

Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected

Posted By · May 20, 2011 at 5:00 am

To be linked to the original article… click here.

Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is predicting the following ranges this year:

  • 12 to 18 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which:
  • 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including:
  • 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)

Each of these ranges has a 70 percent likelihood, and indicate that activity will exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

“The United States was fortunate last year. Winds steered most of the season’s tropical storms and all hurricanes away from our coastlines,” said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. “However we can’t count on luck to get us through this season. We need to be prepared, especially with this above-normal outlook.”

Climate factors considered for this outlook are:

  • The continuing high activity era. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought ocean and atmospheric conditions conducive for development in sync, leading to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons.
  • Warm Atlantic Ocean water. Sea surface temperatures where storms often develop and move across the Atlantic are up to two degrees Fahrenheit warmer-than-average.
  • La Niña, which continues to weaken in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, is expected to dissipate later this month or in June, but its impacts such as reduced wind shear are expected to continue into the hurricane season.

“In addition to multiple climate factors, seasonal climate models also indicate an above-normal season is likely, and even suggest we could see activity comparable to some of the active seasons since 1995,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

NOAA’s seasonal hurricane outlook does not predict where and when any of these storms may hit. Landfall is dictated by weather patterns in place at the time the storm approaches. “The tornadoes that devastated the South and the large amount of flooding we’ve seen this spring should serve as a reminder that disasters can happen anytime and anywhere. As we move into this hurricane season it’s important to remember that FEMA is just part of an emergency management team that includes the entire federal family, state, local and tribal governments, the private sector and most importantly the public,” said FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate.

This is a picture Hurricane Ike taken from the International Space Station.

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May
19

Starting to Dry Out & Warm Up (For Now)

Posted By · May 19, 2011 at 5:48 am

The pesky area of low pressure that’s brought us cloudy, damp and cool days is finally starting to move on outta here!  Today will be a day of transition.  Highs will hit the upper 60s and low 70s with a chance for a spotty shower.  Not everyone will see rain, but the chance for rain is still there!

Overnight, temps drop to the mid 50s with a few cloud breaks.

Friday, looks to be the best day of the week!  Highs will hit the upper 70s with partly cloudy skies.  There’s a 10% chance of a shower at this time in Southwest Indiana.  We’ll keep our eyes on this to make sure it doesn’t move into our viewing area.

Saturday, the heat sticks, but a chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms exists. 

A better chance for thunderstorms exists Sunday.

The stormy pattern remains into early next week.  Check out the 7 day forecast for the details.

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May
18

Drizzle & Rain… then a Warm Up Coming!

Posted By · May 18, 2011 at 8:15 am

Highs today will reach the upper 50s to low 60s with scattered showers and areas of drizzle.  That pesky area of low pressure to our East is still controlling this weather pattern, making very gloomy conditions for the state!

Overnight, lows drop to the low 50s with a chance of scattered showers.  It’s really more of the same!

Thursday, highs hit the upper 60s with a chance for scattered showers.  Yes, there’s a chance of rain in the forecast, but the temperature is going up… that’s a start… right?

Friday looks nice and dry with highs hitting the upper 70s.

The weekend looks warm with a slight chance of thunderstorms Saturday, more rain will be likely the later we head into the day.

Sunday, scattered thunderstorms stick with us.

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May
17

Speculation builds on Daniels White House run

Posted By · May 17, 2011 at 11:32 am

Gov. Mitch Daniels

The speculation is building about Gov. Mitch Daniels. Will he or won’t he?

When his wife Cheri spoke to Indiana Republicans last week, folks were hanging on every word waiting for some kind of a clue to her husbands political future – and not realizing that just giving that speech spoke volumes. She got up in front of a convention like crowd and succeeded in just being herself.

Fast forward to the next week. Bloggers are starting to imply Governor Daniels has made a decision. Meanwhile the Governor tells Statehouse reporters in Indianapolis Tuesday not to believe all the Twitter buzz out there.

While we wait, Romney raises ten million dollars in one day. Chuck Todd at NBC says that Daniels is probably the only player right now who could get in this month and raise more than ten million for the quarter, thanks to Bush 43’s donor list.

Meanwhile in Iowa, Newt Gingrich gets blasted by potential voter who calls him an embarrassment to the Republican party. Even though the media is in a rush to get all the players in the hunt, reality is it may be June or July before we see a complete field.

Mitch Daniels, Sarah Palin and a surprise or two could still be out there. The only thing that could move that schedule up would be impressive fund raising numbers. Romney flexed some muscle there. If in the coming days he is able to back that up with substantial numbers that could force the hands of some and cause others to fold.

Daniels told Fort Wayne Journal Gazette reporter Niki Kelly Tuesday that he is not going to take much longer with it. Good idea. One thing you don’t want to give to the competition is time to establish momentum.

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May
17

Below Average Temperatures Stick

Posted By · May 17, 2011 at 6:02 am

Well, this feels like fall!

Highs today will reach the mid to upper 50s across Central Indiana with a mix of sun and clouds, and a chance of a spotty shower at any time.  The average temp this time of year is 74!  (Don’t worry… we get closer to that in the next 5 days!)

Overnight, lows drop to the upper 40s with a chance for scattered showers.  This chance of rain is being caused by an upper level low that’s just off to our East.  It will start to back up towards Indiana, bringing us the chance for rain.

Wednesday, the warm up begins with temps in the low 60s, but we still can’t rule out an isolated shower.

Thursday looks mainly dry with highs around 70, and we look to warm into the mid 70s by Friday.

A nice warm up comes just in time for the weekend, but thunderstorms are possible.  We’ll be watching the weekend forecast closely!

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May
16

Cool & Dry

Posted By · May 16, 2011 at 5:50 am

What a weekend!  Hit or miss showers and thunderstorms, and Sunday’s persistent rain and drizzle canceled practice at the Speedway, and grounded the Air Show.

Today, we get a bit of a break, after the remaining sprinkles move out this morning.  Highs will only reach the upper 50s with a mix of sun and clouds.  It will feel quite cool, because we’re expecting a North breeze of up to 25mph.  The average high this time of year is 73!

Overnight, we’ll have another cool one on our hands.  Lows drop to the low 40s with mostly cloudy skies.

Tuesday there’s a slight chance for rain, with highs in the upper 50s.  The chance for rain comes from that area of low pressure that brought us the weekend showers.  It’s off to our east for now, but will slowly back up, and bring light rain chances our way.

We gradually warm up starting Wednesday, but the rain chances still have to be left in the forecast.  It doesn’t look like a washout, but as of right now, some spots will get rain.

Fast forward to the weekend… the 70s are back… but so are thunderstorms.  We’ll keep you posted!

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May
15

Scattered Showers Sunday

Posted By · May 15, 2011 at 6:59 am

Get the rain gear ready.  Scattered showers are likely today as highs struggle to reach the mid to upper 50s.  We should see some breaks in the rain, but be prepared for showers at any time.  A pesky low pressure system is still hanging out around Indiana, bringing wave after wave of showers to the area.

Overnight, scattered showers are still likely with temperatures dropping into the low 40s!  It’s going to be chilly and damp with patchy fog for your Monday morning commute.

Monday, the rain moves out after rush hour, and mostly cloudy skies are expected for the rest of the day.  Highs will only warm into the upper 50s.  The average temperature this time of year is in the low to mid 70s.

Tuesday, looks great!  It will be cool, but dry with highs in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

Starting Wednesday, we warm up a bit, but we are looking at a daily chance of rain through the weekend.  We’ll keep you posted as we get closer to the middle of the week and nail down the timing of the rain.

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