Tracking Christmas Eve Snow

We’re still focusing on accumulating snow for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Today will be the best travel day across Central Indiana.  Highs will hit the low 30s with a mix of sun and clouds.  Patchy fog is possible for the morning, with temps below freezing, slick spots will be possible too.

Now, for the snow!  There’s a chance for snow Christmas Eve morning, but it looks like the snow develops for the afternoon into the evening.  We could pick up 1-3″ of snow for Christmas Eve.

Snow showers look to continue until midday Christmas Day, with another 1-2″ of snow possible.  At this time, the heaviest snow and highest snow totals look to be found south of I-70. 

This could change as this system continues to evolve, so stay with us for the forecast.  Bottom line, if you’re traveling late Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, you’ll encounter snow and slick spots.

Flurries are likely Sunday with more cold air moving in for next week.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

Wednesday’s Forecast & Christmas Eve Storm

Our big Christmas Eve storm is taking a track to the south, find out what that means for Central Indiana in today’s weather blog!

Temperatures today will hold steady in Central Indiana around 30 degrees.  Patchy drizzle, flurries, and fog will be possible.  Slick spots are still possible out on the roadways, so use extra care!

Overnight, clouds break and that means temps fall.  Overnight lows will drop to around 20 degrees.

Thursday, a mix of sun and clouds comes our way with highs in the low 30s.

Now for that big Christmas Eve storm.  What’s going on with it?  The latest computer models are taking it south of Indiana.  It’s a southern track that rules out heavy snow across our state.  I think it’s still possible that we could see an inch of snow in Central Indiana, with up to 3 inches of snow possible in the southern portion of the state.  We’ll continue to watch the storm develop.  The snowfall projected would be from Christmas Eve through Christmas Day.

Lake effect snow showers could bring us a little more snow on Sunday with much colder air coming our way next week.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

Looking Ahead to What Else… More Snow!

The first of two accumulating snow systems has passed, now we’re focusing on one that will guarantee a White Christmas, but will cause major travel headaches.

This latest winter weather system spit out 3.8″ of snow in Indy.  That puts our total for the month of December as 14.7″ of snow, the 6th snowiest on record, and we’re looking for even more snow before the week is done!

Today, watch out for freezing drizzle across the state.  Highs will reach the mid 30s.  Finally, a day above freezing!

Overnight into Wednesday, a few flurries are possible.  Tonight temps drop to the mid 20s, tomorrow we warm into the low 30s.

Thursday, highs hit the low 30s, and it looks like the best travel day of the week!  We will see mostly cloudy skies, but dry conditions.

Christmas Eve, snow is likely with accumulation throughout the day, continuing into Christmas Day.  It’s still too early to be forecasting snow amounts.  Just know, that travel is expected to a mess Friday and Saturday.  I know it’s frustrating not knowing how much snow to expect, but we want to give you consistent weather updates.  Right now the models are anything but on target, so we will wait and let you know when we are confident in the forecast! 

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

The Snow Cover of Christmas Past

Dreaming of a White Christmas? It looks like we have a good chance of seeing one this year. Here’s some number crunching from the Indy NWS when it comes to snow around Santa’s journey!

The following number crunching was prepared by the Indianapolis National Weather Service.  Click here to be redirected to their original web page.

There are several ways to define a White Christmas. For the purposes of our historical look back, we’ll include a White Christmas as any day that has either at least a trace of snow on the ground, or experiences at least a trace of snow falling that day. In more general terms, we’ll define a White Christmas as any Christmas day that Indianapolis sees snow.

So what is the chance of at least a trace of snow falling at Indianapolis on Christmas day? Well, snowfall records on Christmas day have been kept in the Indianapolis area since 1871. And in that 138 year period of record, a trace of snow (or more) has fallen 62 times. This could be equated to a 45% chance of at least a trace of snow falling on Christmas Day.

Our other possibility for a White Christmas would be if there was at least a trace of snow already on the ground. This could be old snow from a week ago, or just the day before. Snow depth records don’t go quite as far back, and these were started in 1896. And in that 113 year span, there has been at least a trace of snow on the ground on Christmas Day a total of 60 times. This could be equated to a 53% chance of at least a trace of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.  The last Christmas that saw snow on the ground in Indianapolis was in 2004, just a few days after a major snow storm produced 1 to 2 feet of snow over central Indiana. Snow did fall on Christmas Day 2005, 2006 and 2009, but due to temperatures in the 30s and the snow mixing with rain, none of it stayed on the ground.

With both of our possibilities for a White Christmas explored, what then is our final chance? What would our probability be of having either a Trace or more of snow falling, or a Trace or more already on the ground? Since 1871, this has happened in a total of 97 times, where either the snow has fallen or already been on the ground. This gives us an overall probability of 70%! Which means that 7 out of every 10 years, on average, will see either some snow falling or some snow already on the ground for Christmas Day.

So if a White Christmas is your dream, then you’ll probably take heart in these numbers. Much more often than not, there will be at least a few flakes around to greet us come Christmas Day!

 
Here are a few snow extremes from Christmas Day:

 

Greatest Snowfall on Christmas Day
Greatest Snow Depth on Christmas Day
5.9” in 1909
9” in 2004
4.4” in 1926
7” in 2002
3.3” in 1890
7” in 1909
2.6” in 2005
6” in 1995
2.4” in 1935
6” in 1935

 

  
And a few temperature and precipitation extremes as well:

 

Warmest Max Temp
Coldest Max Temp
Warmest Min Temp
Coldest Min Temp
Most Precipitation
64 in 1893
-4 in 1983
55 in 1877
-15 in 1983
1.36 in 2005
63 in 1982
7 in 1985
50 in 1889
-5 in 2000, 1878
1.14 in 1957
63 in 1889
10 in 1924
45 in 1982
-4 in 1935, 1924
0.98 in 1982
59 in 1877
13 in 1884
44 in 1888
-3 in 2004, 1980
0.72 in 2006
58 in 1973,1932,1891
14 in 1980, 1902
42 in 1940, 1936, 1895, 1891
-2 in 1872
0.61 in 1926

 

 Data prepared by the Indianapolis WFO Climate Team

Here We Snow Again

We’re watching two potential accumulating snow systems this week in Central Indiana. It will be important to stay tuned to the forecast if you have any travel plans coming up.

Highs today will reach the low 30s with thickening cloud cover as we head into the afternoon.  There may be a few snow showers during the evening commute, but the majority of the snow looks to move in tonight and stick around through Tuesday morning.  This will be a light snow all night, so we won’t pick up much.  We’re looking to get 1-2″ of snow from this event.  North of I-70 will pick up higher totals than areas South of I-70.  Once again, it’s the magical divider!

This isn’t a huge snowfall, but our concern is what could happen Tuesday morning as warmer air mixes in.  Snow showers could turn to sleet or even freezing drizzle.  So, roads could be very slick Tuesday morning.  The bulk of the precip should move out by midday Tuesday.

Wednesday and Thursday look dry, but then we start to focus on a winter storm that moves in late Thursday night and sticks around for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.  It is very early in the game right now, so we won’t throw out snow predictions.  I will say that this storm looks to have significant snow accumulation and could cause travel problems across the state considering how many people will be out on the roads. 

Stay tuned to WTHR and the weather blog for updates.  I know you want specifics about what’s going to happen, but as of right now, it’s just too early.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

More Snow on the Way

Another chance of accumulating snow is coming to Central Indiana this week, and it’s not the only chance we’re talking about!

Highs today will reach the mid 20s in Central Indiana with increasing clouds.

Overnight, flurries are possible, and an isolated snow shower may be possible.  Most spots won’t see any accumulation, but a light dusting may hit some areas.  Overnight lows drop to around 20 degrees.

Monday, we’ll see cloudy skies with a high in the low 30s.  Just after the evening rush hour, snow showers move in and look to stick around through Tuesday morning.  One to three inches of snow is possible across Central Indiana.  Early Tuesday warmer air mixes in, so we could see a wintry mix, or even rain by midday Tuesday.  These snow totals could change, so stay tuned to the forecast!

We dry out Wednesday and Thursday, but have our eyes on another potential snow maker moving in Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

Dry… but Cold Weekend!

Are you ready for sunshine? It’s in the forecast… but temps won’t warm up much for the weekend. Plus… we’re tracking the chance for more accumulating snow early next week.

Brr!  Temps are in the teens this morning, with wind chills in the single digits.  Freezing fog is possible, so please use care out on the roads, they may look dry, but could be a bit slick.

Today, highs reach the mid 20s with sunshine.  Skies stay mainly clear tonight with lows dropping between 8-14 degrees.

Sunday, clouds will be on the increase with highs again only reaching the mid 20s.  Our average temp this time of year is 39, so we are indeed running below average.  Late Sunday night into Monday morning, there’s a slight chance for snow.  We aren’t expecting much, just enough to slick up the roadways.

Our next best chance of accumulating snow moves in late Monday and sticks around through Tuesday.  Right now… keep in mind this is preliminary, we could see 1-3″ of snow by Tuesday morning.  This system taps into warm air, so we could see some freezing rain, and also, just plain rain.  The forecast will probably be changing the closer we get to Monday, so check back for the latest.

Do you want a white Christmas?  It looks like we could see snow Christmas Eve into Christmas Day… we’ll keep tracking this for you!

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

Dry Conditions Return

Temps aren’t warming up much, but you won’t be dodging snowflakes this weekend.

Highs today will only reach the low to mid 20s with a mix of sun and clouds.  Expect more clouds than sun this morning.

Overnight, lows drop to around 10 degrees, with areas outside of the metro dropping to single digits.

For the weekend, sunshine returns and highs hit the mid 20s.

A chance of snow returns to the forecast Monday and Tuesday.  We’ll be keeping an eye on this system as many Hoosiers prepare to travel for the Christmas holiday.

We’ll keep this blog short but sweet for today! 

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

Latest on Winter Storm

We’re waking up to more snow, and it’s going to cause a headache for commuters!

Overnight, snow has fallen across Central Indiana and slick conditions are expected for our morning commute, ending by midday.  As of 5am just shy of 2″ of snow has fallen at the National Weather Service in Indianapolis.  We’re getting reports of up to 4″ in Bloomington, and more than 3″ in Brown County, and up north, 1″ in Daleville.  Keep in mind we’re forecasting 2-5″ for most of Central Indiana.  The further south you go from Indy, the higher the totals will be.

Highs today will reach the mid to upper 20s with snow tapering off for the afternoon.  The Winter Weather Advisory and Winter Storm Warning is set to expire at 1pm.

Overnight, we’ll see cloudy skies and temps in the upper teens.

Friday, a mix of sun and clouds returns with cold air sticking around for the weekend.

Another chance of snow moves in for Monday.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast

More Snow Coming Tonight

Get ready for more cold, and now more accumulating snow and possibly ice in tonight’s forecast!

Saying to bundle up is an understatement!  Temps this morning are downright cold in the single digits.  Today we warm up into the low 20s, but clouds increase the later we head into the afternoon.  A few flurries are possible late this afternoon into the evening commute.

Tonight, accumulating snow is likely.  It looks like we will see snow move in after 8pm, and stick around through the Thursday morning rush hour.  At this point, it looks like 2-5″ of snow is possible for most of the area.  Totals will diminish the further north you head from Hamilton County north.  Ice is possible in our southern counties if ice does indeed form… these snowfall totals for our southern counties will be cut in half.  Click here to see a total accumulation map.  Weather advisories and warnings are in effect for most of Central Indiana from 7pm to 1pm Thursday.  Click here to see active advisories and warnings.

Thursday morning’s rush hour looks messy with snow ending by midday.

More cold air rushes in for the weekend.

Indianapolis Seven Day Weather Forecast