Muggy Air, Some Storms, And Plenty Of Dry Time

Muggy air is here to stay friends so get used to sticky lows in the mid/upper 60s and humid highs in the mid-80s through the holiday weekend.  Along with that will be a daily chance of scattered showers and storms… though some days have higher chances than others.

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As expected muggy air now claims real estate across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.. with dew points well into the 60s now.  Our Muggy Meter remains uncomfortable to oppressive through the upcoming weekend as A/Cs get their first true workout of the season.

MUGGY METER TONIGHT

Based on latest analysis it appears the greatest coverage of storms occurs Thursday and Thursday evening, but we’re again stressing that this doesn’t mean it will storm or rain that entire time.

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We recommended downloading the free Skytrak13 weather app if you haven’t already for up-to-date radar and forecast discussions.

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At this time we believe a good portion of Carb Day will be just warm and humid… despite a good deal of cloud cover at times Friday.  But we’ll monitoring a potential storm cluster by late in the day that could impact the ending of festivities and your ride home from the track.

CARB DAY RAIN POPS

Much of the race and holiday weekend will be mainly precipitation-free… but isolated showers and storms remain possible during peak heating. That heat features highs between 84 and 88 degrees with oppressive humidity producing heat indices at/above 90 degrees.

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There’s only a slight chance of rain Memorial Day with highs well in the 80s. Have a save evening – Sean Ash

Heat, Humidity & Storms

Welcome to a July day even though the calendar says May. Warmer air, more humid conditions and scattered thunderstorms will be around today. Dew points jump into the 60s to near 70 degrees by Thursday morning to make the heat uncomfortable.

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The heat and humidity will help in the formation of some scattered thunderstorms.  Remember though, we’re not expecting all day rain and/or storms.  There will be plenty of dry time between any storms to get out in the muggy air.  For now the highest rain/storm chances will be later Wednesday into Friday morning.

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Changes in the atmosphere lessen the chances of thunderstorms this weekend, but isolated storms are possible.  Heat and sticky conditions may become the bigger weather story for the, IPL 500 Festival Parade, Indy 500 and Memorial Day.

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Humid Heat Arrives With Storm Chances Wednesday

Hope you’re enjoying what’s left of comfortable air in Central Indiana.  Sunshine boosted highs into the 80s to begin a string of 80 degree days that last through the holiday weekend.

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There’s a slight storm chance in southwestern Indiana this evening but most places should remain dry.  We’re on borrowed time when it comes to less humid air as dew points have jumped over 10 degrees in 24 hours.  This is a sign of moisture advection that brings muggy air (dew point >=65 degrees) to Central Indiana by Wednesday evening.

DEW POINT CHANGE DEW POINTS

You’ll definitely feel the arrival of more humid air when you step outside Wednesday morning.  Dew points likely jump to oppressive Thursday and stay uncomfortable through the holiday weekend.

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The increased moisture helps feed locally heavy storms as early as the Wednesday morning commute.  But we can’t stress enough that at this point we’re not expecting all day rain and/or storms.

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There will be plenty of dry time between any storms to get out in the muggy air.  For now the highest rain/storm chances will be later Wednesday into Friday morning.

STORM CHANCES

In fact the departure of an upper system to our north this weekend and limited lift atmosphere keeps rain/storm chances on the isolated side Saturday into Tuesday of next week.

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Heat and uncomfortable humidity may become the bigger weather story for the Indy 500 and Memorial Day.  Please check back as the forecast likely will change or need to be tweaked and we’ll pass along adjustments as needed – Sean Ash

One More Sunny Day Before Muggy Air And Storm Chances Arrive

Central Indiana is blessed with another spectacular afternoon of sunshine, comfortable humidity and warm highs in the 70s and 80s.  Evening hours will be clear and quiet with seasonably cool lows in the 40s and 50s again tonight.

TEMPS TONIGHT

Tuesday is a near carbon-copy of the weather today.  Comfortable start, warm finish and plenty of hazy sunshine with pleasant humidity.

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We’re advising everyone to take advantage of this dry air with uncomfortable humidity lurking to our west set to arrive mid-week.  In fact the Muggy Meter nears oppressive levels as tropical dew points near 70 degrees are possible Thursday and Friday.

MUGGY METER SPC

Increased low-level moisture puts heavy storms in play mid-week into race weekend… with an low chance of storms reaching severe levels.  At this point flooding rain and lightning appear to be our greatest storm threats with unimpressive wind levels locally.

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Rain amounts on average the next 7 days fall between a half-inch to inch and half… but there will surely be areas that receive significantly more due to the juicy air.

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It’s possible that heat and humidity become the bigger story race weekend though daytime heating puts air mass storms in play.  It’s still too early to narrow down coverage and timing specifics but we’ll continue analyze data and update.

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For now trends show above to much above normal conditions at least the next 7 days.

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Sunny Start To Week Before Storms Return

The weather doesn’t come much better than this during the month of May.  Welcome sunshine and a dry northerly wind led to a 30-35 degree swing from lows (40s) to highs (near 80) today.  We’ll experience similar conditions Monday.

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The morning begins clear with lows in the 40s but temperatures quickly warm into the 70s by noon and into the 80s during the afternoon.  Tuesday also features hazy sunshine and warm highs in the 80s before unsettled weather arrives Wednesday.

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Humid air accompanies the heat this week as the Muggy Meter gets uncomfortable with dew points possibly nearing 70 degrees by Thursday afternoon.

MUGGY METER

Tropical moisture means any storms that develop this week likely produce heavy rain/lightning and severe hail/wind is possible too.  Unsettled conditions linger into race weekend with a daily chance of rain and storms… though some days will have more coverage than others.

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We can’t get more specific than that regarding timing, coverage and severity.  But you’ll definitely want to check back for changes to the forecast that will occur between now and the running of the 100th Indianapolis 500 – Sean Ash

Beautiful Today, Unsettled Later This Week

The warming trend continues again today and on through the week. Only 6 out of 21 days of May have been above average. The average high so far this month is only 67 degrees. So, not only has it been below average, temperatures have been well below average! In fact, temperatures are running 15 to 20 degrees warmer than last weekend.

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It’s also been a rainy month, with only 4 days of May without any report of precipitation. While there has been 3. 51” of rain so far for May 2016, it’s actually near normal, only a few hundredth above average.

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More rain is on the way this week but we’ll enjoy a few more dry days before it arrives. Today will be a beautiful day with sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 70s. Winds will be increasing out of the northwest from 5 to 15 mph.

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It will be clear and cool tonight with overnight temperatures falling into the low 50s.

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Monday will be bring much of the same with sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s.

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An unsettled pattern returns Wednesday with scattered showers and thunderstorm chances moving in. Some storms could be strong.

Right now, this pattern looks like it will stick around through Saturday. The Skytrak13 Weather Team will continue to tweak the forecast and timing of rain for you Holiday weekend.

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Bright & Beautiful Sunday

After a wet start this morning, it was mostly to partly cloudy this afternoon with highs in the low 70s.

There is a small chance of a few sprinkles this evening.

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The skies will gradually clear out and the winds die down tonight. Temperatures will fall to near 50 degrees.

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It will be mostly sunny and warmer Sunday with temperatures climbing into the upper 70s. Winds will be a bit breezy, out of the northwest from 10 to 15 mph.  This weekend is much warmer than last weekend.

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It is Pole Day at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway. It will be a great day for the fans for qualifications and the Fast 9 qualifying positions.

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The quiet dry pattern will continue through Tuesday.

An unsettled weather pattern moves in on Wednesday and will continue into the Memorial Day Holiday Weekend.

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A Few Isolated Showers This Afternoon

A few light to medium showers have been falling this morning, as an upper level systems spins over the Great Lakes. Most of the rain will come to an end this morning with a few isolated showers possible through the afternoon.

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Clouds will slowly decrease this afternoon too, with highs near 70 degrees.

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It will be mostly clear and cool tonight with temperatures falling to 50 degrees.

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Sunday will be a brighter and warmer finish to the weekend. Winds will be a bit breezy, out of the northwest from 10 to 15 mph with highs near normal for this time of year. Afternoon temperatures will climb into the mid 70s.

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Temperatures will be running about 10 to 15 degrees above last weekend’s high temperatures.

The warming trend continues through the work week. Monday will be much like Sunday, with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

More unsettled weather returns by mid week with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible Wednesday on into the Holiday weekend. The Skytrak13 Weather Team will keep you updated on storm chances and timing.

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Friday Night and Your Weekend Forecast

It has been a cloudy Friday and the clouds and a few showers stay in the forecast through Friday night.

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The good news is this weather system will stay far enough away from central Indiana, we miss the heavy rain.  The bad news is this system is close enough for a few showers Friday night and Saturday.  There will be more dry weather than wet weather, so go ahead and make your outdoor plans.

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If you are going to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for qualifying on Saturday, expect a mix of clouds and sun.  A stray shower is possible, with temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

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Sunday will be sunny and warmer, with highs in the upper 70s.

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Next week will be even warmer, with highs in the 80s.  Storm chances return on Wednesday.

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So Far So Good For Fast Friday

At 3pm, it was still dry at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.  We are tracking some showers west of Indianapolis and a larger area of steadier rain south and east.  There is still a chance for a stray shower before gates close on Fast Friday.

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If you have Friday night plans, it will be cloudy with a few showers and in the 60s.  We still have the chance for a couple of showers in the Saturday forecast (mainly dry for most of central Indiana) and sunshine in the Sunday forecast.

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